{"id":666455,"date":"2025-06-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/04\/analysts-agree-annual-inflation-will-accelerate-in-may-but-not-by-how-much\/"},"modified":"2025-06-04T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-04T00:00:00","slug":"analysts-agree-annual-inflation-will-accelerate-in-may-but-not-by-how-much","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/04\/analysts-agree-annual-inflation-will-accelerate-in-may-but-not-by-how-much\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts agree annual inflation will accelerate in May \u2014 but not by how much"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, y\u2019all.<\/strong> In today\u2019s packed issue, we\u2019ve got the lowdown on the government\u2019s new export support program set to come into effect next month, our PMI reading inching back to the green, news that VW is still serious about setting up shop here, and more.<\/p>\n

<\/a> BUT FIRST- Happy Eid, everyone. Toda<\/strong>y is the last day of the workweek<\/strong> before we all take a break for Eid Al Adha. Private and public sector workers, as well as banks and the EGX<\/a>, will be off starting tomorrow and until Monday in observance of Eid Al Adha.<\/p>\n

And that includes us too at EnterpriseAM Egypt HQ<\/strong>, who will also be taking a break from your inboxes for the Eid break, but we\u2019ll be back bright and early on Tuesday.<\/p>\n

PSA- <\/p>\n

WEATHER- The sun is out in force in Cairo today<\/strong>, with a high of 33\u00b0C and a low of 21\u00b0C, according to our favorite weather app.<\/p>\n

Our friends over in Alexandria are also in store for a sunny day<\/strong>, with a high of 27\u00b0C and a low of 19\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

While those that have already ventured up to the North Coast will be treated with sunny <\/strong>skies<\/strong>, a high of 26\u00b0C, and a low of 18\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

** DID YOU KNOW that we cover <\/strong>Saudi Arabia<\/a><\/strong> and the <\/strong>UAE<\/a><\/strong>?<\/strong><\/p>\n

** Were you forwarded this email?<\/strong> Tap or click here<\/a> to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time \u2014 without charge.<\/p>\n

\n

INFLATION WATCH-<\/p>\n

<\/a> Analysts we spoke to are in <\/strong>agreement that annual inflation will accelerate in May \u2014 the <\/strong>question is by how much. <\/strong>Ahly Pharos\u2019 Hany Genena sees headline annual inflation rising just over 1.0 percentage point from April\u2019s 13.9% y-o-y reading to sit at around 15.25% y-o-y, while HC Securities\u2019 Heba Mounir expects inflation to accelerate only 0.3 percentage points to 14.2% y-o-y. <\/p>\n

But on a monthly <\/strong>basis, the two see inflation falling<\/strong>, with Genana expecting a 0.8 percentage drop to 1.3%, while Mounir expects a more modest 0.4 percentage point drop.<\/p>\n

So why is annual inflation accelerating, while monthly inflation falls? <\/strong>Genena explained that the devaluation in May of last year led to a fall in prices as we got rid of the parallel market that had overvalued the USD and undervalued the EGP, which is bound to be heavily reflected as base effect on this May\u2019s reading. Mounir explained that the more rosy picture on a monthly basis is reflective of an expected 2.0% m-o-m drop in food and beverage prices and a slowdown from April\u2019s 9.9% m-o-m transport price inflation to a more manageable 1.7% m-o-m.<\/p>\n

We will all hear the real figures w<\/strong>hen we get back to our desks after the Eid break<\/strong>, with state statistics agency Capmas expected to publish May\u2019s inflation data next Tuesday.<\/p>\n

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HAPPENING TODAY-<\/p>\n

<\/a> It\u2019s the third and final day of <\/strong>Fi Africa<\/a><\/strong> and<\/strong><\/a><\/strong>ProPak MENA<\/a><\/strong> the Egypt International Exhibition Center<\/strong>. <\/strong>The three-day<\/a>annual conference (pdf)<\/a> \u2014 which focuses on the food, beverage, and packaging industries \u2014 will bring together over 400 exhibitors from Egypt, the Middle East, Asia, and Europe, as well as over 16k attendees. It will feature talks and workshops for F&B and consumer goods manufacturers and showcase new technologies in a bid to promote potential investments and encourage sustainability and food waste reduction. You can register for the event <\/a>through the link<\/a> available on the Fi Africa and ProPak MENA websites.<\/p>\n

\n

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-<\/p>\n

No one story is dominating the world\u2019s digital front pages this morning, but one <\/strong>personality is \u2014 and I think you know who. <\/strong>On day 135 of Trump\u2019s second term, his administration is once again turning up the heat on trade partners, sending out letters this week to trade partners,demanding that they submit their best tariff offers by today \u2014 or risk the return of sweeping duties next month with the end of the 90-day trade war pause. So far, only a limited agreement with the UK has been reached, while talks with the EU, India, Vietnam, and other nations drag on. (Bloomberg<\/a> | Reuters<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Also headlining many of the world's press outlets is Elon Musk\u2019s chaotic split with this <\/strong>former boss at the White House. <\/strong>Despite Musk\u2019s claims to be standing back from politics, it seems he can\u2019t quite resist the limelight, taking to X to issue a fiery tirade<\/a> torching Trump\u2019s signature tax-and-spend bill as a \u201cdisgusting abomination\u201d and a \u201cpork-filled\u201d disaster. \u201cIt will massively increase the already gigantic budget deficit to USD 2.5 tn,\u201d Trump\u2019s former bn\u2019aire backer said, adding that it will lead to \u201ccrushingly unsustainable debt.\u201d (Associated Press<\/a> | Guardian<\/a> | Financial Times<\/a>)<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

