{"id":668411,"date":"2025-07-15T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/07\/15\/could-trump-help-resolve-the-gerd-dispute\/"},"modified":"2025-07-15T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T00:00:00","slug":"could-trump-help-resolve-the-gerd-dispute","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/07\/15\/could-trump-help-resolve-the-gerd-dispute\/","title":{"rendered":"Could Trump help resolve the GERD dispute?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends.<\/strong> After plenty of mornings busy with IPO, energy, and telecom news, today is the first indication that our annual summer news slowdown may be in the offing. Don\u2019t hold your breath, folks, but it\u2019s quiet out there: We lead today\u2019s brisk issue with comments from Trump regarding the US\u2019 involvement in resolving the GERD dispute, investors\u2019 changing appetite for local debt, and Polaris Parks\u2019 latest venture.<\/p>\n

<\/a> BUT FIRST- Senior government officials and others in our community are heading <\/strong>to London <\/strong>for Egypt Day at the London Stock Exchange<\/strong>, an event put together by the good folks at the Finance Ministry. Officials from the Central Bank of Egypt, Ministry of Investment, Financial Regulatory Authority, and the EGX are also flying in for the gathering, which takes place tomorrow. <\/p>\n

Officials are out to drum-up fresh investor interest<\/strong>, and they\u2019ve got a series of good-news data points to highlight, including a growing pipeline of offerings on the EGX, strong appetite for Egyptian debt, and a drumbeat of investment from multinationals and other international players. <\/p>\n

Investors were particularly interested in our report yesterday that Banque du Caire could <\/strong>be on deck to offer shares <\/strong>as part of a \u201cfourth wave\u201d of privatization that officials think could bring in some USD 5-6 bn. Military-owned companies including Safi and Wataneya are also set to go public.. <\/p>\n

Taking BdC public could breathe new life into the EGX. <\/strong>Bonyan is already proving that investors are willing to return to the EGX, confident that Hassan Abdalla\u2019s FX regime is enduringly flexible. Investor interest would be off-the-charts if BdC were to include a substantial offering of global depositary receipts in the transaction. Banque du Caire is a rock-solid national institution with a great strategy<\/strong> and a spotless balance sheet after years of cleanup work by management, the board, and the central bank. And few execs in the country have the street cred with global investors that CEO Hussein Abaza has built up over decades. <\/p>\n

An outline of the state\u2019s asset monetization program and color on the IPO pipeline are <\/strong>among officials\u2019 key talking in London<\/strong> alongside the usual updates on the Madbouly government\u2019s basket of fiscal, monetary, and structural reforms. They\u2019re also keen to drum up FDI and \u201cdeepen market liquidity,\u201d we\u2019re told. <\/p>\n

SOUND SMART- Uh, Enterprise? What\u2019s a \u201cglobal depositary receipt\u201d?<\/strong> A GDR trading on the LSE is a way for foreign investors to buy into an underlying Egyptian equity without going through the EGX. Issued by a bank and traded on the LSE in this case, GDRs let investors with London-only mandates pick up exposure to foreign names \u2014 no extra compliance burden, no local hurdles. And if you\u2019re a foreign issuer, it\u2019s a way of getting more foreign institutional investors into your shareholder registry without going through a full international IPO.<\/p>\n

DEBT WATCH- <\/p>\n

<\/a> Speaking of foreign investors: <\/strong>Appetite for <\/strong>loc<\/strong>al debt is changing.<\/strong> Global investors are now favoring longer-term debt instruments over short-term options in our local debt market. The shift comes as Egypt\u2019s attractive interest rates continue to stand out compared to other emerging markets, a senior government source told EnterpriseAM yesterday.<\/p>\n

We have the CBE\u2019s latest decision to thank: <\/strong>The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s <\/a>decision<\/a><\/a> last week to keep interest rates unchanged \u201csignificantly boosted foreign investors\u2019 appetite,\u201d the source added. The CBE\u2019s move marked a halt in the Monetary Policy Committee\u2019s easing cycle, after it cut rates by 225 bps in April and 100 bps in May. The overnight deposit rate now stands at 24.00%, the overnight lending rate at 25.00%, and the main operation and disc. rates at 24.50%. <\/p>\n

The CBE appears to know that it has a captive audience, so don\u2019t expect it to be <\/strong>super-generous. <\/strong>Foreign investors demanded elevated yields ranging between 30.7% and 32% across different maturities, prompting the CBE to scale back its acceptance of bids at auctions held between Thursday and Sunday. Most accepted bids came from local banks, which were after lower rates of 25-27.9%, our source noted. Investors bid for some EGP 341 bn worth of debt, while the CBE accepted only EGP 165 bn worth, according to data<\/a> from the central bank.<\/p>\n

WHY DOES IT MATTER? A preference for longer-dated debt is a welcome sign of investor <\/strong>confidence<\/strong>, showing they think we\u2019re good for the debt when repayment time comes. And the CBE is right to send a signal that a bit north of 30% is a bit much. Investors have seen in recent months that the interbank market for FX is running smoothly. Critically, folks who wanted out of Egypt during a handful of recent Trump-fuelled global risk-offs have been easily able to get their greenbacks and get out of Cairo. Less skittish investors saw those easy exits as a sign that the underlying fundamentals and exist mechanisms are both running smoothly here \u2014 and promptly bought more debt.<\/p>\n

