{"id":660027,"date":"2025-02-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/02\/05\/uncertainty-of-trump-presidency-pushes-us-fed-to-rule-out-pre-emptive-rate-actions\/"},"modified":"2025-02-05T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T00:00:00","slug":"uncertainty-of-trump-presidency-pushes-us-fed-to-rule-out-pre-emptive-rate-actions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/02\/05\/uncertainty-of-trump-presidency-pushes-us-fed-to-rule-out-pre-emptive-rate-actions\/","title":{"rendered":"Uncertainty of Trump presidency pushes US Fed to rule out pre-emptive rate actions"},"content":{"rendered":"

To cut, or no<\/strong>t to cut is becoming an increasingly difficult question to answer in Trump\u2019s <\/strong>America. <\/strong>Although Trump has only been in the Oval Office for a meager 16 days, his plethora of executive orders, pledges of incoming tariffs, and threats to close economic allies have disrupted the forecasts of economists and policymakers alike. The US Federal Reserve is no different, with San Francisco Fed Head Mary Daly telling the New York Times<\/a> that any pre-emptive interest rate moves are off the table until the \u201cscope, magnitude and timing\u201d of the new presidency\u2019s actions and their effect on the economy are clearer.<\/p>\n

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n

The Fed is focused on seeing the wood from the trees<\/strong>, trying to gauge the combined effect of the new administration\u2019s policies, instead of reacting to each and every move \u2014 or a late-night tweet \u2014 from the presidency. \u201cIf a policy change is going to spur growth, which ultimately pushes down inflation, at the same time that there\u2019s something that picks it up a little bit, then you don\u2019t know what the net effect is going to be until you have more details about the policy,\u201d she explained.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe easiest way for a policy mistake is to speculate<\/strong>,\u201d she told the American paper of record. The paper only had to look back as far as the last couple of days to justify the Fed\u2019s new approach, with a tariff showdown with Canada and Mexico, along with a looming tariff war with China, and even the EU presenting an impossible-to-predict few months ahead for the country. <\/p>\n

For now, the Fed is sticking to its outlook from December<\/strong>, which projected interest rate cuts of half a percentage point in 2025, bringing the target range to 3.75-4%. But Daly emphasized that this could change, depending on how the US economy evolves. \u201cI think we have to have a very open mind about whether fewer or more will be needed,\u201d she said, indicating how inflation and policy shifts could complicate the central bank\u2019s plans and projections.<\/p>\n

The Fed has a different approach to Trump this time round<\/strong>, after being quick off the block to preemptively lower rates in three consecutive meetings in 2019 during Trump\u2019s first foray into trade wars. However, the US is in a different place right now, with inflation above the Fed\u2019s 2% target, making businesses and consumers more sensitive to price pressures.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed in early trading this morning<\/strong>, the Hang Seng is in the red, down 1.6%, and so is the Shanghai, down 0.6%, while the Kospi is up 1.0% and the Nikkei is relatively unchanged. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29,668<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3% (YTD: -0.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.24<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.37<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 50.26<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 50.36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,434<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +3.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,585<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +1.8%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,219<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

6,038<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +2.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,571<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +4.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,265<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.9% (YTD: +7.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 76.09<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.22<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,874<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 96,280<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-5.4% (YTD: +2.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.3% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.2 bn (16.5% under the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is down 0.2% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Orascom Developments (+1.9%), Oriental Weavers (+1.6%), and Alexandria Containers and Goods (+1.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Egypt Aluminum (-2.5%), Eastern Company (-1.8%), and GB Corp (-1.6%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cThe easiest way for a policy mistake is to speculate,\u201d said San Francisco Fed Head Mary Daly<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":660028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[984,72,8780,119,349,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-660027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-donald-trump","tag-enterpriseam","tag-federal-reserve","tag-financial-markets","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ca66adeb-c161-42bf-9ac7-0546b5fbe7dd","order":"14","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2025\/2\/376.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Uncertainty 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