{"id":654767,"date":"2024-11-07T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-07T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/07\/equities-currencies-and-bonds-react-to-trumps-reelection\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T00:00:00","slug":"equities-currencies-and-bonds-react-to-trumps-reelection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/07\/equities-currencies-and-bonds-react-to-trumps-reelection\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities, currencies, and bonds react to Trump\u2019s reelection"},"content":{"rendered":"

Markets react to Trump\u2019s reelection: <\/strong>Donald Trump has been elected to his second nonconsecutive term at the White House leaving investors, traders, and policymakers speculating what that could mean for financial markets. The reaction to Trump\u2019s win was immediate with equities, currencies, and bonds all seeing wild swings. <\/p>\n

Want a recap of what went down yesterday? <\/strong>Wednesday\u2019s issue of EnterprisePM dove into Trump\u2019s victory and what we can expect from another four years of Trump in the White House. Check out the issue here<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Investor sentiment surged<\/strong> following Trump\u2019s decisive win. \u201cFor now, investor sentiment is pro-growth, pro-deregulation, and pro-markets,\u201d Bahnsen Group\u2019s David Bahnsen told Bloomberg<\/a>. \u201cFinally, US stocks may see tailwinds from not only the election results but a retreat in volatility hedging, corporations moving out of their buyback blackout periods as the earnings season winds down, and strong fourth-quarter seasonality factors (particularly in election years),\u201d said<\/a> Ameriprise\u2019s Anthony Saglimbene.<\/p>\n

Stock markets hit record highs:<\/strong> US stocks soared to fresh highs \u2014 the S&P 500 climbed 2.5%, setting its 48th high of the year, the Dow Jones surged 3.6%, and the Nasdaq was up 2.7%. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies outperformed all of its counterparts, rising 5.6% as investors banked on Trump\u2019s stance in favor of domestically concentrated businesses.<\/p>\n

The USD soars:<\/strong> The USD surged, posting its best one-day performance since 2022, with the Bloomberg USD Spot Index rising 1.3%. The greenback\u2019s ascent sent major currencies reeling; the EUR fell 1.8%, marking its steepest one-day drop in over four years, while the JPY fell 1.9%. The GBP slipped 1.2%, marking broad pressure on non-USD currencies.<\/p>\n

Not all is convinced the USD rally is here to stay:<\/strong> Trump\u2019s policies on trade and tariffs are seen as \u201cUSD-positive,\u201d Tradu\u2019s analyst Nikos Tzabouras told Reuters<\/a>. However, he argued that Trump \u201chad essentially challenged the long standing strong USD mantra, because he prefers a weaker currency to help with exports and American economic activity,\u201d which could temper this rally.<\/p>\n

Bond markets brace for volatility:<\/strong> Treasury yields spiked, as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve\u2019s path forward under Trump\u2019s leadership. The 10-year Treasury yield hit its peak in five months, rising 21 basis points to 4.48%, driven by expectations of tax cuts and tariffs potentially triggering inflation. <\/p>\n

Crypto rides the Trump wave:<\/strong> BTC soared nearly 9%, hitting a record high of over USD 76k as investors linked Trump\u2019s victory to potential crypto-friendly policies. ETH followed suit, rising 10%. Trump\u2019s support for digital assets during his campaign has fueled optimism in the sector, bolstering market confidence.<\/p>\n

Mixed macro outlook as optimism meets caution:<\/strong> While markets are enjoying a wave of optimism, analysts caution that \u201cthe backdrop is complex.\u201d Concerns about budget deficits, inflation, and fewer-than-expected Fed rate cuts are acting as counterbalances to the current bullish trend. Thierry Wizman at Macquarie advised traders to be mindful about pushing \u201cthe yield story much further,\u201d as anticipated fiscal restraint could alter bond market dynamics.<\/p>\n

The international press is abuzz with Trump\u2019s victory and what it means for financial <\/strong>markets:<\/strong> Reuters<\/a> | Bloomberg<\/a> | FT<\/a> | BBC<\/a> | CNBC<\/a> | NYT<\/a>.<\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed in early trading this morning<\/strong>, as investors digest Trump\u2019s reelection. The Nikkei is down 0.2%, while the Kospi is up 0.2%. The Shanghai is up 0.4% and Hang Seng is looking at gains of 0.8%.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

31,045<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: +24.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.30<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 49.17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 49.27<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,093<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.6% (YTD: +1.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,425<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: -1.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,616<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: +13.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,929<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.5% (YTD: +24.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,167<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1% (YTD: +5.6%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,801<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.4% (YTD: +6.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 74.92<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,669<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 75,730<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+8.8% (YTD: +79.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 0.8% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 4.2 bn (1.7% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 24.71% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Cleopatra Hospitals (+5.5%), Edita (+5%) and Emaar Misr (+4.6%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Telecom Egypt (-1.6%), Juhayna (-0.5%) and Heliopolis Housing (-0.5%).<\/p>\n

\n

CORPORATE ACTIONS- <\/p>\n

Eipico will raise its authorized capital to EGP 6 bn from EGP 1.5 <\/strong>and its issued and paid-up capital by EGP 200 mn to around EGP 1.7 bn, distributed over 20 mn shares, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf)<\/a>. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The USD surged, posting its best one-day performance since 2022<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":654768,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,8780,119,122,127,897],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-654767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-federal-reserve","tag-financial-markets","tag-planet-finance","tag-politics","tag-wall-street","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"37c929fe-a564-40b0-89c7-d5d74484734a","order":"14","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/599.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Equities, currencies, and bonds react to Trump\u2019s reelection","related_issue":[654742],"teaser":"The USD surged, posting its best one-day performance since 2022","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/11\/.893b9a95-b5a5-40e0-9c89-bb1759af3349.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEquities, currencies, and bonds react to Trump\u2019s reelection - 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