{"id":651592,"date":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","date_gmt":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/02\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-february-2017\/"},"modified":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","modified_gmt":"2017-02-16T04:17:55","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-16-february-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/02\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-february-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 16 February 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> It\u2019s MPC day: <\/strong>The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is meeting today to decide on interest rates. A Reuters poll earlier this week<\/a> showed nine out of 13 economists expecting the central bank to hold overnight deposit and lending rates at 14.75% and 15.75%, respectively. Five out of seven economists surveyed by Bloomberg<\/a> agree. \u201cA further rate increase will not be of much help,\u201d<\/strong> Radwa El Swaify, head of research at Pharos Holding, says. Bloomberg\u2019s Ahmed Feteha nails it on the head when he writes: \u201cWith the majority of Egyptians without bank accounts, raising interest rates typically takes time to contain inflation. It can, however, immediately increase government borrowing costs and curb credit growth, economists say.\u201d Adds El Swaify: A rate increases risks doing more damage than good to the economy and \u201cwould be negative for growth.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

On inflation<\/strong>, Chris Jarvis, IMF mission chief for Egypt, told Feteha<\/a>: \u201cWe expected inflation to go up, as it did, for several months after the launch of the reform program,\u201d but inflation should slow down \u201conce these effects wear off, and so long as budget and monetary policies remain tight.\u201d<\/p>\n

There\u2019s no love for Egypt this week from BMI, which is projecting \u201clackluster growth\u201d<\/strong> in the coming quarters, and expecting the country\u2019s sovereign creditworthiness to deteriorate further before improving. In its featured story on Egypt in its monthly MENA report for March 2017 (extracts here<\/a> and here<\/a>), BMI sees falling yields on sovereign debt as unjustified considering the marginal growth, which it projects to land at 3.2% for the year, below the Bloomberg consensus at 3.6%. \u201cYields on Egypt's bonds will inevitably rise over the coming quarters given anticipated further hikes in interest rates in 2017 by 50bps to 16.25% and our expectation for a 15% depreciation in the EGP against the USD by the end of 2017. Slightly mitigating the implication of these trends is that while the country's debt is relatively high (about 80% of GDP), only 19% of GDP is denominated in foreign currency, thus reducing exposure to currency movements.\u201d In addition to slow growth, BMI has placed heavy weight on a slow recovery of tourism industry and only a marginal uptick in consumption given subsidy reforms, high unemployment, and a slight reduction of the fiscal deficit (forecast to drop to 9.9% of GDP in 2017).<\/p>\n

<\/a> Hey, investor relations officers: You officially have more time to disclose FY results. <\/strong>The Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA) has extended<\/a> the deadline for submitting 1H2016-17 financial results for EGX-listed companies to 28 February, while companies filing full-year results will get an extra month and must disclose FY2016 results by 16 April. The decision came after a number of IROs requested extra time to digest changes to Egyptian Accounting Standards<\/a> on how FX losses are to be treated.<\/p>\n

Lionel Messi did not arrive in Cairo yesterday, postpones his trip to Egypt: <\/strong>The football great was due to visit as part of the Tour n\u2019 Cure hepatitis C campaign, but pulled out after following FC Barcelona\u2019s 4-0 defeat to Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League, Al Arabiya<\/a> reported. The visit has not officially been rescheduled, a statement from the tour sponsor said, but a source told Al Masry Al Youm it is slated for next week<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Trump is at war with his own intelligence community: <\/strong>US President Donald Trump has blasted the US intelligence community for what he called \u201ccriminal\u201d leaks that forced his national security adviser, Michael Flynn, to resign over apparent contacts with Russia. The news is the lead item on the front pages of most North American newspapers we surveyed earlier this morning (cf: WSJ<\/a> and NYT<\/a> as examples) as well as the Financial Times<\/a> on the other side of the pond. Reuters<\/a> also has the story along with a companion piece<\/a> on Republican lawmakers joining calls for an investigation into the Trump administration\u2019s ties to Moscow.<\/p>\n

Yesterday, it was the special forces guys. Today, it\u2019s the spooks: <\/strong>The Wall Street Journal<\/a> alleges in an investigative piece that \u201cU.S. intelligence officials have withheld sensitive intelligence from President Donald Trump<\/strong> because they are concerned it could be leaked or compromised, according to current and former officials familiar with the matter.\u201d Journal columnist Daniel Henninger is already asking Is this Trump\u2019s Watergate?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s MPC day: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is meeting today to decide on interest rates. A Reuters poll earlier this week showed nine out of 13 economists expecting the central bank to hold overnight deposit and lending rates at 14.75% and 15.75%, respectively. Five out of seven economists surveyed by […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-651592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b5b8cec9-fdd7-480f-91fc-987d3c60957d","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"ea334623-df68-489f-9b0f-456c6a738c43","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[651589],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 16 February 2017 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/02\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-february-2017\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 16 February 2017\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It\u2019s MPC day: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is meeting today to decide on interest rates. 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Respondents cited the inflationary effects of last weekend\u2019s fuel subsidy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592825,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/cbe-to-make-third-consecutive-rate-cut-next-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":651592,"position":1},"title":"CBE to make third consecutive rate cut next week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- Economists predict CBE will make third consecutive rate cut next Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-100 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets a week from today, according to five of six economists polled by Enterprise. The economists cited the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":559643,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/01\/31\/keep-it-steady\/","url_meta":{"origin":651592,"position":2},"title":"Keep it steady","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 January 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"ENTERPRISE POLL- CBE expected to leave interest rates on hold in its first meeting of 2021: Eleven out of 12 economists and analysts surveyed by Enterprise expect the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE)\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to leave rates unchanged when it meets this Thursday, 4 February. Still, most\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "POLL"","block_context":{"text":"POLL","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/poll\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/1\/363.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567288,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/01\/19\/against-analyst-expectations-central-bank-of-egypt-keeps-rates-on-hold\/","url_meta":{"origin":651592,"position":3},"title":"Against analyst expectations, Central Bank of Egypt keeps rates on hold","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 January 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE leaves rates on hold: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates unchanged when it met on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank cited domestic factors such as inflation accelerating in December on the back of the dissipating favorable base\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/632.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":576022,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/11\/08\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-to-leave-rates-on-hold-in-november-amid-covid-us-election-uncertainty\/","url_meta":{"origin":651592,"position":4},"title":"Enterprise Poll: Central bank to leave rates on hold in November amid covid, US election uncertainty","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 November 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"ENTERPRISE POLL- Rates seen left on hold amid covid, US election uncertainty: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will likely keep interest rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to an Enterprise poll. 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All 11 economists and analysts surveyed expect the MPC to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/210.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/651592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=651592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/651592\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/651589"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=651592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=651592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=651592"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=651592"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=651592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}