{"id":631494,"date":"2018-03-20T04:03:35","date_gmt":"2018-03-20T04:03:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/20\/egypt-to-be-upstaged-by-other-ems-as-rates-drop\/"},"modified":"2018-03-20T04:03:35","modified_gmt":"2018-03-20T04:03:35","slug":"egypt-to-be-upstaged-by-other-ems-as-rates-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/20\/egypt-to-be-upstaged-by-other-ems-as-rates-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt to be upstaged by other EMs as rates drop"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Dropping yields in Egypt could mean that fixed income investors will be moving to other emerging markets<\/strong>. Egypt is losing ground as a top haven for emerging market debt investors and interest rate cuts could make its short-term treasuries less attractive to foreign buyers in coming months, a report by CI Capital Asset Management picked up by Reuters<\/a> said on Monday. Foreign buying appears to be tapering off as yields have come down, said CI Capital Asset Management economist Noaman Khalid. \u201cWe\u2019ve seen that we\u2019ve reached the limit of USD 19.8-20 bn as a cumulative balance of foreign holdings of debt \u2026 the monthly increases are now starting to be minimal,\u201d said Khalid.<\/p>\n

And the competition is: <\/strong>Economic conditions in emerging market competitors Nigeria, Argentina, Turkey and Ukraine meanwhile are expected to push their respective treasury yields several percentage points above Egypt\u2019s over the next year, the CI Capital report said.<\/p>\n

Not something we need to be worried about just yet:<\/strong> That is \u201csomething to watch out for, but we\u2019re not there yet,\u201d Anthony Simond, who helps manage Aberdeen Asset Management, tells Bloomberg<\/a>. Egyptian officials are not too concerned, saying that a drop in yields will not necessarily mean an exodus, as investors are likely to accept lower returns in exchange for an improving risk profile. Oliver Weeks, economist at London-based Emso Asset Management Limited, agrees, noting that the improvement in the economy\u2019s fundamentals provide room for the central bank to cut rates without seeing outflows<\/strong>. \u201cBut they need to be cautious \u2026 [yields after tax] will need to remain in double digits even with much lower inflation,\u201d he said. Inflows into Egyptian debt might also be buoyed by the potential gains to the EGP.<\/p>\n

Egypt is the only country expected to see a currency appreciation by the end of this year <\/strong>when benchmarked by Bloomberg against Argentina, Nigeria, Ukraine, and Turkey.<\/p>\n

Emerging markets investment bank Renaissance Capital also sees the concerns as overblown. <\/strong>\u201cYes the attraction of Egyptian debt has reduced, but only from \u2018extremely\u2019 to \u2018very\u2019 attractive,\u201d said the firm\u2019s chief economist Charles Robertson. \u201cWe think inflation still has to fall from 14-12% in the next few months, the currency is 15% undervalued relative it owns history and is the third cheapest in emerging markets. It remains our top pick,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dropping yields in Egypt could mean that fixed income investors will be moving to other emerging markets. Egypt is losing ground as a top haven for emerging market debt investors and interest rate cuts could make its short-term treasuries less attractive to foreign buyers in coming months, a report by CI Capital Asset Management picked […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":631495,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-631494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"4ac0b907-24bc-4206-ba2e-657db292478b","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"40e081be-e2a3-40a1-82cd-01a9f1202601","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1119.png","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[631485],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt to be upstaged by other EMs as rates drop - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/20\/egypt-to-be-upstaged-by-other-ems-as-rates-drop\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt to be upstaged by other EMs as rates drop\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dropping yields in Egypt could mean that fixed income investors will be moving to other emerging markets. 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The Finance Ministry says offshore investors increased their holdings of Egyptian treasuries to EGP 79 bn at the March, Namatalla writes, adding that government borrowing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":629757,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/01\/egypts-carry-trade-to-stay-good-until-end-of-2018-arqaam\/","url_meta":{"origin":631494,"position":1},"title":"Egypt\u2019s carry trade to stay \u201cgood\u201d until end of 2018 -Arqaam","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 April 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"How\u2019s the rate cut going to hit the carry trade? The CBE\u2019s move to cut interest rates comes amid concerns that higher US interest rates will fuel a battle for funds among emerging markets, writes Bloomberg\u2019s Ahmed Feteha. \u201cThere was a view that with inflation slowing so fast the central\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1770.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":651443,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/02\/13\/foreign-investors-scoop-egyptian-debt-bring-rates-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":631494,"position":2},"title":"Foreign investors scoop Egyptian debt, bring rates down","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 February 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Reason #321 to be optimistic about the outlook for the economy: Foreign investors bought 97.5-98.5% of the T-bills Egypt sold on Thursday, Samy Khallaf, head of the public debt department at the Finance Ministry, told Bloomberg. The demand pulled the average yield on the six-month T-bills by almost 200 bps,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":626889,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/govt-in-talks-with-global-lenders-for-long-term-facilities\/","url_meta":{"origin":631494,"position":3},"title":"Gov\u2019t in talks with global lenders for long-term facilities","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 July 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"EXCLUSIVE- Maait says global macro headwinds and outlfows from Egyptian debt instruments push gov\u2019t to seek long-term facilities: The Madbouly government is in talks with international finance institutions line up longer-term facilities that will help plug Egypt\u2019s financing gap, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told Enterprise over the weekend.Who are we\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":625692,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/08\/13\/carry-traders-are-back-on-so-is-the-turkey-crisis-proving-to-be-positive-for-egypt\/","url_meta":{"origin":631494,"position":4},"title":"Carry traders are back on. So is the Turkey crisis proving to be positive for Egypt?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 August 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"EXCLUSIVE- Carry traders are back on. So is the Turkey crisis proving to be positive for Egypt? Egypt\u2019s government is taking a very positive outlook on the Turkish economic fiasco which is currently wreaking havoc on emerging markets. Foreign investments in Egypt\u2019s debt rose last week thanks largely to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":592874,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/11\/11\/attractive-bond-real-yield-rates-are-drawing-investors-to-egypt\/","url_meta":{"origin":631494,"position":5},"title":"Attractive bond real yield rates are drawing investors to Egypt","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 November 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"With inflation dipping again, Egypt\u2019s real yield is still attractive to EM bond investors: Egypt is among the world\u2019s most promising markets when it comes to the real interest rate on our bonds, topping an index for inflation-adjusted returns with a real yield of 9.42%, Bloomberg reports. According to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2612.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/631494","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=631494"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/631494\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/631485"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/631495"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=631494"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=631494"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=631494"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=631494"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=631494"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}