{"id":641844,"date":"2024-09-03T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/"},"modified":"2024-09-03T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-09-03T00:00:00","slug":"wake-me-up-when-september-ends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/","title":{"rendered":"Wake me up when September ends\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

September is often a turbulent month for asset classes including stocks, <\/strong>bonds, and gold \u2014 and there are few signs suggesting this year will be much different<\/strong>, Bloomberg<\/a> writes. <\/p>\n

What gives? <\/strong>Anxiety over whether the US Federal Reserve will cut rates (and by how much) later this month and generalized anxiety about the US presidential election. <\/p>\n

The \u201ctraditional\u201d September slump: <\/strong>Bonds, stocks, and gold regularly dip in September as traders rebalance portfolios after summer vacation, the business information service notes. Just about all of the S&P 500 and Dow\u2019s biggest losses (in percentage terms) in each year since 1950 have come in September. Bonds have fallen in eight of the last ten Septembers, and gold has dropped every September since 2017. <\/p>\n

Investors are eyeing this coming <\/strong>Friday\u2019s US employment report<\/a><\/strong> for insights into the <\/strong>US economy and the Fed\u2019s next moves. <\/strong>The Fed meets on 17-18 September and will then convene again in early November and mid-December. With Fed Chair Jerome Powell having largely settled the question of whether there will be a rate cut in September, the key issue now is the extent of the cut, Amy Wu Silverman, head of derivatives strategy at RBC Capital Markets wrote.<\/p>\n

Politics is making things more fraught<\/strong>, with the prospect of a 10 September TV debate<\/a> between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is also adding to anxiety \u2014 to say nothing of the question of who is elected in November. <\/p>\n

All eyes on Friday? <\/strong>\u201cSeptember has a mixed record, with risk-off sentiment being common, especially in election years,\u201d Bob Savage, head of markets strategy and insights at BNY said. \u201cThe upcoming US jobs report will likely set the tone for the rest of the year,\u201d he added. <\/p>\n

MARKETS THIS MORNING- <\/p>\n

Asian markets are mixed this morning<\/strong>, with the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite both in the red and both the Nikkei and Kospi up slightly. Australia\u2019s ASX 200 is essentially flat, as is India\u2019s Nifty 50.<\/p>\n

Futures suggest we\u2019ll see US shares open under modest selling pressure <\/strong>at the opening bell later today, while most major European benchmarks we follow are set to today\u2019s session in the green.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

30,732<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.6% (YTD: +23.5%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CIB<\/strong>)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 48.49<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 48.59<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

27.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,167<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +1.7%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,363<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: -2.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,357<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.7% (YTD: +7.3%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,648<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +18.4%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

8,364<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.2% (YTD: +8.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,973<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +10.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 77.52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas (Nymex)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2.19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+2.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,531.70<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 58,992.10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.1% (YTD: +40.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/p>\n

The EGX30 fell 0.6% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 6.2 bn (60.3% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 23.5% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Elsewedy Electric (+3.7%), Madinet Masr (+2.8%), and AMOC (+2.5%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Palm Hills Development (-4.5%), Emaar Misr (-4.4%), and Cleopatra Hospitals (-3.6%).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bonds have fallen in eight of the last ten Septembers, and gold has dropped every September since 2017<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":641845,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[72,349,122,121,388],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-641844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-enterpriseam","tag-interest-rates","tag-planet-finance","tag-sp-500","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"f0a99a4e-38b6-446c-95c2-e7a4166a372f","order":"13","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/8\/2335.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Historic losses and US Fed uncertainty weigh on traders in September","related_issue":[641822],"teaser":"Bonds have fallen in eight of the last ten Septembers, and gold has dropped every September since 2017","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/9\/.bce71c02-6ee7-4f13-a7ed-f5011216ba0b.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nWake me up when September ends\u2026 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Wake me up when September ends\u2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bonds have fallen in eight of the last ten Septembers, and gold has dropped every September since 2017\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-03T00:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/8\/2335.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Wake me up when September ends\u2026\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-03T00:00:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/\"},\"wordCount\":467,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/8\/2335.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"interest rates\",\"Planet Finance\",\"S&P 500\",\"US Federal Reserve\"],\"articleSection\":[\"PLANET FINANCE\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/09\/03\/wake-me-up-when-september-ends\/\",\"name\":\"Wake me up when September ends\u2026 - 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Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan all have low expectations for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":542455,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2025\/12\/11\/fed-delivers-the-third-cut-of-the-year-signals-possible-long-pause\/","url_meta":{"origin":641844,"position":1},"title":"Fed delivers the third cut of the year, signals possible long pause","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 December 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Policymaker projections issued after the meeting pointed to a single quarter-percentage-point cut next year","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2025\/12\/702.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":543679,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/02\/13\/planet-finance-stocks-are-down-oil-is-up-as-ukraine-crisis-spurs-volatility\/","url_meta":{"origin":641844,"position":2},"title":"Planet Finance: Stocks are down + oil is up as Ukraine crisis spurs volatility","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 February 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Stocks plunge, oil prices rally over Ukraine invasion concerns: Stocks ended last week in the red, while oil prices soared on the back of fears of escalation in the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Brent crude futures settled at USD 94.44 a barrel on Friday as the threat of war in Ukraine pressured\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":544822,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/03\/22\/a-terrible-day-in-the-us-bond-market-as-powell-ups-the-ante-on-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":641844,"position":3},"title":"A terrible day in the US bond market as Powell ups the ante on inflation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 March 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"US treasuries experienced one of their biggest daily sell-offs in the past decade yesterday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell indicated that the central bank could hike interest rates more aggressively than expected, according to Bloomberg. Following last week\u2019s policy meeting, the market had already priced in a further six\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":548391,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/08\/07\/a-strong-us-jobs-report-could-mean-more-bad-news-for-emerging-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":641844,"position":4},"title":"A strong US jobs report could mean more bad news for emerging markets","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 August 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The US labor market is still red-hot \u2014 and that means the Fed is unlikely to take its foot off the gas in coming meetings, economists and analysts said in reaction to job figures released Friday, which showed employers added 528k jobs to the economy in July, beating all estimates.This\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":563029,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/15\/us-corporate-debt-now-equals-half-of-us-gdp\/","url_meta":{"origin":641844,"position":5},"title":"US corporate debt now equals half of US GDP","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Don\u2019t look at the mountain of US corporate debt: Total corporate debt in the US has risen to USD 11.2 tn thanks to the pandemic, as rock-bottom interest rates and the Federal Reserve\u2019s bond-buying programs allowed companies to borrow big to keep themselves afloat, the Wall Street Journal reports. Non-financials\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/641844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=641844"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/641844\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/641822"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/641845"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=641844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=641844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=641844"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=641844"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=641844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}