{"id":663443,"date":"2025-04-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/04\/09\/or-how-i-learned-to-stop-worrying-and-love-fx-volatility\/"},"modified":"2025-04-09T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T00:00:00","slug":"or-how-i-learned-to-stop-worrying-and-love-fx-volatility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/04\/09\/or-how-i-learned-to-stop-worrying-and-love-fx-volatility\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2026or how I learned to stop worrying and love FX volatility"},"content":{"rendered":"

The EGP rallied against the greenback yesterday<\/strong>, snapping a four-day slide as one USD changed hands for around 51.33 at both public and private banks. The rate stood at EGP 51.47 to the USD the day before, its lowest point since the March 2024 float after US President Donald Trump kicked off his trade war. (The EGP started the week at EGP 50.62.)<\/p>\n

The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s determination to stick to a floating FX regime appears to be <\/strong>paying off: <\/strong>Bankers we spoke with yesterday tell us that a handful of foreign portfolio investors cautiously bought back into Egyptian debt. Debt markets saw outflows starting Sunday after the scope of the Trump tariff war became clear \u2014 as some investors opted to lock in gains and move to cash or other less-risky assets in a time of uncertainty. The pace of outflows slowed significantly yesterday, two bankers said, and the interbank market remains healthy. <\/strong><\/p>\n

We figured this could happen<\/strong>, saying in yesterday\u2019s issue that carry-trade investors who left Egypt this week were doing so with a good taste in their mouths: \u201cThey made money. And when the current turmoil settles, they\u2019ll remember they got their USD and got out smoothly<\/a> \u2014 a big vote of confidence in Egypt and the CBE.\u201d<\/p>\n

What\u2019s bringing them back? <\/strong>The returns here are too lucrative to turn down, with Egypt offering one of the best yields on debt globally, the bankers noted. <\/p>\n

Volumes on the interbank market are returning to more normal levels<\/strong>, down 70% from Sunday\u2019s peak at USD 250-300 mn. <\/p>\n

SMART POLICY- Egyptian policymakers are on the ground at the EFG Hermes One on <\/strong>One in Dubai sending the right signals. <\/strong>Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk met throughout the day yesterday with investors. On Monday, Central Bank of Egypt Deputy Governor Ramy Aboul Naga was crystal clear, telling investors that a floating FX regime is a \u201cshock absorber\u201d for the economy<\/a> from which the CBE has no intention of backing away. This type of policy maturity is incredibly welcome. <\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The average yield on interest rates \u2014 among the highest globally \u2014 has been the main factor attracting investors quickly back to the market<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":663444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12144],"tags":[6637,72,1666,2234],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-663443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-egp-watch","tag-egp-watch","tag-enterpriseam","tag-exchange-rate","tag-foreign-exchange","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"481c302f-655a-4a4e-9028-c57687d436f2","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/4\/396.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"EGP strengthens against the USD after four days of losses as carry trade investors cautiously re-enter Egypt\u2019s debt market","related_issue":[663438],"teaser":"The average yield on interest rates \u2014 among the highest globally \u2014 has been the main factor attracting investors quickly back to the market","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/4\/.f4de2173-ef0d-4b7f-baa1-62816652477e.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\n\u2026or how I learned to stop worrying and love FX volatility - 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The spread between most EGP treasury bills and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/355.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":591779,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/17\/egypts-pound-rallies-to-near-three-year-high-breaking-egp-16-usd-1-barrier\/","url_meta":{"origin":663443,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s pound rallies to near three-year high, breaking EGP 16 \/ USD 1 barrier","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 December 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"EGP rallies to near three-year high: The EGP rose to its highest level since February 2017 against the USD, breaking the EGP 16 barrier to reach EGP 15.97 yesterday, central bank data shows. The EGP has risen 10.1% against the USD since the beginning of the year, according to Al\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/4\/EGP-USD-1600px.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598869,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/06\/11\/the-question-on-everyones-lips-where-is-the-egp-heading\/","url_meta":{"origin":663443,"position":3},"title":"The question on everyone\u2019s lips: Where is the EGP heading?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 June 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"ANALYSIS- The question on everyone\u2019s lips as we ponder the kickoff of budget season at most companies after the summer break: Where is the EGP heading? The EGP has been on a good run this year, appreciating by about 7% YTD against the USD to 16.7917. 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