{"id":666705,"date":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/12\/world-bank-sees-global-growth-slowing-to-a-near-two-decade-low-in-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-12T00:00:00","slug":"world-bank-sees-global-growth-slowing-to-a-near-two-decade-low-in-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/12\/world-bank-sees-global-growth-slowing-to-a-near-two-decade-low-in-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"World Bank sees global growth slowing to a near two decade low in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

Global growth to slow down to lowest rate since 2008 on the back of trade <\/strong>conflicts:<\/strong> The World Bank expects GDP growth to weaken to 2.3% in 2025 on a global level, in what would mark the slowest rate of growth in almost 17 years, without counting outright global recessions, the bank wrote in its latest Global Economic Prospects report (pdf)<\/a>. The forecast for 2025 represents a drop of 0.4 percentage points from the bank\u2019s previous forecast in January, while its forecast of 2.4% growth in 2026 is 0.3 percentage points lower than the bank\u2019s prediction at the start of the year.<\/p>\n

The rationale: <\/strong>The bank sees global growth deteriorating on the back of a \u201csubstantial rise in trade barriers and the pervasive effects of an uncertain global policy environment,\u201d with the outlook largely depending on how trade policy evolves globally. \u201cGrowth could turn out to be lower if trade restrictions escalate or if policy uncertainty persists, which could also result in a build-up of financial stress,\u201d the report reads. <\/p>\n

The risks don\u2019t end there:<\/strong> Other risks to growth include \u201cadverse global spillovers, worsening conflicts, and extreme weather events,\u201d as well as the possibility of lower-than-expected growth in major economies. <\/p>\n

Some hope?<\/strong> However, the outlook could improve should major economies sign \u201clasting agreements that address trade tensions,\u201d the bank said.<\/p>\n

^^This is already happening: The US and China have finally reached a trade agreement<\/a> that could end a long and heated tit-for-tat that started with the US\u2019 imposition of a 145% tariff on Chinese imports, though few details have emerged and the final agreement still requires sign-offs from the countries\u2019 leaders. <\/p>\n

The US is now expected to see its GDP growth slow to 1.4% in 2025,<\/strong> before seeing a slight uptick to 1.6% in 2026. The forecast for 2025 is 0.9 percentage points lower than it was in the bank\u2019s forecast in January, while that of 2026 is 0.4 percentage points lower than the previous forecast. <\/p>\n

The bank also trimmed the Euro Area\u2019s growth forecast,<\/strong> expecting growth to slow to 0.7% in 2025 (0.3 percentage points lower than the previous forecast) before rising slightly to 0.8% in 2026 (0.4 percentage points lower than the previous forecast). <\/p>\n

As for China,<\/strong> the World Bank kept its forecast for the country unchanged at 4.5% growth in 2025, and 4.0% in 2026, \u201cas the impact of higher trade barriers and weaker external demand is assumed to be offset by the boost from additional fiscal policy support,\u201d it wrote.<\/p>\n

REGIONALLY- Growth in the MENA region is expected to strengthen to 2.7% in 2025<\/strong> \u2014 up 0.1 percentage points from its previous forecast in April \u2014 before strengthening further to 3.9% in 2026-27, on the back of \u201can expansion of oil activity in oil exporters, which more than offsets the adverse effects of weakening external demand and lower oil prices.\u201d <\/p>\n

Growth in GCC economies is expected to increase to 3.2% in 2025 (unchanged from its April forecast)<\/strong>, 4.5% in 2026, and 4.8% in 2027. \u201cThe phase-out of OPEC+ oil production cuts starting in April 2025 is expected to lead to rising oil production, despite projected lower oil prices amid weakening global demand,\u201d according to the report. <\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed this morning<\/strong>, with Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng index and Japan\u2019s Nikkei leading losses. South Korea\u2019s Kospi, on the other hand, is up 0.3%. Over on Wall Street, futures are subdued despite news of a trade agreement between the US and China and positive May inflation data. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

32,935<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +10.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.42<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.56<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.56<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

24.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,005<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -8.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9805<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +4.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5956<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6022<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8864<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +8.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5393<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +10.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 69.77<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+4.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3385.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 108,919.50<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.9% (YTD: +16.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

