{"id":632741,"date":"2018-02-19T04:31:03","date_gmt":"2018-02-19T04:31:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/19\/economists-expect-a-lull-in-monetary-easing-over-the-summer-as-subsidy-cuts-kick-in-look-to-300-400-bps-in-total-rate-cuts-this-year\/"},"modified":"2018-02-19T04:31:03","modified_gmt":"2018-02-19T04:31:03","slug":"economists-expect-a-lull-in-monetary-easing-over-the-summer-as-subsidy-cuts-kick-in-look-to-300-400-bps-in-total-rate-cuts-this-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/19\/economists-expect-a-lull-in-monetary-easing-over-the-summer-as-subsidy-cuts-kick-in-look-to-300-400-bps-in-total-rate-cuts-this-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Economists expect a lull in monetary easing over the summer as subsidy cuts kick in, look to 300-400 bps in total rate cuts this year"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Economists expect a lull in monetary easing over the summer as subsidy cuts kick in, look to 300-400 bps in total rate cuts this year:<\/strong> Arqaam Capital expects another 100 bps cut at the CBE\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee meeting in March. Rates are expected to hold steady through to August ahead of planned subsidy cuts due around the beginning of FY2018-19. The investment bank sees interest rates falling by another 200 bps after August. The lower interest rates, coupled with the subsidy cuts, should see the fiscal deficit improve sharply over the coming two years and the primary balance on track to recording a small surplus in FY2017-18, the firm said in a research note on Sunday (pdf)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

CI Capital is also anticipating another rate cut of 100 bps followed by a hold until the inflationary impact of the summer subsidy cuts. CI Capital Asset Management economist Noaman Khaled tells Al Arabiya in an interview (watch, runtime: 6:42<\/a>) that interest rates should decline further by 4Q2018 for a total cut of 300 bps in 2018. He described last Thursday\u2019s cuts as one of the most important economic events in Egypt of the last three years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economists expect a lull in monetary easing over the summer as subsidy cuts kick in, look to 300-400 bps in total rate cuts this year: Arqaam Capital expects another 100 bps cut at the CBE\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee meeting in March. Rates are expected to hold steady through to August ahead of planned subsidy cuts […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-632741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"e0f21d62-0e28-4fe7-8877-2bbfe3f71729","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"194f9b5d-1eea-44f5-9418-68629336aed0","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[632728],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEconomists expect a lull in monetary easing over the summer as subsidy cuts kick in, look to 300-400 bps in total rate cuts this year - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/19\/economists-expect-a-lull-in-monetary-easing-over-the-summer-as-subsidy-cuts-kick-in-look-to-300-400-bps-in-total-rate-cuts-this-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economists expect a lull in monetary easing over the summer as subsidy cuts kick in, look to 300-400 bps in total rate cuts this year\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Economists expect a lull in monetary easing over the summer as subsidy cuts kick in, look to 300-400 bps in total rate cuts this year: Arqaam Capital expects another 100 bps cut at the CBE\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee meeting in March. 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Respondents cited the likely impact on inflation of upcoming\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595676,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/04\/egypts-economic-conditions-could-allow-cbe-to-accelerate-easing-cycle-hc-securities\/","url_meta":{"origin":632741,"position":1},"title":"Egypt\u2019s economic conditions could allow CBE to accelerate easing cycle -HC Securities","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s economic conditions could allow CBE to accelerate easing cycle, fully reverse monetary tightening by 2020 -HC Securities: Improving economic conditions and the anticipated cool-down of inflation once the full effect of fuel subsidy cuts wear off should give the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) enough breathing room to begin\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596723,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/07\/enterprise-poll-cbe-to-leave-key-interest-rates-on-hold-this-thursday\/","url_meta":{"origin":632741,"position":2},"title":"Enterprise poll: CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt will leave key interest rates on hold when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to all nine economists polled by Enterprise. Respondents cited the inflationary effects of last weekend\u2019s fuel subsidy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596001,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/08\/18\/enterprise-poll-cbe-could-cut-interest-rates-on-thursday\/","url_meta":{"origin":632741,"position":3},"title":"Enterprise Poll: CBE could cut interest rates on Thursday","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 August 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- CBE could cut key interest rates this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could finally cut benchmark interest rates by between 50-100 bps when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to six out of eight economists polled by Enterprise. Easing inflation, coupled with the US\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":629755,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/01\/mpc-cuts-interest-rates-100-bps\/","url_meta":{"origin":632741,"position":4},"title":"MPC cuts interest rates 100 bps","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 April 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The central bank\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee cut interest rates 100 bps on Thursday, the CBE said in a statement (pdf). The central bank\u2019s overnight deposit rate is now 16.75%, its overnight lending rate and discount rate also dropped 100 bps to 17.25%. The move was in line with market expectations,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/1\/1102.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595265,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/22\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-could-cut-interest-rates-again-this-week\/","url_meta":{"origin":632741,"position":5},"title":"Enterprise Poll: Central Bank of Egypt could cut interest rates again this week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) could cut benchmark interest rates by 50-150 bps when its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to seven of eight economists polled by Enterprise. 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