{"id":655932,"date":"2024-11-26T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-26T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/26\/how-will-the-incoming-trump-administration-affect-the-markets\/"},"modified":"2024-11-26T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-26T00:00:00","slug":"how-will-the-incoming-trump-administration-affect-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/26\/how-will-the-incoming-trump-administration-affect-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"How will the incoming Trump administration affect the markets?"},"content":{"rendered":"

A Trump presidency is likely to bring with it big changes in geopolitics and the global <\/strong>economy<\/strong>, so investors need to take a close look at how the incoming Trump administration will affect the markets \u2014 and what to do protect and strengthen their portfolios, Swiss investment bank UBS writes in its Year Ahead 2025 report (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

One winner under the Trump administration will be US stock markets, thinks UBS<\/strong>, which it has backed up with its forecast that the S&P 500 should reach 6.6k points by the end of 2025 \u2014 a roughly 10% jump from where the index stands now. In addition to expectations of decent growth, the Fed continuing to cut rates, and the rise of AI \u2014 which had all been priced in before the election \u2014 the approaching Trump presidency brings with it pledged tax cuts and deregulation that UBS thinks will help support US stocks.<\/p>\n

But stock markets elsewhere may not be so fortunate<\/strong>, with Trump\u2019s proposed tariffs \u2014 particularly on China \u2014 potentially making a big dent in investor confidence. With the president elect already floating a 60% tariff on Chinese goods and a 10% tariff on imports from elsewhere, the bank forecasts the likelihood of market volatility over the pond in Europe and in the world\u2019s second largest economy.<\/p>\n

US Bonds are also likely to soon lose their shine<\/strong>, after having seen their yield rise on the announcement of Trump winning the White House earlier this month. The bank is telling investors to lock in return now before more interest rate cuts from the Fed and Trump\u2019s desire to relax fiscal policy facing likely hurdles in Congress sends yields down.<\/p>\n

An increasingly strong greenback is also set for a reckoning, according to the bank<\/strong>, with the USD\u2019s post-election honeymoon forecast to be a short-term thing as it becomes apparent that is both overvalued and overstretched. <\/p>\n

Gold prices should be back on the up in 2025<\/strong>, allowing the safe-haven asset once again to take its place as an important hedge for investors against inflation, geopolitics, and other concerns. The bank \u2014 which advises that investors keep 5% of their investments in gold \u2014 sees the previous metal rising to USD 2.9k per oz, a nearly 10% increase from current prices.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mostly starting the day off in the red despite US stocks hitting new <\/strong>records the day before<\/strong>, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei leading the pack in the red at -1.3% and Korea\u2019s Kospi at -0.7%. China\u2019s Shanghai index is in the green by 0.3% and Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng is up 0.4%.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,271<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.4% (YTD: +21.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.55<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.57<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,788<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7% (YTD: -1.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9232<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.0% (YTD: -3.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4768<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +17.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5987<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +25.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8292<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +7.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4800<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2% (YTD: +6.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 73.15<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-2.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 3.37<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+7.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,642.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 93,749.90<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4.3% (YTD: +122.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.4% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 3.7 bn (12.4% below the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 21.6% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Ezz Steel (+2.8%), TMG Holding (+2.4%), and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (+0.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Faisal Islamic Bank -EGP (-5.7%), EFG Holding (-2.7%), and Juhayna (-2.2%).<\/p>\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS-<\/p>\n

Concrete Fashion Group will convert all its shares in subsidiaries Swiss Garments and<\/strong> Cristall for Making Shirts into indirect ownership<\/strong>, according to a decision from the company\u2019s board detailed in an EGX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. The move is pending the necessary approvals from the Financial Regulatory Authority and other relevant entities.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The USD\u2019s post-election honeymoon is forecast to be a short-term thing as it becomes apparent that is both overvalued and overstretched<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":655933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,119,349,122],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-655932","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"ef9c462d-5969-4a22-8710-6a45fbd2a223","order":"15","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/2402.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"How will the incoming Trump administration affect the markets?","related_issue":[655905],"teaser":"The USD\u2019s post-election honeymoon is forecast to be a short-term thing as it becomes apparent that is both overvalued and overstretched","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/11\/.f7354937-7666-4fe2-8184-bcf119c414e8.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nHow will the incoming Trump administration affect the markets? 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Global bond investors are enduring their worst start to a year since 2015 amid signs that stimulus and the rollout of covid-19 vaccines will fuel a significant pickup inflation, the Financial Times reported. The Bloomberg Barclays Multiverse index \u2014 which tracks some USD 70 tn in fixed-income\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":561995,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/28\/what-the-markets-are-doing-on-28-april-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":655932,"position":2},"title":"What the markets are doing on 28 April 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 April 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Yesterday was a huge day for tech earnings: Google parent Alphabet smashed sales records in 1Q thanks to a splurge in digital ad spending, the Financial Times reports. Revenues hit a record USD 55.3 bn during the three-month period, causing net profit to surge 162% to USD 17.9 bn, blowing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":568421,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/12\/29\/what-the-markets-are-doing-on-29-december-2020\/","url_meta":{"origin":655932,"position":3},"title":"What the markets are doing on 29 December 2020","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 December 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The EGX30 rose 0.7% yesterday on turnover of EGP 979 mn (27.5% below the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net sellers. The index is down 23.7% YTD.In the green: Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals (+5.5%), Ezz Steel (+4.0%) and Egyptian Iron & Steel (+3.2%).In the red: Sodic (-0.7%), Export Development Bank (-0.2%)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":582669,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/03\/12\/emerging-markets-are-really-hoping-us-interest-rates-dont-go-to-6\/","url_meta":{"origin":655932,"position":4},"title":"Emerging markets are really hoping US interest rates don\u2019t go to 6%","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 March 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Fresh warning signs for EMs amid expectations for hawkish Fed pivot: Analysts are warning of the damage emerging markets will experience if the Federal Reserve increases its interest rates up to 6%, Reutersreported. \u201cFed tightening towards 6% would firmly test historical \u2018pain thresholds\u2019 for emerging market assets,\u201d one UBS strategist\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/3\/Pakistan-USDs-1600.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559742,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/02\/02\/what-the-markets-are-doing-on-2-february-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":655932,"position":5},"title":"What the markets are doing on 2 February 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 February 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"We were (kind of?) close to one of the largest ever M&A last year: The CEOs of oil giants Chevron and Exxon discussed a possible merger in 2020 as the pandemic roiled the energy markets and heaped financial pressure on their balance sheets, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing sources\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/655932","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=655932"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/655932\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/655905"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/655933"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=655932"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=655932"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=655932"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=655932"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=655932"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}