*** It\u2019s Hardhat day \u2014 your weekly briefing of all things infrastructure in Egypt:<\/strong> Enterprise\u2019s industry vertical focuses each Wednesday on infrastructure, covering everything from energy, water, transportation, and urban development, as well as social infrastructure such as health and education. <\/p>\n

In today\u2019s issue: <\/strong>We look at how Egypt\u2019s internet speed compares to its neighbors\u2019 and what it is being done to ensure speedy internet. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good morning, y\u2019all. In today\u2019s packed issue, we\u2019ve got the lowdown on the government\u2019s new export support program set to come into effect next month, our PMI reading inching back to the green, news that VW is still serious about setting up shop here, and more. BUT FIRST- Happy Eid, everyone. Today is the last […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":666456,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,182,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-666455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"02eabfbe-a45d-4897-bbec-1f561e86ce93","order":"2","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/1089.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Analysts agree annual inflation will accelerate in May \u2014 but not by how much","related_issue":[666453],"teaser":"","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/6\/.63589644-48ef-49d1-8e07-c99cd8a5ccf8.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nAnalysts agree annual inflation will accelerate in May \u2014 but not by how much - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/06\/04\/analysts-agree-annual-inflation-will-accelerate-in-may-but-not-by-how-much\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysts agree annual inflation will accelerate in May \u2014 but not by how much\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Good morning, y\u2019all. 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ALSO- Egypt, Jordan, UAE talks for industrial partnership after break","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 July 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Eid Mubarak, ladies and gentlemen. And after the year we all just had, We wish you and your loved ones a restful and enjoyable break. We\u2019ll be back in your inboxes at the appointed hour on Sunday, 17 July.And the news wants to send us off with a warm goodbye,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":625734,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/08\/14\/what-were-tracking-on-14-august-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":666455,"position":1},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 14 August 2018","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 August 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"We\u2019re really feeling the summer dearth of stories, and to be honest, it feels like Sahel.The CBE\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to keep interest rates on hold when it meets this Thursday. Analysts\u2019 expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged comes despite inflation cooling in July to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":562088,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/05\/06\/this-morning-were-getting-a-five-day-eid-break-biden-wants-covid-vaccine-patents-suspended-its-pmi-day\/","url_meta":{"origin":666455,"position":2},"title":"THIS MORNING: We\u2019re getting a five-day Eid break + Biden wants covid vaccine patents suspended + it\u2019s PMI day","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 May 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Well, wonderful people, we\u2019ve nearly made it through another workweek together. Just a few hours left.THE BIG STORY here at home: We\u2019re getting a five-day Eid break. Also, something about new restrictions. But did we mention the five-day break for Eid El-Fitr? The vacation begins on Wednesday, 12 May (likely\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598736,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/03\/what-were-tracking-on-03-june-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":666455,"position":3},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 03 June 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"It\u2019s official: We\u2019re on Eid break as of tomorrow morning \u2014 but you may still be fasting. Both the central bank and the EGX have confirmed that our five-day Eid El Fitr weekend begins tomorrow. Banks, capital markets (and, by extension, much of the private sector) are on holiday Tuesday\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":646638,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/06\/20\/what-were-tracking-on-20-june-2017\/","url_meta":{"origin":666455,"position":4},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 20 June 2017","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 June 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"IT\u2019S OFFICIAL: Eid Al-Fitr in Egypt will be a three-day break from Sunday, 25 June until Tuesday, 27 June, Prime Minister Sherif Ismail announced yesterday, according to AMAY. All public institutions will be closed on those days. The Central Bank of Egypt subsequently announced (pdf) banks will also be closed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":551670,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/07\/06\/tonight-pmi-hits-new-low-game-over-for-boris-johnson-el-sisi-inaugurates-projects-new-green-investments-from-the-uae-after-eid\/","url_meta":{"origin":666455,"position":5},"title":"TONIGHT: PMI hits new low + Game over for Boris Johnson? El Sisi inaugurates projects. New green investments from the UAE after Eid.","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 July 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"One more working day left until the Eid break, ladies and gentlemen. We can imagine how productivity is going to look like tomorrow.Late to the party, but always welcome: The EGX (pdf) joined the central bank (pdf) and the Manpower Ministry in a week-long observance of Eid Al Adha. Private\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=666455"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666455\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/666453"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/666456"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=666455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=666455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=666455"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=666455"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=666455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}