{"id":667610,"date":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/30\/investors-flee-long-term-us-bonds-as-trump-tax-bill-revives-debt-fears\/"},"modified":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T00:00:00","slug":"investors-flee-long-term-us-bonds-as-trump-tax-bill-revives-debt-fears","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/30\/investors-flee-long-term-us-bonds-as-trump-tax-bill-revives-debt-fears\/","title":{"rendered":"Investors flee long-term US bonds as Trump tax bill revives debt fears"},"content":{"rendered":"

Investors are pulling out of long term US bond funds at the fastest pace since early 2020<\/strong>, the Financial Times<\/a> reports. Nearly USD 11 bn left long-dated government and corporate bond funds in 2Q \u2014 a stark reversal from the average USD 20 bn in inflows over the past three years. <\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The bigger picture: <\/strong>The US bond market is often used as a reflection of wider investor sentiment, with recent outflows pointing to a growing discomfort with the long end of the treasury curve amid ballooning supply, political dysfunction, and renewed inflation risks from Trump\u2019s tariff agenda. Inflation is also expected to rise as the effect of the trade levies start to be felt, dampening confidence even more by eroding yields on longer-dated bonds.<\/p>\n

Another USD tns in debt still to come? <\/strong>At the same time, a sweeping tax-and spending package advanced by the Republican-controlled US Senate over the weekend is deepening investor jitters over the country\u2019s long-term fiscal outlook, Reuters<\/a> reports. If the senate passes the bill, it returns to the House for final approval before heading to Trump\u2019s desk.<\/p>\n

The bill: <\/strong>The legislation \u2014 which would extend Trump-era tax cuts, raise military and border spending, and lift the debt ceiling by USD 5 tn \u2014 passed a procedural hurdle by 51-49 after hours of backroom negotiations. Analysts predict it could add USD tns to the current USD 36.2 tn worth of US government debt.<\/p>\n

Higher inflation is bad for long-term bonds: <\/strong>Currently, inflation \u2014 to which longer-dated bonds are sensitive as the value of fixed-interest payments erodes over time \u2014 remains above the target, and investors are already demanding high yields to absorb the supply. <\/p>\n

On the flip side<\/strong>, funds holding short-term US debt have seen over USD 39 bn in inflows this quarter as yields remain strong after the Fed\u2019s decision to keep short-term rates high. Greater diversity in maturity dates for holdings is also an option for investors, RBC Global Asset Management\u2019s Andrzej Skiba told the Financial Times. <\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the green<\/strong>, as data out of Japan showed an increase in industrial output and China\u2019s purchasing managers\u2019 index showed another month of contraction. Japan\u2019s Nikkei hit a six-month high, rising 1.5%, while China\u2019s CSI 300 rose 0.2%. On the flip side, Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng lost 0.5%. <\/p>\n

Over on Wall Street<\/strong>, futures have also inched up after another rally last Friday, which saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch new records.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

33,207<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +11.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.62<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.64<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,203<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.2% (YTD: -6.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,886<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +5.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,684<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,173<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +5.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,799<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +7.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,326<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.6% (YTD: +8.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 67.44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,269<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 108,166<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +15.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

878.38<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +13.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

145.29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +3.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

16.32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.6% (YTD: -5.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.6% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 7.1 bn (46.8% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 11.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green:<\/strong> Orascom Construction (+4.4%), ADIB (+3.2%), and Abu Qir Fertilizers (+3.1%).<\/p>\n

In the red:<\/strong> Rameda (-1.7%), Edita (-1.6%), and Fawry (-1.4%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS- <\/p>\n

Rameda will distribu<\/strong>te a dividend of EGP 0.11 per share for its 2024 earnings over two <\/strong>installments<\/strong>, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The two equal installments will be paid on 10 July and 27 November.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investors are pulling out of long term US bond funds at the fastest pace since early 2020<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":667611,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[82,72,119,125,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-667610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-bonds","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-investment-watch","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"767af5e1-5858-4d71-b941-facaf02ef0ed","order":"12","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/3\/360.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Investors flee long-term US bonds as Trump tax bill revives debt fears","related_issue":[667591],"teaser":"Investors are pulling out of long term US bond funds at the fastest pace since early 2020","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/6\/.f38990d4-fd5e-4468-b0d0-76c101010cc2.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nInvestors flee long-term US bonds as Trump tax bill revives debt fears - 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