{"id":630225,"date":"2018-04-16T04:20:33","date_gmt":"2018-04-16T04:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-april-2018\/"},"modified":"2018-04-16T04:20:33","modified_gmt":"2018-04-16T04:20:33","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-16-april-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-april-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 16 April 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

Finance Minister Amr El Garhy will be in Washington, DC, today for the <\/strong>IMF and World Bank\u2019s Spring Meetings<\/strong><\/a>, which will wrap on 22 April. Investment Minister Sahar Nasr and Central Bank Governor Tarek Amer are also attending. You can check out the landing page for the spring meetings here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Does a US support for a World Bank capital mean more financing down the line for Egypt? <\/strong>The US administration is set to support an imminent USD 13 bn capital increase at the World Bank. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is expected to announce the news during the week\u2019s spring meetings, sources told the FT<\/a>. US government officials have been tight-lipped as the administration had \u201cexpressed reservations about World Bank lending to China and other middle-income countries at last October\u2019s annual meetings,\u201d which made it \u201cwary of the plans for a capital increase.\u201d World Bank Group Executive Director and Executive Board Dean Merza Hasan had said last month<\/a>, during AmCham\u2019s 2018 Doorknock mission to Washington, that Egypt could be looking at a financing package of over USD 1 bn this year if the Bank was able to up its capital.<\/p>\n

Mideast markets were unaffected by airstrike carried out by the US, UK, and France against Syria on Saturday, <\/strong>analysts tell Bloomberg<\/a>. EFG Hermes Research\u2019s Mohamad Al Hajj says that geopolitical disputes are of little consequence to most Middle East investors.<\/strong> \u201cSpecifically in the MENA, political risk has always been there\u2026 But if we look at returns since the Arab spring, for example, banks like CIB in Egypt have delivered returns better than emerging markets. The leading companies in the GCC delivered returns better than emerging markets.\u201d Regional equities rose yesterday<\/strong>, the business information service noted<\/a>, with the Tadawul gaining 1.9% after a tough week last week and the DFM up 1.8%. The piece notes that in Egypt, SODIC shares rose by as much 4.3% and have \u201cgained 11% in the past three sessions as it announced it was starting talks with MNHD<\/a>\u201d over a potential merger or acquisition.<\/p>\n

<\/a> A looming bank crisis in Bangladesh is an opportunity for Egyptian garment manufacturers. <\/strong>That\u2019s our takeaway from a Financial Times<\/a> piece this morning that suggests banks \u201cin the south Asian nation face a credit crunch following mass deposit withdrawals in March and soaring levels of non-performing loans. Analysts and investors fear a full-blown crisis could spill over into Bangladesh\u2019s strongest link to the global economy \u2014 the production of textiles and ready-made garments for fast fashion brands and retailers such as H&M, American Eagle Outfitters, Zara, Walmart and Target.\u201d Bangladesh is the world\u2019s second-largest RMG exporter after China. We get that exports are hard, but the opportunities, friends, is simply too large to ignore across multiple industries.<\/p>\n

Making sense of the end of the world, Part I: <\/strong>With increasing volatility in equity markets, fears of a global trade war sparked by China and the US, and a rising tide of nationalism on just about every continent, it\u2019s become vogue to speculate about how the coming global meltdown will play out. An emerging consensus suggests that it may not be as painful as the Chicken Littles would have had us believe. <\/strong>Wall Street economists are sticking to their forecasts of global growth at about 4% this year, Bloomberg reports, suggesting that \u201cglobal growth is cresting, not collapsing.\u201d<\/strong><\/a> (The story has money quotes from just about every major global sell-side house stacked one after the other \u2014 definitely worth reading.)<\/p>\n

(The update to banks\u2019 growth forecasts comes as the IMF prepares to release tomorrow its semi-annual update of its global economic outlook.)<\/p>\n

Part II: The end of the nine-year-old bull market shouldn\u2019t be agony<\/strong>, Morgan Stanley\u2019s US equity strategists suggest<\/a>. While it\u2019s natural to \u201cwant to sell everything\u201d when you remember the corrections of 2008-09 or 2000-02, the bank says, \u201cwe envision a 1-2-year consolidation with 10-20% price swings and concentrated pain in certain sectors that are either overbought, expensive or fundamentally challenged. This will not be the wipe-out scenario that some of the perma-bears out there have been warning about for the past eight years.\"<\/p>\n

Part III: Are we headed for USD 80 oil?<\/strong> \u201cBrent oil could spike to $80 a barrel if the U.S. and European Union reimpose sanctions on Iran and as Western powers expand the scope of the Syrian civil war, JPMorgan strategists,\u201d Bloomberg reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Also making headlines this morning in the global business and finance press:<\/p>\n

