{"id":649656,"date":"2017-03-06T04:57:56","date_gmt":"2017-03-06T04:57:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/03\/06\/investors-assessing-egypt-positively-pmi-at-its-highest-since-august-but-still-declining\/"},"modified":"2017-03-06T04:57:56","modified_gmt":"2017-03-06T04:57:56","slug":"investors-assessing-egypt-positively-pmi-at-its-highest-since-august-but-still-declining","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/03\/06\/investors-assessing-egypt-positively-pmi-at-its-highest-since-august-but-still-declining\/","title":{"rendered":"Investors assessing Egypt positively, PMI at its highest since August but still declining"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Investors are again assessing Egypt\u2019s prospects positively<\/strong>, John Sfakianakis writes for Bloomberg<\/a>. By floating the EGP and securing financing from the IMF, \u201cEgypt made the right decision,\u201d he says. Sfakianakis notes the recent appreciation of the EGP \u201chas been faster than most expected, pointing to a more balanced and efficient market\u201d and \u201cexternal flows are helping instill stability in the foreign exchange market.\u201d He expects exports and tourism to get a boost from the cheaper currency but is concerned about the inflationary effects as well as the increases in cost of capital following the CBE rate hikes. Manufacturing will also be a key source for job creation and Sfakianakis says a shift towards more local content will reduce reliance on intermediate imports, \u201cproduce better-paying jobs and develop a sustainable production chain.\u201d<\/p>\n

Sfakianakis\u2019 report came despite business conditions for Egypt\u2019s non-oil private sector continuing on a downward path in February<\/strong>, with the Emirates NBD PMI compiled by Markit<\/a> registering 46.7. The silver lining in the report is that the contraction, while ongoing for the seventeenth month in a row, was the least severe since August and the PMI reading increased from 43.3 in January. Still, February\u2019s downturn was led by sharp declines in both output and new work but with softening contraction rates and the rate of job reduction was the slowest in a year. Emirates NBD Head of Research Tim Fox commented: \u201cthe headline index rose to its highest level in six months. New export orders were only marginally lower than in January, signaling improving external demand, and the rate of decline in output was slower last month. Inflationary pressures remain high, but the rate of input price inflation eased markedly in February. Overall, there are signs of stabilization in the non-oil private sector.\u201d Overall, the report notes that \u201cthe degree of optimism among Egyptian firms improved to an eight-month high. Companies expect market conditions to improve, thereby boosting output over the coming year<\/strong>.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u2026 Bloomberg\u2019s Ahmed Feteha <\/strong>says<\/strong><\/a> the PMI reading is a sign that the economy may be recovering<\/strong>, pointing to the new orders sub-index rising to 44 from 39.2. The reading suggests \u201cthat the recent devaluation of the Egyptian pound is already having a positive impact on external demand, and this should continue to improve in the coming months.\u201d<\/p>\n

On that, the Trade and Industry Ministry announced that Egypt\u2019s trade deficit fell by 44% y-o-y in January<\/strong> to USD 1.96 bn. Ahram Online<\/a> notes that non-petroleum exports increased by 25% in January to USD 1.6 bn from USD 1.32 bn a year earlier, while imports decreased by 25% from USD 4.82 bn to USD 3.62 bn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investors are again assessing Egypt\u2019s prospects positively, John Sfakianakis writes for Bloomberg. By floating the EGP and securing financing from the IMF, \u201cEgypt made the right decision,\u201d he says. Sfakianakis notes the recent appreciation of the EGP \u201chas been faster than most expected, pointing to a more balanced and efficient market\u201d and \u201cexternal flows are […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-649656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"aa2e04e1-5afd-4da0-b09b-a65d221d4382","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[649650],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nInvestors assessing Egypt positively, PMI at its highest since August but still declining - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/03\/06\/investors-assessing-egypt-positively-pmi-at-its-highest-since-august-but-still-declining\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Investors assessing Egypt positively, PMI at its highest since August but still declining\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Investors are again assessing Egypt\u2019s prospects positively, John Sfakianakis writes for Bloomberg. 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Stocks on the EGX have been among \u201cthe world\u2019s worst performers\u201d and EGP-denominated bonds have underperformed emerging market peers since small-scale protests broke out in a few cities last month, Bloomberg\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/2043.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":593415,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/27\/investors-will-appreciate-policy-stability-from-amer-staying-on-as-cbe-governor-bloomberg-says\/","url_meta":{"origin":649656,"position":3},"title":"Investors will appreciate policy stability from Amer staying on as CBE governor, Bloomberg says","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Investors will welcome Amer getting a second term as CBE governor as it signals policy stability, Bloomberg says: Tarek Amer getting a second term as CBE governor is an indicator that there will be policy stability at the central bank over the next four years, a note that will be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/12\/2527.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573292,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/28\/the-tides-are-turning-for-foreign-portfolio-investment-in-egypt-as-investors-return-to-favorite-carry-trade\/","url_meta":{"origin":649656,"position":4},"title":"The tides are turning for foreign portfolio investment in Egypt as investors return to \u201cfavorite\u201d carry trade","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The tides are turning for foreign portfolio investment in Egypt as investors return to \u201cfavorite\u201d carry trade: Foreign holdings of Egyptian sovereign debt rose to USD 10.6 bn by the end of June, and the first two weeks of July saw another USD 3 bn of inflows to local debt,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/7\/223.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592011,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/24\/egypt-listed-among-top-african-bond-markets-for-next-year\/","url_meta":{"origin":649656,"position":5},"title":"Egypt listed among top African bond markets for next year","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 December 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt set to be among top African bond markets in 2020: Global investors have \u201creaped rich rewards\u201d from African countries\u2019 debt markets, which have outperformed all other EM regions in 2019, Bloomberg\u2019s Paul Wallace says. 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