{"id":660747,"date":"2025-02-17T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/02\/17\/trumps-reciprocal-tariff-drive-is-throwing-international-firms-for-a-loop\/"},"modified":"2025-02-17T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-17T00:00:00","slug":"trumps-reciprocal-tariff-drive-is-throwing-international-firms-for-a-loop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/02\/17\/trumps-reciprocal-tariff-drive-is-throwing-international-firms-for-a-loop\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s reciprocal tariff drive is throwing international firms for a loop"},"content":{"rendered":"

US Pres<\/strong>ident Donald<\/strong> Trump\u2019s push for reciprocal tariffs has sent businesses scrambling <\/strong>to assess the fallout on supply chains and costs<\/strong>, The New York Times<\/a> writes. While Trump argues the policy is about fairness \u2014 matching tariffs imposed on US exports with equivalent duties on imports \u2014 it is also a harbinger of significant uncertainty for businesses and policymakers alike.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

Where Trump\u2019s tariffs stand so far:<\/strong> Trump has already imposed a 10% tariff on USD 450<\/a>bn worth<\/a> of Chinese goods and 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports<\/a> and vowed to impose reciprocal tariffs matching those imposed by other US trade partners. He has also threatened to impose 25% tariffs<\/a> on US imports from Mexico and Canada, with the measures on hold until 1 March<\/a> as the neighboring countries continue to negotiate over border security. <\/p>\n

Sidelining the WTO:<\/strong> Trump\u2019s reciprocal tariff policy is not just a shift in trade policy \u2014 it\u2019s a fundamental challenge to the World Trade Organization\u2019s (WTO) role in global trade governance. For decades, the WTO has facilitated trade through multilateral agreements, ensuring that all member nations receive equal tariff treatment. Trump\u2019s approach upends this system, pushing for country-to-country negotiations instead. The shift could have far-reaching consequences, as it erodes the global rules-based trading order and replaces it with a fragmented system of one-on-one trade deals based on direct negotiations.<\/p>\n

It also introduces more uncertainty for multinational companies<\/strong>, which must now navigate a patchwork of differing tariff agreements instead of a standardized global framework. \u201cFor every widget, every tariff classification, you can have 150 different duty rates,\u201d said law firm Sidley Austin\u2019s Ted Murphy. It is bound to expose businesses to increased compliance costs and introduce uncertainty into global supply chains.<\/p>\n

Businesses brace for the fallout:<\/strong> Trump\u2019s latest tariff frenzy has forced international companies to rethink supply chains and investment strategies. Retailers like Walmart have already shifted sourcing from China to India and Mexico, while Columbia Sportswear and MedSource Labs have been exploring factory sites in Central America. However, Trump has now put those regions on notice as well.<\/p>\n

The automotive sector is particularly vulnerable<\/strong>, as more than a quarter of US imports are components and raw materials essential for manufacturing. This means that higher tariffs could make American production more expensive, undermining domestic job creation rather than supporting it in direct contradiction to Trump\u2019s stated rationale for the tariffs. \u201cA 25% tariff across the Mexico and Canadian border will blow a hole in the US industry that we have never seen,\u201d Ford CEO Jim Farley warned last week.<\/p>\n

A strategy or a high-stakes gamble?<\/strong> While many see Trump\u2019s tariff threats as a blunt protectionist measure, some analysts believe they could serve as a negotiation tactic. \u201cThere are a lot of ways this can go very badly for us\u2026 But if he can get other countries to open up their markets, there is a narrow path where this could end up promoting trade,\u201d said former US Treasury official Christine McDaniel.<\/p>\n

The unpredictability of Trump\u2019s trade moves is leaving businesses and investors in <\/strong>limbo.<\/strong> \u201cWe take Trump seriously, but not necessarily literally,\u201d said trade lawyer Ted Murphy. \u201cHe talks in broad strokes, but we have to watch what actually emerges.\u201d<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly in the green in early trading this morning<\/strong>, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei looking at gains of 0.1%, the Hang Seng up 0.2%, and the Kospi up 0.8%. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,444<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.5% (YTD: +2.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.56<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.57<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,372<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +2.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,626<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,362<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,115<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,732<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +6.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,493<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +12.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 74.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,901<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 96,307<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.3% (YTD: +2.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 1.5% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.4 bn (6.9% below the 90-day average). Regional investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 2.4% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Emaar Misr (+6.9%), E-finance (+5.6%), and Rameda Pharma (+4.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Juhayna (-4.0%) and Telecom Egypt (-0.1%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Many see Trump\u2019s tariff threats as a blunt protectionist measure, others believe they could serve as a negotiation 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