{"id":630850,"date":"2018-03-04T04:11:13","date_gmt":"2018-03-04T04:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/"},"modified":"2018-03-04T04:11:13","modified_gmt":"2018-03-04T04:11:13","slug":"ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>From the department of missing the point: <\/strong>\u201cInvestors nervous about whether the bull case for emerging-market assets can weather a more hawkish Federal Reserve can take solace in the outlook for consumer prices,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-02-28\/looking-for-reasons-to-stay-an-em-bull-inflation-s-on-your-side\">Yumi Teso and Masaki Kondo write for Bloomberg<\/a>. Despite listing EMs as a good investment overall, by their token, the inflation rates in Egypt make it a poor investment as they return negative yields. Bloomberg got its results for the real yields by subtracting average inflation of the most recent three-month readings from the average 10-year government bond yield in February. While the general sentiment surrounding EM investment is sound, Teso and Kondo are missing the point: <strong>EM investors looking for exposure to Egyptian debt through the carry trade pay little to no attention to inflation and the \u201creal\u201d return.<\/strong> Inflation plays no direct part in your returns from trading \u2014 what dictate returns are the nominal yields on the instruments, the financing costs, and the exchange rates. The negative real yields are bad news for domestic banks and savers, but not for foreign funds.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Want a primer on what a carry trade is?<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-06-01\/carry-trade-defined-or-why-interest-rates-matter-quicktake-q-a\">Bloomberg\u2019s Natasha Doff and Marton Eder got you covered<\/a>, but it doesn\u2019t look like they shared the note with all their colleagues.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From the department of missing the point: \u201cInvestors nervous about whether the bull case for emerging-market assets can weather a more hawkish Federal Reserve can take solace in the outlook for consumer prices,\u201d Yumi Teso and Masaki Kondo write for Bloomberg. Despite listing EMs as a good investment overall, by their token, the inflation rates [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":630851,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-630850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"b4b6b591-fa73-4a4e-8413-75d871228f64","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"b250893e-7eca-4a44-a21c-e09876beff22","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1302.png","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[630827],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From the department of missing the point: \u201cInvestors nervous about whether the bull case for emerging-market assets can weather a more hawkish Federal Reserve can take solace in the outlook for consumer prices,\u201d Yumi Teso and Masaki Kondo write for Bloomberg. Despite listing EMs as a good investment overall, by their token, the inflation rates [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-03-04T04:11:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1302.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-03-04T04:11:13+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/\"},\"wordCount\":217,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1302.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/\",\"name\":\"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed - 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EnterpriseAM Egypt","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed","og_description":"From the department of missing the point: \u201cInvestors nervous about whether the bull case for emerging-market assets can weather a more hawkish Federal Reserve can take solace in the outlook for consumer prices,\u201d Yumi Teso and Masaki Kondo write for Bloomberg. Despite listing EMs as a good investment overall, by their token, the inflation rates [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/","og_site_name":"EnterpriseAM Egypt","article_published_time":"2018-03-04T04:11:13+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1302.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"enterpriseam admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"enterpriseam admin","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/"},"author":{"name":"enterpriseam admin","@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d"},"headline":"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed","datePublished":"2018-03-04T04:11:13+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/"},"wordCount":217,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/3\/1302.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1","keywords":["EnterpriseAM","SPEED ROUND"],"articleSection":["Speed Round"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/","url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/03\/04\/ems-can-weather-a-more-hawkish-fed\/","name":"EMs can weather a more hawkish Fed - 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According to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2612.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":594317,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/10\/27\/egypts-bourse-egp-denominated-bonds-have-been-underperforming-for-weeks\/","url_meta":{"origin":630850,"position":1},"title":"Egypt\u2019s bourse, EGP-denominated bonds have been underperforming for weeks","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 October 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The EGX has been underperforming for weeks, and however well they\u2019re doing, EGP-denominated bonds are lagging the EM peers. Stocks on the EGX have been among \u201cthe world\u2019s worst performers\u201d and EGP-denominated bonds have underperformed emerging market peers since small-scale protests broke out in a few cities last month, Bloomberg\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/10\/2043.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550819,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/28\/em-debt-is-under-pressure-but-after-headwinds-subside-latin-america-could-be-in-for-a-windfall\/","url_meta":{"origin":630850,"position":2},"title":"EM debt is under pressure \u2014 but after headwinds subside, Latin America could be in for a windfall","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 April 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"US real yields turning positive to raise pressure on EMs: The inflation-adjusted 10-year yield on US treasuries turned briefly positive last week, sounding alarm bells among emerging-market money managers, Bloomberg reports. US-based Franklin Templeton said it would cut its positions in high-yield debt, while Fidelity International is betting against EM\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/4\/537.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":544327,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/02\/27\/the-case-for-investing-in-em-economies-has-rarely-been-weaker-argues-the-ft\/","url_meta":{"origin":630850,"position":3},"title":"The case for investing in EM economies has \u201crarely been weaker,\u201d argues the FT","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 February 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"With EM economies facing slowing growth, soaring debt, and imminent US interest rate hikes, the case for investing in them has \u201crarely been weaker,\u201d argues Jonathan Wheatley in the Financial Times. Amid the ongoing covid-19 pandemic, many EM economies have accrued high levels of debt, which they relied on to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Macro picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Macro picture","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/explainers\/macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/2\/560.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":601999,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/03\/17\/egyptian-bond-yields-among-the-most-attractive-in-emerging-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":630850,"position":4},"title":"Egyptian bond yields among the most attractive in emerging markets","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 March 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Yields on Egyptian debt are among the most attractive in emerging markets once you adjust for inflation, Bloomberg says. \u201cEmerging-market government debt lost 0.3 percent February after gaining 7.6 percent in the previous three months, according to the Bloomberg Barclays index, as mounting evidence of a global slowdown outweighs the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/3\/2163.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":555952,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/10\/04\/em-equities-vulnerability-to-us-yields-is-at-a-four-year-high\/","url_meta":{"origin":630850,"position":5},"title":"EM equities\u2019 vulnerability to US yields is at a four-year high","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 October 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"EM equities are looking very vulnerable to a spike in US treasury yields, with Bloomberg data showing the sensitivity of EM assets to fluctuations in US treasuries at its highest level since 2017 last week. For the first time in nearly half a decade, EM stocks and, similarly, bonds responded\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;PLANET FINANCE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/630850","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=630850"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/630850\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/630827"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/630851"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=630850"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=630850"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=630850"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=630850"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=630850"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}