{"id":627191,"date":"2018-07-25T04:06:55","date_gmt":"2018-07-25T04:06:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/25\/allure-of-egp-bonds-fade-but-we-are-not-em-zombie-crisis-mode-yet\/"},"modified":"2018-07-25T04:06:55","modified_gmt":"2018-07-25T04:06:55","slug":"allure-of-egp-bonds-fade-but-we-are-not-em-zombie-crisis-mode-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/25\/allure-of-egp-bonds-fade-but-we-are-not-em-zombie-crisis-mode-yet\/","title":{"rendered":"Allure of EGP bonds fade, but we are not EM zombie crisis mode yet"},"content":{"rendered":"

While the glint from Egypt\u2019s bonds may have faded, there is still no need to begin preparing a survival bunker for the EM zombie apocalypse,<\/strong> according to a recent report from Capital Economics (we are unable to link to the report for copyright reasons). \u201cThe surge in foreign investment into Egyptian bonds and equities that followed the devaluation appears to have faded \u2013 in fact, daily data show that foreign investors have been net sellers of Egyptian stocks for the past two months.\u201d Nonetheless, the report notes that we are not yet in crisis mode when it comes to portfolio outflows as the fundamentals \u2014 particularly the government\u2019s adherence to the economic reforms \u2014 remains strong. \u201cWith the government set to stick to orthodox policy making, however, overall capital inflows should hold up well,\u201d notes the report.<\/p>\n

As a matter of fact, things may even look good for carry traders down the road<\/strong>, as Capital Economics sees the EGP depreciating over the coming years. \u201cWe expect the currency to fall from EGP 17.9 per USD 1 at the time of writing to EGP 19 to the USD by the end of this year and to EGP 20 by end-2019,\u201d says the report.<\/p>\n

Monetary easing to continue later this year: <\/strong>The depreciating EGP, coupled with an improving balance of payments and account deficit, should see inflation trend downwards, says the firm. This downward trend is expected to resume later this year, providing scope for the central bank to resume its easing cycle. \u201cWe expect the central bank to lower its overnight deposit rate by a further 550 bps by the end of next year,\u201d according to the report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

While the glint from Egypt\u2019s bonds may have faded, there is still no need to begin preparing a survival bunker for the EM zombie apocalypse, according to a recent report from Capital Economics (we are unable to link to the report for copyright reasons). \u201cThe surge in foreign investment into Egyptian bonds and equities that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-627191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"40671f0b-2067-4e9d-8037-644cf179de2c","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"c3593bc1-dac9-4c92-b9dd-0fe795bbd7d2","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[627183],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nAllure of EGP bonds fade, but we are not EM zombie crisis mode yet - 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Of the 13 managers polled, 15% said they expect to curb their exposure to Mideast equities within the next three months, while around 8% said\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":624415,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/09\/foreign-investors-exited-some-egp-29-9-bn-worth-of-egyptian-treasuries-in-june-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":627191,"position":1},"title":"Foreign investors exited some EGP 29.9 bn worth of Egyptian treasuries in June 2018","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 September 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"**#2 Foreign investors exited some EGP 29.9 bn worth of Egyptian treasuries in June as the Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse deepened, according to central bank data (pdf). Foreign holdings of treasuries stood at EGP 269.1 bn at the end of FY2017-18, down EGP 29.9 bn from the previous month. International\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":637514,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/11\/19\/egypt-being-eyed-as-among-riskiest-bonds-by-em-money-managers-after-venezuela-default\/","url_meta":{"origin":627191,"position":2},"title":"Egypt being eyed as among riskiest bonds by EM money managers after Venezuela default","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 November 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt is one of several \u201crisky\u201d sovereign bonds being looked at more closely by emerging markets money managers as Venezuela defaults on loans and the Lebanon crisis unfolds, write Ben Bartenstein and Justin Villamil for Bloomberg. Egypt, along with Lebanon, Pakistan and the Ukraine, have the widest credit default swap\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2017\/11\/622.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572966,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/15\/egyptian-banks-fx-liquidity-still-vulnerable-as-recovery-from-covid-19-sell-off-will-take-longer-than-2018-em-zombie-apocalypse-fitch\/","url_meta":{"origin":627191,"position":3},"title":"Egyptian banks\u2019 FX liquidity \u201cstill vulnerable\u201d as recovery from covid-19 sell-off will take longer than 2018 EM Zombie Apocalypse -Fitch","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egyptian banks\u2019 FX liquidity \u201cstill vulnerable\u201d \u2014 it\u2019s going to take longer to recover from the covid-19 sell-off than from the 2018 EM Zombie Apocalypse -Fitch: The capital outflows Egypt sustained over the past several months as a result of the fallout from the covid-19 pandemic was \u201cmore severe\u201d and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/7\/112.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":601697,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/03\/07\/foreign-holdings-in-egyptian-treasuries-up-to-usd-15-8-bn\/","url_meta":{"origin":627191,"position":4},"title":"Foreign holdings in Egyptian treasuries up to USD 15.8 bn","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 March 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign holdings in Egyptian treasuries up to USD 15.8 bn: Foreign investors held USD 15.8 bn of Egyptian treasury bills and bonds at the end of February, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait revealed on Wednesday, in a leap from January\u2019s figures of USD 13.36 bn, Reuters reports. \u201cThat\u2019s great news,\u201d said\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":624534,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":627191,"position":5},"title":"Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 September 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"**#1 Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis? Egypt is one of seven countries that face the risk of a foreign currency crisis, Bloomberg says, citing recent research from the by Japan\u2019s Nomura Holdings. Argentina, Turkey, South Africa, Ukraine, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan are also on the list\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/558.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=627191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627191\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/627183"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=627191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=627191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=627191"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=627191"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=627191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}