{"id":650720,"date":"2017-03-30T03:55:15","date_gmt":"2017-03-30T03:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/03\/30\/egypts-economic-reforms-to-lead-to-slow-but-steady-improvements-moodys\/"},"modified":"2017-03-30T03:55:15","modified_gmt":"2017-03-30T03:55:15","slug":"egypts-economic-reforms-to-lead-to-slow-but-steady-improvements-moodys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/03\/30\/egypts-economic-reforms-to-lead-to-slow-but-steady-improvements-moodys\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt\u2019s economic reforms to lead to slow but steady improvements -Moody\u2019s"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Moody\u2019s believes the pace of economic reforms in Egypt will continue to show gradual <\/strong><strong>improvements but the recovery could be slower than expected<\/strong>, according to an emailed report. \"The implementation of the IMF program's targets, including reductions in fiscal deficits and government debt levels, as well as improvements in Egypt's external liquidity position, will help address Egypt's key credit challenges \u2026 However, <strong>ambitious fiscal consolidation targets will be challenging to achieve and could face implementation risks<\/strong> in a scenario of mounting public discontent,\u201d said Steffen Dyck, a Moody's Senior Credit Officer and co-author of the report. Moody\u2019s also believes the IMF\u2019s economic projections for Egypt are too optimistic and assumes \u201csomewhat lower growth assumptions and potential fiscal slippage, both in the near- and medium-term.\u201d The report suggests the fiscal deficit will hit 11% of GDP in FY2016-17 dropping to 8.5% of GDP by FY2018-19, higher than the IMF\u2019s forecasts 10% and 6.1% of GDP for the two years, respectively. It also anticipates that the current account deficit as a percentage of GDP will rise in the fiscal year ending this June, but start falling a year after.<\/p>\n<p><strong>However, Moody\u2019s expects the structural reforms to lead to \u201cslow but steady <\/strong><strong>improvements for the sovereign credit profile beyond the timeframe of the IMF program\u201d<\/strong> and sees incoming funding to Egypt through investments and the IMF as supporting the balance of payments and international reserves position. Dyck says \u201ceven if all reforms are successfully implemented and notwithstanding the significant improvement we expect, Egypt's credit profile will still be marked by very weak fiscal strength. Credit improvements are likely to occur in the longer term, subject to sustained reforms and (geo)political stability, which would in turn support a return to higher growth rates.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Moody\u2019s believes the pace of economic reforms in Egypt will continue to show gradual improvements but the recovery could be slower than expected, according to an emailed report. \"The implementation of the IMF program's targets, including reductions in fiscal deficits and government debt levels, as well as improvements in Egypt's external liquidity position, will help [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-650720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"76899ab2-dc4f-41fd-9124-a1ae5e2df547","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"e0278b1f-060b-4415-941b-e5f1ae34aa46","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[650703],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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The ratings agency says remaining committed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571437,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/12\/moodys-affirms-egypts-credit-rating-at-b2-outlook-stable\/","url_meta":{"origin":650720,"position":1},"title":"Moody\u2019s affirms Egypt\u2019s credit rating at B2, outlook stable","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Moody\u2019s affirms Egypt\u2019s credit rating at B2 with a stable outlook, citing effective policy and capacity to manage shocks: Moody\u2019s has maintained Egypt\u2019s long-term foreign and local currency issuer default rating at B2 with a stable outlook due to \u201congoing credit strengths and challenges\u201d that it says are unlikely to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/116.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":574253,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/03\/egypt-could-get-an-upgrade-from-moodys-as-our-credit-profile-proves-resilient-to-shocks\/","url_meta":{"origin":650720,"position":2},"title":"Egypt could get an upgrade from Moody\u2019s as our credit profile proves \u201cresilient\u201d to shocks","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 September 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt could get an upgrade from Moody\u2019s as our credit profile proves \u201cresilient\u201d to shocks: Indicators that measure Egypt\u2019s credit worthiness have proven \u201cbroadly resilient\u201d to external financing shocks despite high exposure, Moody\u2019s said in a report. This profile, which gives the country a solid credit rating of B2 with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/9\/36.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597946,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/09\/moodys-sees-egypts-long-term-economic-growth-outperforming-b-rated-peers\/","url_meta":{"origin":650720,"position":3},"title":"Moody\u2019s sees Egypt\u2019s long-term economic growth outperforming B-rated peers","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Moody\u2019s sees Egypt\u2019s long-term economic growth outperforming B-rated peers: Egypt\u2019s commitment to and progress on reforms since 2016 will help the economy reach a growth rate of 6% of GDP by 2021, Moody\u2019s said in an issuer comment yesterday (pdf). 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The credit agency insists that its rating on Egypt strikes the right\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650720","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=650720"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650720\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/650703"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=650720"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=650720"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=650720"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=650720"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=650720"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}