{"id":654432,"date":"2024-11-03T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-03T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/03\/the-imf-sees-egypts-medium-term-growth-rising-above-5-as-regional-conflicts-subside-structural-reforms-are-implemented\/"},"modified":"2024-11-03T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-03T00:00:00","slug":"the-imf-sees-egypts-medium-term-growth-rising-above-5-as-regional-conflicts-subside-structural-reforms-are-implemented","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/03\/the-imf-sees-egypts-medium-term-growth-rising-above-5-as-regional-conflicts-subside-structural-reforms-are-implemented\/","title":{"rendered":"The IMF sees Egypt\u2019s medium-term growth rising above 5% as regional conflicts subside, structural reforms are implemented"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>IMF strikes upbeat tone on Egypt\u2019s medium-term growth: <\/strong>The IMF expects constraints on Egypt\u2019s growth to ease as regional tensions subside and structural reforms are implemented, it said in its most recent <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/2894.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Regional Economic Outlook (pdf)<\/a>. The Fund noted that \u201can assumed easing of the conflict in Gaza and Israel next year and steady implementation of reforms are projected to help lift growth in Egypt to 4.1% in 2025 and above 5% over the medium term.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">(<strong>Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links <\/strong>to our background as well as external sources.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Remember: <\/strong>The IMF has kept our growth forecast for the current fiscal year <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/026f12b0-b7c3-4889-9cd7-dfb174e79de5\/imf-keeps-egypt%25e2%2580%2599s%253cmark%253e-growth%253c%2Fmark%253e-outlook-unchanged\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">unchanged at<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/026f12b0-b7c3-4889-9cd7-dfb174e79de5\/imf-keeps-egypt%25e2%2580%2599s%253cmark%253e-growth%253c%2Fmark%253e-outlook-unchanged\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">4.1%<\/a>, after slashing it <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/0f20e8b9-2a88-4d84-9c4c-cbb7083d24eb\/imf-trims-egypt%25e2%2580%2599s-growth-outlook\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">0.3 percentage points<\/a> in July. This is higher than both the Madbouly government\u2019s and the World Bank\u2019s growth forecasts for the current fiscal year, which come in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/9f7ed194-9bf4-43df-b138-4372b364d873\/gdp%253cmark%253e-growth-%253c%2Fmark%253eslowed-to-2.4%2525-in-fy-2023-24\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">at 4.0%<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/c28d504b-997b-4403-8f2f-c04a2a80b6b1\/%253cmark%253eworld-bank%253c%2Fmark%253e-trims-egypt%25e2%2580%2599s-growth-forecast-to-3.5%2525\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">3.5%<\/a>, respectively.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Our efforts toward fiscal consolidation are winning us accolades: <\/strong>The Fund noted our significant steps toward reducing our primary deficit through subsidy reforms and improved revenue collection, including <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/807171d5-8e33-400a-b8de-8529aaf832b0\/new%253cmark%253e-tax%253c%2Fmark%253e-incentives-seek-to-ease-burdens-for-taxpayers,-resolve-disputes,-and-incorporate-more-taxpayers-into-the-system\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">tax base expansion<\/a>. This, coupled with the planned use of some of our Ras El Hekma funds to pay down our debts, has the Fund penciling in a six percentage point decrease in our public debt by the end of FY 2024-25.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>There\u2019s still room for improvement, though: <\/strong>The fund noted that Egypt is among the countries that would be well-served by liberalizing interest rates, increasing private ownership in the banking system, and developing capital markets, saying that \u201cfinancial sector policies that foster competition, reduce the dominance of state-owned banks, and encourage the broadening of the investor base can advance financial development and facilitate higher growth and inclusion.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>On a regional basis: <\/strong>The IMF now sees the MENA region and Pakistan growing 2.1% this year, down 0.6 percentage points from its earlier estimate of 2.7%. Regional growth is expected to rebound in 2025 to 4%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>** We dove into the Fund\u2019s forecast for the MENA region in this morning\u2019s Planet <\/strong><strong>Finance. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The story was also picked up by international press:<\/strong> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/imf-projects-4-growth-rebound-middle-east-north-africa-next-year-2024-10-31\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-10-31\/imf-lowers-mideast-growth-citing-conflict-and-oil-supply-cuts\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Fund also took note of our efforts toward fiscal balancing, including subsidy and tax reforms<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":654433,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,72,272],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-654432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-imf","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"187689f8-f3ad-4c7e-9d16-fb101a46ab30","order":"6","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/2880.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"The IMF sees Egypt\u2019s medium-term growth rising above 5% as regional conflicts subside, structural reforms are implemented","related_issue":[654422],"teaser":"The Fund also took note of our efforts toward fiscal balancing, including subsidy and tax reforms","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/11\/.38ec7c3b-bd24-45d2-86ea-a3bcde8d620d.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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The Fund says \u201ca more favorable global environment is helping to improve economic prospects in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP), although growth prospects remain subdued. To improve growth and boost\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":562487,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/05\/26\/imf-gives-initial-approval-for-final-tranche-of-usd-5-2-bn-standby-loan\/","url_meta":{"origin":654432,"position":1},"title":"IMF gives initial approval for final tranche of USD 5.2 bn standby loan","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 May 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt expects to unlock the third and final USD 1.6 bn tranche of its USD 5.2 bn IMF standby loan after reaching a staff-level agreement with the fund, the IMF said in a statement. An IMF delegation was (virtually) in townover the past two weeks for the second review of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/5\/229.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":654480,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/11\/03\/imf-will-start-fourth-review-on-tuesday-madbouly\/","url_meta":{"origin":654432,"position":2},"title":"IMF will start fourth review on Tuesday -Madbouly","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 November 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon, folks, and welcome to what\u2019s shaping up to be a busy week on the economy front.THE BIG STORY TODAY El Sisi, Georgieva talk economic reforms: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi met with the IMF\u2019s managing director Kristalina Georgieva and senior officials today to discuss progress on economic reforms\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT&quot;","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/11\/111.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594404,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/29\/egypt-still-expected-to-outperform-ems-regional-oil-importers-on-gdp-but-debt-pressure-is-acute-imf-says\/","url_meta":{"origin":654432,"position":3},"title":"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt still expected to outperform EMs, regional oil importers on GDP, but debt pressure is \u201cacute,\u201d IMF says: GDP growth across MENAP oil importers is expected to average at 3.6% in 2019 and 3.7% in 2020, the IMF said in its October 2019 Regional Economic Outlook (pdf). When excluding Pakistan\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/1549.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":593858,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/13\/imf-out-with-final-review-of-egypts-reform-program\/","url_meta":{"origin":654432,"position":4},"title":"IMF out with final review of Egypt\u2019s reform program","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"IMF out with final review of Egypt\u2019s reform program: The International Monetary Finance (IMF) released on Friday its fifth and final policy review of Egypt\u2019s economic reform program, which was conducted last July ahead of disbursing the final USD 2 bn tranche of the institution\u2019s USD 12 bn facility to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/153.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":665557,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/05\/20\/the-top-ten-takeaways-from-day-one-of-the-imf-mena-research-conference\/","url_meta":{"origin":654432,"position":5},"title":"The top ten takeaways from day one of the IMF MENA Research Conference","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 May 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"MENA policymakers have a difficult path ahead, said IMF MENA and Central Asia Director Jihad Azour","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/5\/1612.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=654432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654432\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/654422"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/654433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=654432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=654432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=654432"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=654432"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=654432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}