{"id":662766,"date":"2025-03-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-23T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/03\/23\/hot-money-inflows-rise-to-usd-38-bn-amid-declining-inflation-anticipated-rate-cuts\/"},"modified":"2025-03-23T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-03-23T00:00:00","slug":"hot-money-inflows-rise-to-usd-38-bn-amid-declining-inflation-anticipated-rate-cuts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/03\/23\/hot-money-inflows-rise-to-usd-38-bn-amid-declining-inflation-anticipated-rate-cuts\/","title":{"rendered":"Hot money inflows rise to USD 38 bn amid declining inflation, anticipated rate cuts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>Foreign investors have significantly increased their purchases of government debt <\/strong><strong>instruments<\/strong>, leading to a resurgence in hot money inflows following a slight blip at the beginning of the month that was driven by the maturity of one-year t-bills. Foreign holdings of public debt have returned to their pre-December levels,<strong> reaching approximately USD 38 bn<\/strong>, a senior government official told EnterpriseAM.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Last week in particular was a busy one for the debt market<\/strong> as foreign investors bought over USD 2 bn in government debt instruments, our source tells us. The Finance Ministry issued debt instruments worth EGP 205 bn on Thursday and Sunday of last week to cover maturing debt obligations, with the issuances receiving strong demand from foreign investors, according to data from the Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbe.org.eg\/en\/auctions\/egp-t-bills\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Why now?<\/strong> The source attributed the rise in demand from foreign investors to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/f1e5afc1-03a1-4322-8aeb-8e6d57650068\/egypt%E2%80%99s-inflation-slips-to-its-lowest-level-in-nearly-3-years-in-february\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">declining<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/f1e5afc1-03a1-4322-8aeb-8e6d57650068\/egypt%E2%80%99s-inflation-slips-to-its-lowest-level-in-nearly-3-years-in-february\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">infla<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/f1e5afc1-03a1-4322-8aeb-8e6d57650068\/egypt%E2%80%99s-inflation-slips-to-its-lowest-level-in-nearly-3-years-in-february\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">tion<\/a> figures coupled with <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/8698fcba-d4de-469b-bb6b-bdc31de67965\/a-bigger-privatization-program-in-the-making%3F\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">expectations of an interest rate cut<\/a> from the CBE in April \u2014 both of which are driving investors to buy one-year and nine-month debt instruments. Demand has also increased for t-bills with a 91-day maturity amid geopolitical tensions, the source added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Rising demand brought down the yield on debt instruments<\/strong>, with the average yield on government debt instruments declining by around 2-3 percentage points, the source said. Demand was highest for 91-day and 182-day treasury bill auctions, with the two auctions receiving offers totaling EGP 533 bn for a targeted amount of just EGP 110 bn. This reduced the yield to 27-28%, compared to a previous average range of 27-31%. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The new issuances are intended to finance maturing debt<\/strong>, with a smaller portion allocated to bridging the fiscal deficit \u2014 which explains why the Finance Ministry is accepting high yields, our source told us. The ministry has increased its loan requests from local banks to approximately EGP 1.8 tn during the current quarter of the fiscal year to meet debt obligations. Inflows from foreign investors are expected to continue in the near term to help offset losses in the equity market, our source added.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>More debt issuances are on their way<\/strong>, our source told us, explaining that the ministry is currently expanding the issuance of various debt instruments to reduce the cost of public debt servicing and that preparatory steps are underway to issue sukuk in the domestic market, though no specific timeline has been set yet. The ministry is also looking to issue treasury bonds with variable interest rates, as well as zero-interest loans and traditional debt instruments.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The current wave of investment in treasuries reflects strong demand from foreign <\/strong><strong>inv<\/strong><strong>estors as the quarter nears its end<\/strong>, banking expert Mohamed Abdel Aal told EnterpriseAM. Investors are seeking to lock in high interest rates for as long as possible, which has helped stabilize FX liquidity in the interbank market and kept the exchange rate steady despite geopolitical tensions and economic upheaval, Abdel Aal said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Abdel Aal projected that the exchange rate would stabilize around EGP 50.75 due to the <\/strong><strong>inflows<\/strong>, which have helped strengthen the EGP at this time \u2014 indicating that foreign investment inflows into debt instruments are outpacing outflows. Maintaining these inflows will also support the CBE\u2019s gradual shift toward an interest rate-cutting policy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Foreign investors bought over USD 2 bn in government debt instruments last week<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":662767,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7274],"tags":[7106,88,72],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-662766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-debt-watch","tag-debt","tag-debt-watch","tag-enterpriseam","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"14d226dc-86f7-4f22-b18a-b8ac3fe05c27","order":"4","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/6\/406.