877.17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +12.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

144.09<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +3.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17.26<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.8% (YTD: -0.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.1% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 5.3 bn (12.0% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 10.7% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>GB Corp (+4.0%), CIB (+2.0%), and Egypt Aluminum (+1.9%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Qalaa Holding (-3.1%), Eastern Company (-2.8%), and Emaar Misr (-2.3%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Premium Healthcare Group has successfully completed the first phase of its capital <\/strong>increase,<\/strong> with 95.6% of offered shares subscribed during the subscription period from 8 May to 3 June, according to a statement seen by EnterpriseAM. Some 21.8 bn of the 22.8 bn shares on offer were taken up. The company will announce the details of the second subscription phase after obtaining regulatory approval.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER-<\/strong> The Financial Regulatory Authority approved raising Premium Healthcare Group\u2019s issued and paid-up capital in March<\/a> to EGP 2.4 bn from EGP 81.5 mn through the issuance of 22.8 bn new shares. The company also plans to increase its authorized capital to EGP 11.4 bn, up from the current EGP 315 mn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The 2.3% global growth forecast would mark the slowest rate of growth in almost 17 years<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":666706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[104,72,119,122,321],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-666705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-world-bank","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"d1760e3d-7773-4b48-81a2-54ce2335201c","order":"12","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1292.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"World 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24-25","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/6\/331.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572029,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/06\/09\/world-bank-downgrades-egypts-gdp-growth-forecast-this-fiscal-year-to-3-0\/","url_meta":{"origin":666705,"position":1},"title":"World Bank downgrades Egypt\u2019s GDP growth forecast this fiscal year to 3.0%","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 June 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"World Bank downgrades Egypt\u2019s GDP growth forecast to 3.0% for the fiscal year ending this month: The World Bank expects Egypt\u2019s economy to end the current fiscal year \u2014 which comes to a close on 30 June \u2014 with 3.0% growth, down from the 5.9% the bank had penciled in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/6\/93.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559609,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/27\/egypts-gdp-to-grow-2-8-this-fy-imf-is-out-with-a-more-optimistic-global-forecast\/","url_meta":{"origin":666705,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s GDP to grow 2.8% this FY + IMF is out with a more optimistic global forecast","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s economy will grow at a 2.8% clip in FY2020-2021, according to a Reuterspoll of economists. This is a downwards revision from the 3.3% growth economists predicted in the last poll the newswire conducted in October. The forecast sits at the lower end of the Finance Ministry\u2019s most recent GDP\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/1\/343.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":562867,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/09\/world-bank-sees-egypt-economy-growing-4-5-in-2021-2022-down-a-bit-from-earlier-projection\/","url_meta":{"origin":666705,"position":3},"title":"World Bank sees Egypt economy growing 4.5% in 2021-2022, down a bit from earlier projection","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The World Bank has downgraded its growth projections for the Egyptian economy in the coming fiscal year, citing \u201csluggish\u201d activity as the effects of the covid-19 pandemic linger. In an update to its Egypt forecast, the bank sees GDP growing at a 2.3% clip during the state\u2019s current 2020-2021, down\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/6\/129.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":579278,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/01\/imf-trims-egypt-growth-forecast\/","url_meta":{"origin":666705,"position":4},"title":"IMF trims Egypt growth forecast","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF has cut its economic growth forecast for Egypt, saying it sees GDP growing 4.0% this year, a 0.4 percentage point trim from its previous forecast in October, according to its updated World Economic Outlook released yesterday (here and here, pdf). That\u2019s in line with forecasts from the Madbouly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/3.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":584956,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/04\/09\/world-bank-downgrades-growth-forecasts-for-egypt-and-the-region-as-inflation-bites\/","url_meta":{"origin":666705,"position":5},"title":"World Bank downgrades growth forecasts for Egypt and the region as inflation bites","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 April 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Lender cuts GDP growth forecast from 4.8% to 4.0% in FY 2022-2023","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/4\/329.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=666705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666705\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/666684"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/666706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=666705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=666705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=666705"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=666705"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=666705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}