Where were the lawyers? <\/strong>Martin Sorrell\u2019s resignation as chief of WPP, the world\u2019s largest ads group, may mean \u201cthe end of the Mad Men era<\/a>,\u201d but guess what? Dude apparently hasn\u2019t got a non-compete<\/a> and his partisans have left the WSJ reporting<\/a> that \u201cleft because of exasperation with the handling of the prive, not because he was worried about its details becoming public.\u201d Is it the start of a final act for the 73-year-old?<\/p>\n

Longtime readers will know we\u2019re a sucker for this story from the headline alone: Bringing blockchain to the coffee cup<\/strong><\/a>. (WSJ)<\/p>\n

Readers of a certain age will doubtless share our feeling that an era is closing as Barbara Bush<\/strong>, the wife of former president George H.W. Bush (the \u201cgood\u201d Bush president) is <\/strong>reportedly in \u201cfailing health\u201d<\/strong><\/a> and has decided to no longer seek medical treatment.<\/p>\n

The war of words between former FBI Director James Comey and US President Donald Trump has deepened as Come calls Trump <\/strong>\u201cmorally unfit to be president.\u201d<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Finance Minister Amr El Garhy will be in Washington, DC, today for the IMF and World Bank\u2019s Spring Meetings, which will wrap on 22 April. Investment Minister Sahar Nasr and Central Bank Governor Tarek Amer are also attending. You can check out the landing page for the spring meetings here. Does a US support for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-630225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"326aa050-edee-4ad7-916d-b446a1f6785a","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[630223],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 16 April 2018 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-april-2018\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 16 April 2018\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Finance Minister Amr El Garhy will be in Washington, DC, today for the IMF and World Bank\u2019s Spring Meetings, which will wrap on 22 April. 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It\u2019s hump day, we know, but it\u2019s shaping up to be the best week in forever. Consider: The Suez Canal is open again now that the Ever Whatever is floated and chilling in the Great Bitter Lake.CI Capital has priced Taaleem\u2019s IPO on the Egyptian Exchange\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":561284,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/01\/what-were-tracking-on-1-april-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":630225,"position":1},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 1 April 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 April 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Welcome to the second quarter of 2021, friends. It\u2019s also April Fool\u2019s day as we gear up for this final day of the workweek, so you may want to up-regulate your BS meter if you have kids under the age of 12. Looking back, 1Q was kinda phenomenal if you\u2019re\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":545934,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/04\/18\/this-morning-with-the-specter-of-stagflation-looming-the-imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-start-today\/","url_meta":{"origin":630225,"position":2},"title":"THIS MORNING: With the specter of stagflation looming, the IMF \/ World Bank spring meetings start today","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 April 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends, and welcome to the first truly slow news day of Ramadan. It took the confluence of Ramadan, Western Easter, Coptic Good Friday and Passover to slow down the freight train that is the 2022 news cycle, but we\u2019re not complaining.Sound smart: The overlapping of Ramadan, two Easters\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":630171,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/04\/15\/what-were-tracking-this-week-35\/","url_meta":{"origin":630225,"position":3},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking this week","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 April 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Finance Minister Amr El Garhy will head to Washington, DC, on Monday for the IMF and World Bank\u2019s Spring Meetings from April 16-22. Investment Minister Sahar Nasr and Central Bank Governor Tarek Amer are also attending, Al Masry Al Youm says. You can check out the landing page for the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We\u2019re Tracking This Week"","block_context":{"text":"What We\u2019re Tracking This Week","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-this-week\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":585114,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/04\/11\/this-morning-shoukry-in-athens-then-ankara-red-devils-clinch-the-egypt-cup\/","url_meta":{"origin":630225,"position":4},"title":"THIS MORNING: Shoukry in Athens \u2014 then Ankara? + Red Devils clinch the Egypt Cup","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 April 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Turkey\u2019s top diplomat says he and Shoukry will discuss resuming ties","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/4\/458.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":561393,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/06\/what-were-tracking-on-6-april-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":630225,"position":5},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 6 April 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 April 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, everyone, and happy hump day. We have another busy news day for you as the inexorable march toward Ramadan begins \u2014 we\u2019re seven days out, as of this morning. Regulators will meet today to discuss potentially introducing restrictions on margin trading, said Rania Yacoub, a member of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/630225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=630225"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/630225\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/630223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=630225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=630225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=630225"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=630225"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=630225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}