{"id":632288,"date":"2018-02-07T05:53:25","date_gmt":"2018-02-07T05:53:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/07\/what-were-tracking-on-7-february-2018\/"},"modified":"2018-02-07T05:53:25","modified_gmt":"2018-02-07T05:53:25","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-7-february-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/07\/what-were-tracking-on-7-february-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 7 February 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Traders are braced for volatility in the days ahead. <\/strong>The benchmark EGX30 closed down 1.6% yesterday, mirroring losses in Europe. US shares, meanwhile, recovered from Monday\u2019s sharp selloff to post what Bloomberg says was their best day since 2016<\/a> after a wild ride that saw equities open deeply in the red.And in the three hours before dispatch this morning, Asian shares went from strong opens that saw nearly every exchange up sharply, to entirely mixed: At dispatch time, Japan, Taiwan and Australia were up, while China, Hong Kong, India, New Zealand and Pakistan were down<\/p>\n

Oil, metals and treasuries<\/strong> were all down yesterday, with Brent crude subsequently edging up to USD 67.49 per barrel.<\/p>\n

Is it a bottom? <\/strong>That\u2019s the question vexing traders, Reuters reports<\/a>. Are the \u201cwild swings of the past two days the start of a deeper move down or just clearing the way to the resumption of the aging bull market, which would turn nine on March 9\u201d?<\/p>\n

Keep your eye on the VIX:<\/strong> The Cboe Volatility Index broke north of 50 yesterday before retreating, its highest level since the aftermath of China\u2019s devaluation of the yuan in 2015, Bloomberg, Reuters and the Financial Times<\/a> all note. Both Nomura and Credit Suisse said they\u2019re closing exchange-traded funds <\/strong>that saw more than 80% of their value erased when volatility spiked, the Wall Street Journal<\/a> and the FT<\/a> report.<\/p>\n

Shape your thinking: <\/strong>Go read Peter S. Goodman\u2019s piece for the New York Times arguing that \u201cthe era of easy money is ending, and the world is bracing for shocks<\/strong><\/a>.\u201d The worst case scenario, he suggests, its that with \u201csentiment\u201d being a \u201cclearly viral phenomenon,\u201d it\u2019s not a stretch to see falling share prices at multinationals translating into lower appetite for expansion that would ultimately drag down economies across the world. Definitely worth reading.<\/p>\n

Could spring-summer 2007 be the closest parallel to what\u2019s happening now?<\/strong> The FT\u2019s John Authers thinks so<\/a>, writing that while he doesn\u2019t want to \u201cbe accused of alarmism,\u201d the warning signs are clear: The prospect of higher interest rates has folks spooked. We\u2019re not on the precipice of a global financial crisis, he says, because the real economy is strong. But that said: \u201cThen, as now, higher rates forced many people to take a long and careful look at the positions they had taken on \u2014 and many disliked what they saw. Higher rates also royally messed up many brilliant pieces of financial engineering that had flourished during the \u2018Great Moderation\u2019 of low volatility that preceded the outbreak of the crisis.\u201d<\/p>\n

One hedge fund sees the bull market continuing \u2014 for emerging markets.<\/strong> Haidar Capital Management, whose (relatively small) Jupiter Fund is 40% in the past year thanks in port to shorting developed-nation bonds in favor of emerging-market debt, is betting that emerging markets will outperform developed markets during the next three to four years thanks to cheaper valuations, faster growth and pro-market government overhauls<\/strong>. \u201cI\u2019m sure there will be a pullback, but will we finish the year higher? Absolutely,\u201d CEO Said Haidar tells Bloomberg<\/a>. The downside risk, of course: A suddenly rise in US interest rates.<\/p>\n

His advice on high-yielding EM debt?<\/strong> Keep an eye on the exits. \u201cYou have to look at liquidity. Everyone and their uncle was piling into Egyptian T-Bills, but if something happens, you can\u2019t get out. They tend to be cash-intensive,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

How will all of this impact Egypt\u2019s USD 4-5 bn eurobond issuance?<\/strong> Not significantly, according to an unnamed central bank official. Speaking to Youm7<\/a>, the official said that the downturn in global stocks and US treasury yields hitting a 30-year high will not derail the planned issuance. Investors, the source says, have bought into the Egypt success story and the fundamentals of our recovering economy. Egypt has also proven to foreign investors its ability to meet its debt obligations, especially after paying back USD 30 bn in 2017, the official added. We expect an announcement any day now of the eurobond issuance<\/strong>, which will take place in the London and Luxembourg stock exchanges, according to previous statements from Finance Minister Amr El Garhy<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Choueifat clear of meningitis, to remain closed this week:<\/strong> Health Minister Ahmed Rady confirmed yesterday that the International School of Choueifat is clear of meningitis cases, but that it will remain closed until the end of this week as a precautionary measure, Al Masry Al Youm reports<\/a>. The ministry conducted a thorough sweep of the school and found no traces of the virus, but is taking some preemptive measures to ensure a breakout does not occur, Rady said. The Education Ministry had ordered the closure of the school yesterday after a student was thought to be infected.<\/p>\n

PSA: The New Urban Communities Authority (NUCA) has announced water cuts<\/strong> in 6 October City and Sheikh Zayed that will last 8-10 hours as of 8:00pm Wednesday night, Al Shorouk reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Traders are braced for volatility in the days ahead. The benchmark EGX30 closed down 1.6% yesterday, mirroring losses in Europe. US shares, meanwhile, recovered from Monday\u2019s sharp selloff to post what Bloomberg says was their best day since 2016 after a wild ride that saw equities open deeply in the red.And in the three hours […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-632288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"5454392f-dcd1-4772-9ed2-7bc5df200b8d","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[632286],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 7 February 2018 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/07\/what-were-tracking-on-7-february-2018\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 7 February 2018\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Traders are braced for volatility in the days ahead. 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Will the Madbouly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592822,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/07\/what-were-tracking-on-7-november-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":632288,"position":1},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 7 November 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"We\u2019re heading into a long weekend: Banks and the EGX are taking Sunday off in observance of Prophet Mohamed\u2019s birthday, which falls on Saturday. 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That makes Apple\u2019s rare warning that it will fall short of its sales forecast the story of the day. And as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597579,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/31\/what-were-tracking-on-31-july-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":632288,"position":3},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 31 July 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"We are in the full swing of the summer news slowdown, folks. But what little is happening these days is significant \u2014 not least of which is Fawry\u2019s in-the-works IPO.The subscription period for the private placement portion of the e-payments platform\u2019s initial public offering will wrap up later today. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597861,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/07\/what-were-tracking-on-07-may-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":632288,"position":4},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 07 May 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Welcome to one of the slowest news days of the past year, ladies and gentlemen. We hope your first day of fasting passed smoothly yesterday \u2014 only have 29 more days to go. In the meantime, the Associated Press brings us a rundown of key facts about the holy month\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598637,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/30\/what-were-tracking-on-30-may-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":632288,"position":5},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 30 May 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"30 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends, and welcome to the last day of the week \u2014 and final Thursday of Ramadan. We\u2019re all getting a little antsy in anticipation of the long Eid El Fitr weekend, which could start on Tuesday or Wednesday, depending on how hopeful you are.In the meantime, a few\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=632288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632288\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/632286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=632288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=632288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=632288"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=632288"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=632288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}