{"id":648352,"date":"2017-04-02T04:11:00","date_gmt":"2017-04-02T04:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/04\/02\/inflationary-price-to-remain-until-november-or-december-govt-considers-increasing-rations\/"},"modified":"2017-04-02T04:11:00","modified_gmt":"2017-04-02T04:11:00","slug":"inflationary-price-to-remain-until-november-or-december-govt-considers-increasing-rations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/04\/02\/inflationary-price-to-remain-until-november-or-december-govt-considers-increasing-rations\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflationary price to remain until November or December, gov\u2019t considers increasing rations"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> The press would like you to know that it will take a while longer before inflation <\/strong>eases \u2014 and that the government needs to ramp up spending as a result. <\/strong>There was plenty of talk about inflation on Thursday and over the weekend in the context of state spending on welfare programs. The government expects inflation to ease starting in November or December, Finance Minister Amr El Garhy said on Thursday, according to Reuters<\/a>. Saxo Bank is slightly more optimistic, saying it expects inflation to begin to fall within six months, according to Al Mal<\/a>. The ministry expects<\/a> inflation to average 15.2% in its 2017-18 budget year, Deputy Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk says.<\/p>\n

This all makes sense when you\u2019re calculating subsidy spending<\/strong>, but we still maintain that the month-on-month figure is the more meaningful indicator until December (ie: until after the one-year anniversary of the float of the EGP) for the rest of us. We\u2019ll be keeping a close eye this week on inflation figures, which should be out by Thursday.<\/p>\n

(Speaking of economic data:<\/strong> The central bank\u2019s reserves figures are also due out this week, and Tuesday will see the release of the purchasing manager\u2019s index for Egypt, KSA, and the UAE.)<\/p>\n

The government is considering topping up monthly allowances under the ration card <\/strong>system by 29% to EGP 27 per person<\/strong>, sources told Reuters<\/a>. The food subsidy current ration card system allows holders EGP 21 worth of goods each month offered at state-approved supermarkets in addition to five loaves of bread per person per day. State spending on food subsidies is set to reach EGP 86 bn in the coming budget year<\/a>. Supply Minister Ali Moselhy noted the draft budget sent to the cabinet had not included such an increase in monthly subsidies and denied any plans to increase them, according to Al Shorouk<\/a>. However, El Garhy said \u201call things are being considered...I don't want to go into them now.\u201d<\/p>\n

Is cabinet mulling price controls to address inflation? <\/strong>That\u2019s the claim made by unnamed government officials in an Al Masry Al Youm<\/a> piece out yesterday that claims the notion will top the agenda at a cabinet meeting scheduled for tomorrow. These sources implied that these mechanisms will be part of the amendments to the Consumer Protection Act which will also be discussed at the meeting on Monday. We\u2019re not buying it. <\/strong>Cabinet has been consistent in saying<\/a> there would be no price controls. Prime Minister Sherif Ismail had said<\/a> that the amendments to the CPA act would focus on harsher punishments for hoarders. We see the AMAY story, which got quite a lot of attention yesterday, as part of the usual pre-Ramadan paranoia about high prices.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The press would like you to know that it will take a while longer before inflation eases \u2014 and that the government needs to ramp up spending as a result. There was plenty of talk about inflation on Thursday and over the weekend in the context of state spending on welfare programs. The government expects […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-648352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"52052d4a-8ac8-45d8-90f3-dc42802b832e","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[648344],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nInflationary price to remain until November or December, gov\u2019t considers increasing rations - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/04\/02\/inflationary-price-to-remain-until-november-or-december-govt-considers-increasing-rations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inflationary price to remain until November or December, gov\u2019t considers increasing rations\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The press would like you to know that it will take a while longer before inflation eases \u2014 and that the government needs to ramp up spending as a result. 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Monthly headline inflation also dropped to -3.2%, down from -0.8% in November. Annual core inflation, meanwhile, which doesn\u2019t\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/1\/1470.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592872,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/egypts-annual-headline-inflation-cools-again-in-october\/","url_meta":{"origin":648352,"position":1},"title":"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation cools again in October","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Headline inflation cools again in October, ramping up expectations of a rate cut this week: Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation rate dropped for the fifth consecutive month to its lowest level in nine years, hitting 2.4% in October from 4.3% in September, according to Capmas data (pdf) released yesterday. 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This is the lowest rate of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/CBE-1600px.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573589,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/08\/11\/egypts-inflation-decelerated-in-july-to-4-2-below-expectations\/","url_meta":{"origin":648352,"position":5},"title":"Egypt\u2019s inflation decelerated in July to 4.2%, below expectations","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 August 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual headline inflation decelerated to 4.2% in July, down from an uptick to 5.6% in June, according to central bank figures (pdf). The central bank attributed the decline to a favorable base effect. 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