{"id":665160,"date":"2025-05-13T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/05\/13\/temporary-respite-as-us-china-trade-war-eases-with-90-day-truce\/"},"modified":"2025-05-13T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T00:00:00","slug":"temporary-respite-as-us-china-trade-war-eases-with-90-day-truce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/05\/13\/temporary-respite-as-us-china-trade-war-eases-with-90-day-truce\/","title":{"rendered":"Temporary respite as US-China trade war eases with 90-day truce"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US and China have agreed to a 90-day pause to their trade war after two days of talks <\/strong>in Geneva, <\/strong>with the US slashing tariffs it imposed earlier this year on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% \u2014 encompassing the 10% baseline US tariff and an additional 20% linked to fentanyl trafficking \u2014 while China lowered its tariffs on US imports from 125% to 10%, according to a joint statement<\/a> out yesterday.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The agreement marks the first meaningful de-escalation since the latest round of <\/strong>tit-for-tat tariffs began in April<\/strong>, when Washington ramped up levies on Chinese goods as part of its \u201creciprocal tariffs\u201d campaign, prompting an equally aggressive response from Beijing. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the recent levels had amounted to a de facto blockade of trade between the world\u2019s two largest economies \u2014 one that neither side wanted to see hardened into a permanent rupture.<\/p>\n

China\u2019s public messaging struck a similarly cautious tone. <\/strong>A white paper published yesterday by state media underscored Beijing\u2019s commitment to mutual respect in trade relations, while vowing to expand its toolkit to counter foreign sanctions and \u201clong-arm jurisdiction.\u201d At the same time, Chinese officials sought to frame the agreement as a win, with ING\u2019s chief China economist Lynn Song noting the lack of direct concessions required of Beijing.<\/p>\n

Bessent emphasized that Washington\u2019s approach isn\u2019t about wholesale disengagement. <\/strong>\u201cThe US is going to do a strategic decoupling in terms of the items that we discovered during Covid were of national security interests \u2014 whether it\u2019s semiconductors, medicine, steel,\u201d Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg<\/a>, underscoring the administration\u2019s intent to maintain pressure on critical supply chains while easing tensions more broadly. <\/p>\n

The agreement is more of a ceasefire than a lasting settlement:<\/strong> More Talks are expected to continue in the coming weeks, with both parties leaving the door open to extending the three-month truce if progress is made. Bessent hinted that if China were to engage more directly on curbing the fentanyl trade, further relief could be possible. Still, he described it as \u201cimplausible\u201d that US tariffs on China would fall below the 10% mark. <\/p>\n

Trump said upcoming talks will focus on \u201copening up\u201d China to American business<\/strong>, noting that many of the tariffs he imposed will remain in place for now. He added that he expects to speak with President Xi Jinping later this week, but cautioned that putting a comprehensive deal on paper would take time. <\/p>\n

HOW MARKETS TOOK ALL OF THIS-<\/p>\n

American m<\/strong>arkets rallied on the news<\/strong>, with the S&P 500 jumped 3.3% by the end of trading yesterday, while the Nasdaq finished the day up 4.4% following the news. The USD gained 1.4%. <\/p>\n

The rally came at the expense of traditional safe havens<\/strong>, with gold tumbling more 3.5% to USD 3,228 an ounce, pulling back from last month\u2019s record highs, along with some safe-haven currencies.<\/p>\n

The VIX index \u2014 Wall Street\u2019s so-called \u201cfear gauge\u201d \u2014 dropped below the cutoff 20 <\/strong>mark yesterday for the first time since 28 <\/strong>March, <\/strong>suggesting a potential shift toward calmer market sentiment. The VIX rose to a 5-year high of 45.3 on 4 April fueled by Donald Trump\u2019s tariff announcements. The last spike before that was in March 2020 when it reached 85.5 in reaction to Covid.<\/p>\n

\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the green this morning. <\/strong>Japan\u2019s Nikkei is up 1.7%, the Shanghai Composite is looking at gains of 0.2%, and Korea\u2019s Kospi is up 0.4%. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng is down 1.3% in early trading. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,577<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +6.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.57<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.55<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.00% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

26.00% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,489<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.3% (YTD: -4.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,639<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +2.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,334<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +3.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,844<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+3.3% (YTD: -0.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,605<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +5.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,392<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.6% (YTD: +10.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 64.98<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex) <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3,228<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 102,595<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.2% (YTD: +9.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

867.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +11.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

143.4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +2.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

VIX (Volatility Index)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

18.39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-16.0% (YTD: +6.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.5% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.2 bn (29.4% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 6.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>ADIB (+3.6%), Egypt Aluminium (+1.4%), and Abu Qir Fertilizers (+1.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Qalaa Holdings (-2.9%), TMG Holding (-1.1%), and Orascom Construction (-1.1%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS- <\/p>\n

#1-<\/strong> Orascom Development will distribute a dividend of EGP 0.38 per share on the <\/strong>company\u2019s earnings for 2024<\/strong>, amounting to EGP 434.5 mn, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n

#2- CI Capital will distribute dividends of EGP 0.70 per share<\/strong>, with the first 50% paid on 29 May and the second installment on 25 September, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n

#3- Qalaa Holdings will hold a general assembly on 4 June 2025 to consider extending <\/strong>the deadline for completing the issued capital increase procedures<\/strong> to 15 September 2025, according to a disclosure to the EGX (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The agreement saw stock markets across the globe soar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":665161,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-665160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"c6785b59-0af4-4c18-a25d-3be7c44d1796","order":"14","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/5\/968.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Temporary 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