PSA- <\/p>\n

WEATHER- <\/strong>It\u2019s another hot day in Cairo, with a high of 35\u00b0C and a low of 25\u00b0C, according to our favorite weather app.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a little cooler in Alexandria<\/strong>, with a high of 32\u00b0C and a low of 22\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n

For decades, Sahel has been synonymous with summer's embrace: clear waters, crisp breezes, and vibrant nights. Last year, Ras El-Hekma cast a spotlight on its potential as a regional investment and tourism engine.<\/p>\n

In the second issue of our Destination Sahel<\/strong> series, we\u2019re digging deep into the infrastructure needed to support this evolution \u2014 and whether Sahel has a spot on the global tourism stage..<\/p>\n

Look for the second issue of our series EnterpriseAM Destination Sahel in your inbox today <\/strong>at 10am.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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WATCH THIS SPACE- <\/p>\n

<\/a> #1- Could the US hold the key to resolving the GERD dispute? <\/strong>The US is \u201cworking on\u201d resolving the long-running dispute between Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), US President Donald Trump said yesterday during his meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (watch, runtime: 35:02<\/a>). Trump described the GERD dispute as \u201ca big problem,\u201d adding that the Nile is a \u201cvery important source of income and life\u201d for Egyptians. \u201cIf I am Egypt, I want to have water in the Nile,\u201d he said, questioning why the US, which he claims funded the dam, didn\u2019t intervene to \u201csolve the problem before they built the dam.\u201d<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong> Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly last week confirmed<\/a> that Ethiopia wants to resume negotiations over GERD. \u201cWe asked them to sign a document that turns recent statements into a written commitment,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> #2- The Madbouly government will launch a new housing project to rehome residents of <\/strong>some 7.5k structurally unsafe buildings in Alexandria that have been flagged for demolition<\/strong>, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said yesterday (watch, runtime: 10:23<\/a>). \u201cThere\u2019s barely a day that passes without a partial or total collapse of an old building that already has a demolition order,\u201d Madbouly said, adding that tenants often refuse to leave due to a lack of alternatives. <\/p>\n

Some 60k new homes to replace those in unsafe buildings:<\/strong> The government will replicate its program<\/a> for residents affected by amendments to the Old Rent Law, building 60k new homes to house residents of unsafe buildings marked for demolition, according to a cabinet statement<\/a>. The new units will be constructed on land currently being identified in coordination with local authorities.<\/p>\n

SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT-<\/p>\n

The Trans<\/strong>port Ministry called out alleged recordings of Deputy Prime Minister for <\/strong>Industrial Development Kamel El Wazir critiquing the country\u2019s approach to infrastructure as \u201cfalse, fabricated and malicious<\/strong>\u201d in a ministry statement<\/a>. The recordings that were spread online alleged to show El Wazir describing the country\u2019s infrastructure as fragile and linking the Ramses data center fire to infrastructure underinvestment. \u201cIt is a false, fabricated, and malicious recording aimed at stirring up confusion, spreading rumors among citizens and diminishing the achievements of the Egyptian state,\u201d the statement reads.<\/p>\n

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HAPPENING TODAY- <\/p>\n

<\/a> The <\/strong>Egypt Mining<\/a><\/strong>Forum<\/a><\/strong> kicks off today at the Nile Ritz-Carlton<\/strong>, bringing together local and global mining heavyweights to explore potential investments in the sector. The two-day event, organized by the Oil Ministry, aims to spotlight Egypt\u2019s mining sector reforms under its national development strategy. The event will bring together over 5k attendees, 80 speakers, and 100 exhibiting companies. <\/p>\n

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Get Enterprise<\/b> daily <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

Subscribe here<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

** DID YOU KNOW that we cover <\/strong>Saudi Arabia<\/a><\/strong> and the <\/strong>UAE<\/a><\/strong>?<\/strong><\/p>\n

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SIGN OF THE TIMES-<\/p>\n

Starbucks is paying corporate workers who decide to quit amid RTO mandate:<\/strong> Global coffee giant Starbucks is tightening its return-to-office policy, requiring corporate employees to work from the office at least four days a week starting October, up from three at the moment \u2014 and offering a cash payout to those who choose to leave instead. \u201cIf you decide you want to leave Starbucks for any reason, we respect that. To support those who decide to \u2018opt out,\u2019 we\u2019re offering a one-time voluntary exit program with a cash payment for partners who make this choice,\u201d CEO Brian Niccol wrote in a letter to employees<\/a>, where he explained the rationale behind re-establishing in-office culture. <\/p>\n

A final resort? <\/strong>The Financial Times<\/a> thinks the move comes as \u201cexecutives bank on in-person work to improve the company\u2019s flagging performance.\u201d<\/p>\n

