{"id":658277,"date":"2025-01-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/01\/09\/analysts-and-economists-see-inflation-cooling-for-second-straight-month-in-december\/"},"modified":"2025-01-09T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T00:00:00","slug":"analysts-and-economists-see-inflation-cooling-for-second-straight-month-in-december","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/01\/09\/analysts-and-economists-see-inflation-cooling-for-second-straight-month-in-december\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts and economists see inflation cooling for second straight month in December"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends.<\/strong> Unlike many of us who are already falling behind on our New Year\u2019s resolutions to get to the gym or eat a little healthier, it seems the government is getting off to a quick start on its resolution to ramp up privatization efforts. We\u2019ve got important privatization updates, good news for exporters, and more from the private and public sectors for you to catch up on this morning.<\/p>\n

PSA-<\/p>\n

WEATHER- Be careful on your drive into work in Cairo today<\/strong>, with heavy fog forecast, along with a high of 22\u00b0C and a low of 12\u00b0C, according to our favorite weather app.<\/p>\n

Fog is also forecast for Alexandria<\/strong>, along with a chance of heavy rain, a high of 22\u00b0C and a low of 12\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

And over the weekend, <\/strong>expect to see daily highs in the capital and Alexandria dip a couple of degrees, before warming back up again starting Sunday.<\/p>\n

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover <\/strong>Saudi Arabia<\/a><\/strong> and the <\/strong>UAE<\/a><\/strong>?<\/strong><\/p>\n

** Were you forwarded this email?<\/strong> Tap or click here<\/a> to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time \u2014 without charge.<\/p>\n

HAPPENING TODAY-<\/p>\n

<\/a> #1- Inflation to fall for a second consecutive month? <\/strong>Analysts, policymakers and the business community are eagerly awaiting inflation figures for December set to be released later today by state statistics agency Capmas.<\/p>\n

Many will be hoping for a second consecutive month of easing inflationary pressures<\/strong>, following annual urban inflation dropping a full percentage<\/a> point in November that beat analyst predictions of only a 0.1 percentage point drop. The most recent inflation data puts the headline figure at 25.5%, marking the lowest inflation reading since December 2022.<\/p>\n

Analysts and economists seem to be in agreement that we may be in line for some good<\/strong> news<\/strong>, with a Reuters poll<\/a> of 13 analysts forecasting inflation to dip 1.3 percentage points to 24.2% in its median forecast. HC Securities\u2019 Heba Monir pointed to \u201crelatively lower to stable vegetable and fruit prices due to seasonality\u201d as a reason behind her forecast that inflation for the month will dip to 24.1% y-o-y.<\/p>\n

\n

<\/a> #2- European Parliament President Roberta Metsola will meet with President Abdel Fattah<\/strong> El Sisi later today<\/strong>, with the discussion set to discuss the joint strategic and comprehensive partnership<\/a> between the two countries, macro financial assistance, human rights, Israel\u2019s war on Gaza, and Syria, according to a statement (pdf)<\/a> from the bloc. During her two-day visit that wraps today, Metsola will also meet with Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty after having spoken House speaker Hanafy Gebaly and Senate speaker Abdel Wahab Abdel Razeq the day before.<\/p>\n

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Get Enterprise<\/b> daily <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

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FROM THE RUMOR MILL-<\/p>\n

<\/a> Nassef<\/strong> Sawiris mulls leaving the UK amid tax hikes: <\/strong>Nassef Sawiris \u2014 currently the richest Egyptian, with an estimated fortune of some USD 8.8 bn \u2014 is considering leaving the UK due to the prospect of rising taxes on the wealthy, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Anonymous sources speaking to Bloomberg say that Sawiris, who has been residing in the UK for over a decade and has a sizable portfolio in the country, is considering moving to the US or EU \u2014 though plans remain in the early stages and could still change, they added.<\/p>\n

THE BIG STORY ABROAD- <\/p>\n

The foreign press has its attention squarely split between the raging wildfires in Los <\/strong>Angeles and minutes from the US Federal Reserve\u2019s latest meeting<\/strong> \u2014 plus a global bond sell-off triggered by threats of tax cuts and tariffs from US president-elect Donald Trump. <\/p>\n

#1- More than 100k people in Los Angeles have evacuated as wildfires swept across the area<\/strong>, killing at least five people. The fires were spurred further on by blowing winds that impacted firefighting operations and damaged some electric infrastructure, leaving mns of houses without power. (Reuters<\/a> | Guardian<\/a> | FT<\/a> | WSJ<\/a>) <\/p>\n

