{"id":651612,"date":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","date_gmt":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/02\/16\/em-growth-picked-up-in-january-2017-goldman-sees-china-growing-slower\/"},"modified":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","modified_gmt":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","slug":"em-growth-picked-up-in-january-2017-goldman-sees-china-growing-slower","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/02\/16\/em-growth-picked-up-in-january-2017-goldman-sees-china-growing-slower\/","title":{"rendered":"EM growth picked up in January 2017, Goldman sees China growing slower."},"content":{"rendered":"

Emerging market growth picked up \u201csharply\u201d in January<\/strong>, the Financial Times reports<\/a>, citing data from the Institute of International Finance that found rebounds in \u201cindustrial production and trade, particularly exports. \u2026 The apparent surge in EM growth coincides with surprisingly strong trade figures from China, which said its exports were up 7.9 per cent in January while its imports jumped 16.7 per cent, bolstering optimism about the health of the world\u2019s second-biggest economy.\u201d<\/p>\n

If Goldman Sachs thinks the US market is getting \u201cgrowthier,\u201d as we noted yesterday<\/a>, Morgan <\/strong>Stanley Sees slower growth in China, but argues income will still rise, <\/strong>writes Jennifer Hughes for the Financial Times<\/a>. Morgan Stanley published a 118-page long report \u201cexplaining how the world\u2019s second biggest economy will avoid the sort of financial shock feared by western investors, and make it to official \u2018high income\u2019 status in the next 10 years.\u201d Incomes will rise to USD 12,500 by 2027. Morgan argues that even though debt is high, it is funded by Chinese savings, not external finance. It says growth might be slow, but it will accelerate. \u201cWith a starting point of lower debt and per capita levels and by not allowing for a sharp appreciation of its currency as Japan did after the Plaza Accord, China today is arguably better positioned to still achieve growth rates that can outpace global growth.\u201d <\/strong>High domestic consumption will help: Services are set make up 60% of GDP by 2030. Despite the positive outlook, the report says: \u201cChina needs to manage its debt burden carefully, and not let the need for growth to trump this.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Emerging market growth picked up \u201csharply\u201d in January, the Financial Times reports, citing data from the Institute of International Finance that found rebounds in \u201cindustrial production and trade, particularly exports. \u2026 The apparent surge in EM growth coincides with surprisingly strong trade figures from China, which said its exports were up 7.9 per cent in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[72,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-651612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-enterpriseam","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"3e4a3a68-b729-4092-ae22-9bd3ff7f11c1","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[651589],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEM growth picked up in January 2017, Goldman sees China growing slower. - 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Many EM economies are dependent on exporting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/5\/2688.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598221,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/19\/sharp-downturn-for-em-assets-amid-global-volatility\/","url_meta":{"origin":651612,"position":3},"title":"Sharp downturn for EM assets amid global volatility","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cThe trade war has sunk emerging markets. There's more to come.\u201d \u2014Welcome to the new narrative on EM. May has been a bad month for EM bonds, equities and currencies \u2014 and it could get worse as stalled US-China trade talks prolong uncertainty in the market.Off the proverbial cliff? 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