{"id":660663,"date":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/02\/16\/rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut\/"},"modified":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-16T00:00:00","slug":"rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/02\/16\/rising-us-inflation-in-january-reduces-chance-of-fed-rate-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"Rising US inflation in January reduces chance of Fed rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"

The odds <\/strong>of a US Federal Reserve rate cut took another hit after inflation came in hotter <\/strong>than expected in January<\/strong>, with the consumer price index rising 3% y-o-y, the highest increase since June, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data<\/a>. While only marginally higher than December\u2019s 2.9%, the uptick was enough for traders to dial back projections of a 2025 rate cut, pushing Treasury yields above 4.6%, CNBC<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above<\/strong> to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)<\/p>\n

What\u2019s driving inflation?<\/strong> Shelter costs accounted for nearly 30% of January\u2019s price increase, rising 0.4%. Gasoline jumped 1.8%, contributing to a 1.1% increase in overall energy costs. Food prices also ticked up 0.4%, with grocery costs rising 0.5%. Meanwhile, used car prices climbed 2.2%, and motor vehicle insurance jumped 2%. Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 3.3% y-o-y.<\/p>\n

REMEMBER- <\/strong>Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs are expected<\/a> to stoke inflation further. US President Donald Trump reiterated earlier last week that rates \u201cshould be lowered, something which would go hand in hand with upcoming tariffs,\u201d CNBC reports. Some 90% of the economists in Reuters\u2019 October 2024 and February 2025 polls raised their inflation estimates for 2025 following Trump\u2019s election victory.<\/p>\n

ICYMI- <\/strong>Trump has already imposed a 10% tariff on USD 450 bn worth<\/a> of Chinese goods and 25% tariffs on steel aluminum imports<\/a> and vowed to impose reciprocal tariffs matching those imposed by other US trade partners. He has also threatened to impose 25% tariffs<\/a> on US imports from Mexico and Canada, with the measures on hold until 1 March<\/a> as the neighboring countries continue to negotiate over border security. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt also signaled that more trade actions could be announced soon, CNBC reports.<\/p>\n

Are cuts still possible?<\/strong> A Reuters poll<\/a> of 101 analysts suggests that Fed officials will adopt a wait-and-see approach as they assess how tariffs and other policy changes could affect the economy before making any further rate cuts.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29,997<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +0.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.58<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.72<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.57<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,385<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +2.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,626<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: +2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,362<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,115<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,732<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +6.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,493<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +12.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 74.74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,901<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 97,485<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: +4.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 1.1% at Thursday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.3 bn (10.8% below the 90-day average). International investors were net buyers. The index is up 0.9% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Juhayna (+6.4%), Eastern Company (+5.5%), and Emaar Misr (+4.4%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Palm Hills Development (-1.6%), Oriental Weavers (-1.2%), and Egypt Aluminum (-1.1%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The consumer price index rose 3% y-o-y, the highest rise since June<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":660664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,182,349,122,388],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-660663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"eaf58815-1e9c-4461-b8d8-63ae8a7c6d23","order":"12","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/1\/1131.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Rising 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April","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/5\/643.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":586137,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/05\/07\/federal-reserve-raises-interest-rates-by-another-25-bps-despite-regional-banking-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":660663,"position":1},"title":"Federal Reserve raises interest rates by another 25 bps despite regional banking crisis","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 May 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Incoming inflation and jobs data + the plight of shaky regional lenders to determine what happens next","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/5\/294.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":543657,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/02\/13\/annual-urban-inflation-highest-in-almost-2-5-years-in-january\/","url_meta":{"origin":660663,"position":2},"title":"Annual urban inflation highest in almost 2.5 years in January","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 February 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual urban inflation hit its highest level in almost two and a half years in January due to rising food prices and an unfavorable base effect, according to figures released Thursday by statistics agency Capmas. Urban inflation rose to 7.3% last month from 5.9%in December, recording its highest rate since\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/2\/156.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":616339,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/03\/04\/feds-jerome-powell-expected-to-fend-off-hopes-of-an-imminent-rate-cut\/","url_meta":{"origin":660663,"position":3},"title":"Fed\u2019s Jerome Powell expected to fend off hopes of an imminent rate cut","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 March 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Fed is in no hurry to cut rates: US Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell is widely expected to deliver a hawkish message on interest rates to the US House and Senate in a semiannual monetary policy testimony on Wednesday and Thursday, writes Bloomberg. The why: The Fed is worried\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/3\/145.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":656437,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/12\/04\/rate-cuts-ahead-but-not-necessarily-in-december\/","url_meta":{"origin":660663,"position":4},"title":"Rate cuts ahead, but not necessarily in December","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 December 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The outlook remains \u201chighly uncertain\u201d for inflation","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/9\/565.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":578706,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/11\/inflation-hits-new-high-on-weaker-egp\/","url_meta":{"origin":660663,"position":5},"title":"Inflation hits new high on weaker EGP","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 January 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation rose to a fresh five-year high in December as the impact of successive currency devaluations continued to feed through to the economy. Figures released yesterday by state statistics agency Capmas showed annual urban inflation jumped to 21.3% in December, up from 18.7% the month before, driven by surging food\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/164.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/660663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=660663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/660663\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/660643"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/660664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=660663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=660663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=660663"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=660663"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=660663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}