#2- The Federal Reserve is looking more likely to slow down \u2014 or completely pause \u2014 interest rate cuts<\/strong>, with the minutes from its latest meeting showing growing concern over rising inflation in light of Trump\u2019s plan for tariffs and tax cuts. (FT<\/a> | Reuters<\/a> | CNBC<\/a>)<\/p>\n

#3- Also a result of Trumponomics: Selloffs in the global bond market are pushing yields to new highs<\/strong>, with the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching close to the 5% peak hit in October 2023, Bloomberg<\/a> reports. Emerging markets are also seeing the busiest start of year for bond sales on record, with some USD 26 bn in bond issuances in the first week of the year, as issuers look to lock in funds before Trump takes office and implements potentially damaging trade policies, Bloomberg<\/a> reports separately. <\/p>\n

#4- Also getting attention: The Lebanese parliament looks set to elect army chief Joseph Aoun as president <\/strong>when it meets today in the latest bid to end an over two-year presidential vacuum. Hezbollah\u2019s preferred candidate, Suleiman Frangieh, pulled out of the race on Wednesday and endorsed Aoun. (AP<\/a> | Reuters<\/a> | NYT<\/a>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends. Unlike many of us who are already falling behind on our New Year\u2019s resolutions to get to the gym or eat a little healthier, it seems the government is getting off to a quick start on its resolution to ramp up privatization efforts. 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We\u2019re just about at the end of the work week, after making it through what felt like a very, very long January.** TAKE OUR JANUARY ENTERPRISE READER SURVEY and get a chance to break bread with us: Give us your thoughts on how 2022 panned\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/95.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":607858,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/10\/this-evening-inflation-accelerates-again-in-september-imf-revises-upwards-egypts-growth-forecast\/","url_meta":{"origin":658277,"position":1},"title":"THIS EVENING: Inflation accelerates again in September + IMF revises upwards Egypt\u2019s growth forecast","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 October 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, wonderful people. It\u2019s looking like a good news \/ bad news kind of day, with mixed sentiments coming in. THE BIG STORIES TODAY #1- Annual urban inflation accelerated to 38.0% in September, reaching yet another all-time high, according to Capmas data released today. September is the fourth consecutive\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/10\/229.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":583134,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/09\/this-evening-govt-could-sell-stakes-in-more-military-owned-firms-el-sisi-says-inflation-rises-again-in-january\/","url_meta":{"origin":658277,"position":2},"title":"THIS EVENING: Gov\u2019t could sell stakes in more military-owned firms, El Sisi says + Inflation rises again in January","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the last few hours of the work week. It\u2019s been a busy 24 hours, to say the least, so we hope you are all able to disconnect over the weekend. THE BIG STORIES TODAY #1- Could we see more military-owned firms joining\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Shoppers-Cairo-market-Reuters-1.23.23-1600px.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":581038,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/02\/this-evening-our-current-account-deficit-narrowed-in-1q-2022-23-its-mpc-day\/","url_meta":{"origin":658277,"position":3},"title":"THIS EVENING: Our current account deficit narrowed in 1Q 2022-23 + It\u2019s MPC day","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/105.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":552082,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/10\/this-evening-ksa-snaps-up-usd-1-3-bn-worth-of-stakes-in-four-state-owned-egx-listed-companies-its-all-about-inflation-today\/","url_meta":{"origin":658277,"position":4},"title":"THIS EVENING: KSA snaps up USD 1.3 bn-worth of stakes in four state-owned, EGX-listed companies + It\u2019s all about inflation today","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 August 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, wonderful people. It\u2019s a mostly good news kind of Wednesday, with the entry of Saudi sovereign wealth fund PIF getting the ball rolling on its pledged USD 10 bn of investments in Egypt, while inflation figures didn\u2019t extend their brief cool-off last month.THE BIG STORIES TODAY KSA makes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":588301,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/06\/08\/this-evening-sczone-board-signs-off-on-selling-20-stake-in-pscchc-on-the-egx\/","url_meta":{"origin":658277,"position":5},"title":"THIS EVENING: SCZone board signs off on selling 20% stake in PSCCHC on the EGX","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 June 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, wonderful people, and happy THURSDAY to us all. We\u2019re ending the week with a relatively calm news day \u2014 save for a big step in the Madbouly cabinet\u2019s privatization plans. THE BIG STORY TODAY Port Said Port operator heading to the EGX: The Suez Canal Economic Zone\u2019s (SCZone)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/1116.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/658277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=658277"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/658277\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/658275"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/658278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=658277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=658277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=658277"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=658277"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=658277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}