{"id":665819,"date":"2025-05-25T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-25T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/05\/25\/cbe-cuts-rates-for-second-time-amid-easing-inflationary-pressures\/"},"modified":"2025-05-25T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-25T00:00:00","slug":"cbe-cuts-rates-for-second-time-amid-easing-inflationary-pressures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/05\/25\/cbe-cuts-rates-for-second-time-amid-easing-inflationary-pressures\/","title":{"rendered":"CBE cuts rates for second time amid easing inflationary pressures"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Centr<\/strong>al<\/strong> Bank of Egypt (CBE) cut interest rates by 100 bps in its third meeting of the <\/strong>year on Thursday<\/strong>, the bank said in a statement (pdf)<\/a>. The move marks the Monetary Policy Committee\u2019s (MPC) second consecutive change to the policy rates since March 2024, following seven consecutive meetings where rates were held steady<\/a>. It is also the bank\u2019s second rate cut since November 2020. <\/p>\n

Where rates currently stand:<\/strong> The overnight deposit rate now stands at 24.00%, the overnight lending rate at 25.00%, and the main operation and disc. rates at 24.50%.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe moderating trend in headline and core inflation, coupled with easing underlying <\/strong>dy<\/strong>namics, suggests an improvement in inflation expectations,\u201d<\/strong> the MPC said, noting that inflation is predicted to further dip throughout the remainder of 2025 and 2026, \u201calbeit at a constrained pace given the expected drag from implemented and planned fiscal consolidation measures in 2025, in addition to the relative persistence of non-food inflation.\u201d <\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Annual urban inflation rose for the second month running in April to 13.9%<\/a>, marking a 0.3 percentage point increase from the 13.6% recorded in March. On a monthly basis, inflation eased by 0.3 percentage points to 1.3%.<\/p>\n

Most economists and analysts we polled last week saw this coming<\/strong>, with most expecting<\/a> the MPC to cut rates by around 100-200 bps. Driving the predictions was a viewpoint that an additional rate cut would help \u201cstimulate economic growth, given a relative stability in the domestic and international economic conditions compared to the previous month,\u201d HC Securities\u2019 Heba Mounir told us. Ahly Pharos\u2019 Hany Genena added that real interest rates are nearing 10%, global commodity prices are steady, and the EGP is appreciating, all factors that strengthened the case for a cut, he said.<\/p>\n

But the cut was on the lower end of expectations<\/strong>, which Genena told us is to account for a slight uptick in inflation in April to still keep a comfortable margin for monetary policy actions further on. But despite the acknowledgment of risks, what stood out was the bank\u2019s commitment to \u2014 and confidence in \u2014 continuing the easing cycle amid a more supportive macroeconomic environment, according to Genena. \u201cThere is no longer hesitation,\u201d he explained, pointing to how despite the existence of risks, the general direction remains firmly fixed in the general direction of continuing the monetary policy easing cycle.<\/p>\n

Analysts told us that they see monetary loosening continuing through 2025<\/strong>, including Capital Economics\u2019 Jason Tuvey, who said<\/a>in a comme<\/a>ntary<\/a> that \u201cthere\u2019s scope for much more monetary loosening by year-end\u201d as inflation continues to ease. Capital Economics sees the bank\u2019s overnight deposit rate falling from its current 24.00% to a \u201cbelow-consensus\u201d 17.00% by the end of the year \u2014 representing a sizable 7 percentage point cut in total over the five remaining MPC meetings of the year. Mirroring this perspective, Genena told us that Ahly Pharos sees cuts ranging from at least 4 to 5 percentage points, which could increase with Opec production hikes, which are expected to lower fuel prices.<\/p>\n

The move caught the attention of some corners of the global press:<\/strong> Bloomberg<\/a>, Reuters<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The move marks the bank\u2019s second rate cut since November 2020<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":665820,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[271,104,72,182,349],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-665819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"2a14e89a-ecd2-4279-9309-ff06b2750da5","order":"6","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/828.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"CBE cuts rates for second time amid easing inflationary pressures","related_issue":[665809],"teaser":"The move marks the bank\u2019s second rate cut since November 2020","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/5\/.9bdf9d39-777e-491a-a901-374483350ddb.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nCBE cuts rates for second time amid easing inflationary pressures - 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Uptick in inflation a key factor in the CBE\u2019s decision: The CBE\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/2\/278.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594183,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/22\/fitch-forecasts-50-bps-rate-cut-in-november-mpc-meeting\/","url_meta":{"origin":665819,"position":1},"title":"Fitch forecasts 50 bps rate cut in November MPC meeting","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Solutions expects the CBE to cut interest rates by 0.5% before the end of the year, and 1.5% in 2020, Masrawy said, citing a report. 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Ten of 11 analysts polled expect the bank to leave interest rates\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/4\/4.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572495,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/06\/28\/in-line-with-consensus-central-bank-of-egypt-leaves-rates-on-hold-in-june-meeting\/","url_meta":{"origin":665819,"position":4},"title":"In line with consensus, Central Bank of Egypt leaves rates on hold in June meeting","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 June 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE leaves rates on hold, in line with expectations: The Central Bank of Egypt left interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive meeting on Thursday, citing falling inflation, improving global financial conditions, and expectations of an economic recovery in a statement (pdf). This was in line with analysts and economists\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592825,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":665819,"position":5},"title":"CBE to make third consecutive rate cut next week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists predict CBE will make third consecutive rate cut next Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-100 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets a week from today, according to five of six economists polled by Enterprise. The economists cited the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=665819"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665819\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/665809"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/665820"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=665819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=665819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=665819"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=665819"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=665819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}