No more flexib<\/strong>ility for managers:<\/strong> All corporate managers with direct reports will need to relocate to the company\u2019s Seattle or Toronto HQs within a year. The shift follows a round of 1.1k job cuts in February and reflects a broader trend among US firms walking back remote work policies adopted during the pandemic. Amazon, also Seattle-based, has already ordered staff back five days a week.<\/p>\n

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THE BIG STORY ABROAD- <\/p>\n

In a big reversal of his foreign policy stance towards Russia, US President Donald Trump <\/strong>threatened 100% tariffs on Russian imports<\/strong> \u2014 along with fresh sanctions \u2014 if Russia does not end its war on Ukraine within 50 days \u2014 and pledged bns of USD of new weapons for Ukraine. (Bloomberg<\/a> | Reuters<\/a> | Wall Street Journal<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Trump is eyeing tomatoes and drones: <\/strong>The US will now be slapping Mexican tomatoes with a 17% tariff \u2014 separate from the 30% tariff on other imports from the country, while launching probes into drone imports, as well as imports of parts for unmanned aerial vehicles and for polysilicon, an important material for solar power. If the probes find that the imports are a threat to national security, new tariffs could be imposed. (Bloomberg<\/a> | Reuters<\/a> | New York Times<\/a>) <\/p>\n

Across the pond, the EU has prepared a list of USD 72 bn worth of US goods it plans to target with countermeasures<\/strong> as a retaliation against the US\u2019 30% tariff on EU imports. This includes Boeing aircraft, automobiles, Bourbon, machinery products, chemicals and plastics, medical devices, electrical equipment, and wine. (Bloomberg<\/a>) <\/p>\n

This comes as the EU\u2019s lead negotiator, Maro\u0161 \u0160ef\u010dovi\u010d\u2019s, warns of a \u201cbig gap\u201d in trade talks<\/strong> with the US ahead of the 1 August deadline for the US\u2019 reciprocal tariffs, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. <\/p>\n

ALSO- Keep an eye out for Wall Street\u2019s earnings season:<\/strong> Major US banks including JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup are due to report their 2Q 2025 earnings today, and while forecasts are positive, it will be interesting to see how they fared during a volatile period marked by the introduction of tariffs and fears of a recession. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

*** It\u2019s Going Green day \u2014 your weekly briefing of all things green in Egypt:<\/strong> EnterpriseAM\u2019s green economy vertical focuses each Tuesday on the business of renewable energy and sustainable practices in Egypt, everything from solar and wind energy through to water, waste management, sustainable building practices and how you can make your business greener, whatever the sector.<\/p>\n

In today\u2019s issue: <\/strong>We look at what the government is doing to prepare the nationwide used oil collection system to fuel sustainable aviation fuel manufacturing ambitions. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends. After plenty of mornings busy with IPO, energy, and telecom news, today is the first indication that our annual summer news slowdown may be in the offing. 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It\u2019s the latest development in shuttle diplomacy on an issue that could have deep, long-term impact\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":681617,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2026\/01\/18\/trump-throws-weight-behind-egypt-on-gerd-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":668411,"position":2},"title":"Trump throws weight behind Egypt on GERD","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 January 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Plus: Intelligence chief Hassan Rashad to join Trump\u2019s \u201cGaza Board of Peace\u201d","rel":"","context":"In "Diplomacy"","block_context":{"text":"Diplomacy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/regulation\/diplomacy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2026\/1\/573.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":612298,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/20\/irrigation-ministry-blames-ethiopia-for-unsuccessful-gerd-talks\/","url_meta":{"origin":668411,"position":3},"title":"Irrigation Ministry blames Ethiopia for unsuccessful GERD talks","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 December 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"GERD negotiations on the airwaves: The latest round of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) negotiations dominated the airwaves last night, as the nation\u2019s talking heads spoke to Irrigation Ministry higher-ups to understand why the talks were unsuccessful. 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Irrigation Ministry officials\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "LAST NIGHT\u2019S TALK SHOWS"","block_context":{"text":"LAST NIGHT\u2019S TALK SHOWS","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/last-nights-talk-shows\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/1363.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":604317,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/08\/29\/gerd-talks-end-with-no-breakthrough\/","url_meta":{"origin":668411,"position":4},"title":"GERD talks end with no breakthrough","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Officials to regroup in Addis Ababa next month to continue talks","rel":"","context":"In "Diplomacy"","block_context":{"text":"Diplomacy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/regulation\/diplomacy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/8\/1346.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":629927,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/04\/gerd-talks-to-resume-in-khartoum-today\/","url_meta":{"origin":668411,"position":5},"title":"GERD talks to resume in Khartoum today","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 April 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry is heading to Khartoum today to attend the two-day round of talks on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), according to a ministry statement. Shoukry will be joined by Irrigation Minister Mohamed Abdel Aty and Meetings and intelligence officials who will also meet with their counterparts\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Diplomacy + Foreign Trade"","block_context":{"text":"Diplomacy + Foreign Trade","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/diplomacy-foreign-trade\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=668411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668411\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/668409"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/668412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=668411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=668411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=668411"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=668411"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=668411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}