{"id":638664,"date":"2017-10-11T03:54:17","date_gmt":"2017-10-11T03:54:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/10\/11\/imf-world-economic-outlook-egyptian-gdp-to-grow-by-4-5-next-year-as-inflation-cools-job-creation-ramps-up-em-remain-vulnerable-to-monetary-policy-shifts-in-developed-market\/"},"modified":"2017-10-11T03:54:17","modified_gmt":"2017-10-11T03:54:17","slug":"imf-world-economic-outlook-egyptian-gdp-to-grow-by-4-5-next-year-as-inflation-cools-job-creation-ramps-up-em-remain-vulnerable-to-monetary-policy-shifts-in-developed-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/10\/11\/imf-world-economic-outlook-egyptian-gdp-to-grow-by-4-5-next-year-as-inflation-cools-job-creation-ramps-up-em-remain-vulnerable-to-monetary-policy-shifts-in-developed-market\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF World Economic Outlook: Egyptian GDP to grow by 4.5% next year as inflation cools, job creation ramps up; EM remain vulnerable to monetary policy shifts in developed market"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> The IMF expects the Egyptian economy to grow by 4.1% this year \u2014 and sees growth accelerating to 4.5% in FY 2017<\/strong>, according to its October 2017 World Economic Outlook<\/a> released yesterday. Growth will be \u201csupported by reforms aimed at correcting fiscal and external imbalances, restoring competitiveness, and creating jobs.\u201d<\/p>\n

Cooling inflation: <\/strong>The institution also sees consumer price inflation averaging 23.5% this year and then falling to 21.3% next year. Reuters reminds us<\/a> that the IMF Mission Chief to Egypt Subir Lall expects inflation to drop to \u201cslightly above\u201d 10% next year.<\/p>\n

Job creation in the cards: <\/strong>While the official unemployment rate stands at 11.9%, the IMF sees it falling from an estimated 12.2% this year to 11.5% in 2018<\/p>\n

The IMF is also feeling bullish on the global economy after revising several of its economic forecasts\u2026 <\/strong>The report sees global growth accelerating from 3.6% this year to 3.7% in 2018, noting that \u201cBroad-based upward revisions in the euro area, Japan, emerging Asia, emerging Europe, and Russia more than offset downward revisions for the United States and the United Kingdom.\u201d<\/p>\n

Emerging markets will turn in growth of 4.6% in 2017<\/strong> and 4.9% next year. Closer to home, the IMF\u2019s MENAAP region \u2014 which adds Afghanistan and Pakistan to MENA \u2014 will grow 2.6% this year and 3.4% in 2018. Hop to page 14 of chapter 1 for the full growth table (pdf).<\/a><\/p>\n

Investment flows to emerging markets could suffer could suffer thanks to monetary policy shifts in developed economies. <\/strong>The report\u2019s authors argue in this semi-annual update that \u201cfaster-than-expected monetary policy normalization in the United States could cause reversals in capital flows to emerging markets and an appreciation of the USD, imposing strains on economies with high leverage, balance sheet mismatches, or exchange rates pegged to the UDF.\u201d This comes despite total non-resident capital inflows to EM having averaged USD 200 bn in each of the first two quarters of this year, up from a quarterly average of USD 120 bn in 2015-16.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The IMF expects the Egyptian economy to grow by 4.1% this year \u2014 and sees growth accelerating to 4.5% in FY 2017, according to its October 2017 World Economic Outlook released yesterday. Growth will be \u201csupported by reforms aimed at correcting fiscal and external imbalances, restoring competitiveness, and creating jobs.\u201d Cooling inflation: The institution also […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-638664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"dc7489df-895c-4f0f-a168-d44f42e3aa7e","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"c4293de0-00b4-43d6-a7da-51e4eff7f54d","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[638654],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nIMF World Economic Outlook: Egyptian GDP to grow by 4.5% next year as inflation cools, job creation ramps up; EM remain vulnerable to monetary policy shifts in developed market - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/10\/11\/imf-world-economic-outlook-egyptian-gdp-to-grow-by-4-5-next-year-as-inflation-cools-job-creation-ramps-up-em-remain-vulnerable-to-monetary-policy-shifts-in-developed-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF World Economic Outlook: Egyptian GDP to grow by 4.5% next year as inflation cools, job creation ramps up; EM remain vulnerable to monetary policy shifts in developed market\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The IMF expects the Egyptian economy to grow by 4.1% this year \u2014 and sees growth accelerating to 4.5% in FY 2017, according to its October 2017 World Economic Outlook released yesterday. 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Bloomberg\u2019s Tarek El\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570803,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/04\/15\/the-coronavirus-will-trigger-the-worst-global-recession-since-the-great-depression-in-mena-only-egypts-economy-will-grow-this-year-imf\/","url_meta":{"origin":638664,"position":3},"title":"The coronavirus will trigger the worst global recession since the Great Depression; in MENA, only Egypt\u2019s economy will grow this year \u2013IMF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 April 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The coronavirus will trigger the worst global recession since the Great Depression, the IMF predicts: The world is facing its greatest economic crisis since the Great Depression as output plummets at a record pace in response to the \u201cGreat Lockdown\u201d put in place to contain covid-19, the IMF warned yesterday.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/4\/138.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":548131,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/07\/27\/imf-is-gloomy-and-uncertain-on-global-economy\/","url_meta":{"origin":638664,"position":4},"title":"IMF is \u201cgloomy and uncertain\u201d on global economy","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 July 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF has revised downwards its global growth outlook for this year and next, warning that gathering headwinds are pushing the world closer to recession. In its updated World Economic Outlook (pdf) released yesterday, the Fund cut its 2022 forecast by 0.4 percentage points and now sees the global growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/7\/281.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":542966,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/26\/egypt-bucks-the-trend-as-imf-downgrades-global-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":638664,"position":5},"title":"Egypt bucks the trend as IMF downgrades global growth","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 January 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF downgraded its projection for global growth in 2022 to 4.4% in its World Economic Outlook update, down 0.5 percentage points from its last outlook report in October. The lender sees growth slowing to 3.8% in 2023, noting that, although this forecast is 0.2 percentage points higher than its\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/1\/340.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/638664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=638664"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/638664\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/638654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=638664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=638664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=638664"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=638664"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=638664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}