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Hot money inflows rise to USD 38 bn amid declining inflation, anticipated rate cuts","related_issue":[662761],"teaser":"Foreign investors bought over USD 2 bn in government debt instruments last week","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2025\/3\/.d34d4386-a0a5-4dc8-bdf5-ec8e81d1e1ca.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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Another government source put the figure at USD 17.6 bn as of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":562671,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/02\/foreign-investors-are-still-buying-our-treasuries\/","url_meta":{"origin":662766,"position":1},"title":"Foreign investors are still buying our treasuries","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"FROM THE DEPT. OF GOOD NEWS- Foreign holdings of Egyptian treasury bills jumped to USD 20.8 bn (c. EGP 327 bn) as of the end of April, up from USD 20 bn (EGP 314 bn) in March, according to central bank figures (pdf) released yesterday. Investors put almost USD 3\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/6\/36.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":563406,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/30\/foreign-investors-still-love-egyptian-debt\/","url_meta":{"origin":662766,"position":2},"title":"Foreign investors still love Egyptian debt","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"30 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign investors\u2019 love story with Egyptian debt continued through May: Foreign inflows into Egyptian treasury bills continued to gain steam last month, rising to USD 22.3 bn (c. EGP 350 bn) as of the end of May from USD 20.9 bn (EGP 327 bn) in April, according to central bank\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;DEBT WATCH&quot;","block_context":{"text":"DEBT WATCH","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/debt-watch\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/6\/378.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573002,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/16\/foreign-holdings-of-egyptian-govt-debt-sees-smallest-monthly-dip-in-may\/","url_meta":{"origin":662766,"position":3},"title":"Foreign holdings of Egyptian gov\u2019t debt sees smallest monthly dip in May","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign portfolio investment in May sees smallest monthly dip since the start of the pandemic: Foreign holdings of Egyptian sovereign debt stood at USD 7 bn by the end of last May, falling only slightly from USD 7.4 mn in April, Central Bank of Egypt data (pdf) showed. This m-o-m\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":671112,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/09\/01\/finmin-ramps-up-borrowing-target-for-september-on-strong-demand\/","url_meta":{"origin":662766,"position":4},"title":"FinMin ramps up borrowing target for September on strong demand","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 September 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"FinMin has upped its monthly borrowing target for September to EGP 838 bn, up from EGP 670 bn in August","rel":"","context":"In &quot;DEBT WATCH&quot;","block_context":{"text":"DEBT WATCH","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/debt-watch\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1760.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":556181,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/10\/14\/our-sovereign-debt-should-finally-be-back-on-jpmorgan-ems-govt-debt-index-in-january-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":662766,"position":5},"title":"Our sovereign debt should finally be back on JPMorgan EMs gov\u2019t debt index in January 2022","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 October 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt is expected to make it back onto JPMorgan\u2019s emerging-market sovereign bond index by the end of January 2022, the US investment bank said in a research note picked up by Reuters. The country is eligible for a weight of close to 1.85%, with 14 government bonds with a combined\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;DEBT WATCH&quot;","block_context":{"text":"DEBT WATCH","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/debt-watch\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/155.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=662766"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662766\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/662761"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/662767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=662766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=662766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=662766"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=662766"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=662766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}