{"id":643383,"date":"2024-09-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/08\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-in-line-with-expectations\/"},"modified":"2024-09-08T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-09-08T00:00:00","slug":"cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-in-line-with-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/08\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-in-line-with-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"CBE holds interest rates steady in line with expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>CBE holds rates steady:<\/strong> The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, it said in a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/9\/451.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">statement (pdf)<\/a>, citing cooling domestic and global inflation, an uncertain local trajectory for commodity prices, and slow economic growth. \u201cCurrent policy rates remain appropriate to maintain the prevailing tight monetary stance until a significant and sustained decline in inflation is realized,\u201d the bank said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Where rates stand:<\/strong> The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has kept the overnight deposit rate at 27.25%, the overnight lending rate at 28.25%, and the main operation and discount rates at 27.75%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>ICYMI- Rates have been stable since March: <\/strong>The central bank held rates steady in its past two meetings in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/8c2aa31e-24a6-41e8-9ec2-6cbbab9e2855\/egypt'\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">July<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/dcf6e23c-70a9-499b-bb2c-467f1a22252b\/cbe-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged-in-line-with-expectations\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">May<\/a> after delivering a jumbo <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/ac569e2c-c6f2-480e-bdaa-3f1cd4f81d05\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">600 bps rate hike<\/a> in March.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>This was expected:<\/strong> All eight analysts and economists we <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/a6ce7d0d-e4c4-43a5-bcfc-bbd81940f659\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">surveyed last week<\/a> forecasted that the bank would hold rates steady as persisting inflationary pressures keep potential rate cuts at bay. Despite inflation being on a downward trend, \u201cprematurely cutting rates could exacerbate the problem of core inflation,\u201d banking expert Hany Abou El Fotouh told us.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>What they said:<\/strong> The committee noted a \u201ccontained inflationary impact\u201d as annual headline and core inflation eased for the fifth consecutive month in July. Real economic activity \u201cremains below potential,\u201d with real GDP growth softening to 2.2% in 1Q 2024 from 2.3% in 4Q 2023.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Remember:<\/strong> Annual urban inflation cooled to its <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/4c404f58-2406-4138-bee3-3b59858bfa5f\/%253cmark%253einflation%253c%2Fmark%253e-falls-to-lowest-level-since-december-2022,-recording-of-25.7%2525-in-july\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">lowest level since December 2022<\/a> in the last monthly data set, which showed annual inflation coming in at 25.7% in July, down 1.8 percentage points from 27.5% in June. Annual core inflation \u2014 which excludes volatile items such as food and fuel \u2014 slowed to 24.4%, down from 26.6%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>But a recent round of subsidy cuts may throw off disinflation: <\/strong>Some analysts see inflation picking up again in the coming months on the back of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/45d2052e-4c8d-4dde-b93c-8965df87dd03\/egypt-hikes-car%253cmark%253e-fuel%253c%2Fmark%253e-prices-by-up-to-15%2525\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">fuel<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/ee45065d-b89b-4a1c-b514-4fc6ee8e1870\/gov%25e2%2580%2599t-to-hike-industrial%253cmark%253e-electricity-prices%253c%2Fmark%253e-this-month\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">electricity<\/a> price hikes introduced over the summer. IBIS Consultancy economist Ali Metwally sees inflation rising to somewhere in the range of 30-31% between August and September.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The bank\u2019s long-term outlook: <\/strong>The MPC sees inflation hovering around current levels until 4Q 2024, before it declines significantly in 1Q 2025 \u201cdue to the cumulative impact of monetary policy tightening and favorable base effects.\u201d However, the committee noted upside risks including tighter global oil supplies, escalating regional geopolitical tensions, and a greater-than-expected impact of fiscal measures. On the growth front, economic indicators for 2Q 2024 suggest that real GDP growth has started to pick up and is expected to gradually recover during fiscal year 2024-2025.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Some parts of the int\u2019l press also picked up the bank\u2019s decision:<\/strong> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-09-05\/egypt-keeps-rates-high-as-subsidy-cuts-prompt-inflation-caution\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/egypts-central-bank-leaves-overnight-interest-rates-steady-2024-09-05\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The MPC sees inflation hovering around current levels until 4Q 2024<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":643384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[271,104,72],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-643383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"021ff2d7-1458-43ae-ba85-3f1274c5ae24","order":"8","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/9\/481.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Egypt\u2019s central bank holds interest rates steady for third consecutive meeting","related_issue":[643370],"teaser":"The MPC sees inflation hovering around current levels until 4Q 2024","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/9\/.570d89ba-474b-4e38-8f00-bf6c4aa8c0e5.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CBE holds interest rates steady in line with expectations - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/08\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-in-line-with-expectations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CBE holds interest rates steady 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&quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/5\/1944.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":548742,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/21\/cbe-holds-rates-steady-following-amer-resignation\/","url_meta":{"origin":643383,"position":4},"title":"CBE holds rates steady following Amer resignation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 August 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) left interest rates on hold on Thursday, hours after Hassan Abdalla was appointed governor following Tarek Amer\u2019s surpriseresignation on Wednesday. The CBE left the overnight deposit rate at 11.25%, the overnight lending rate at 12.25%, and the main operation and disc. rates at 11.75%,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/8\/330.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571553,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/17\/central-bank-of-egypt-leaves-rates-unchanged-in-may\/","url_meta":{"origin":643383,"position":5},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt leaves rates unchanged in May","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE decides to keep a bullet in its chamber, leaving rates on hold at MPC meeting: The Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s (CBE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) left interest rates on hold for the second consecutive month when it met on Thursday, the central bank said in a statement(pdf). The bank\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/169.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643383","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=643383"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643383\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/643370"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/643384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=643383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=643383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=643383"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=643383"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=643383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}