{"id":626909,"date":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","date_gmt":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/goldman-sachs-did-not-even-come-close-to-accurately-predicting-the-world-cups-outcomes\/"},"modified":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","modified_gmt":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","slug":"goldman-sachs-did-not-even-come-close-to-accurately-predicting-the-world-cups-outcomes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/goldman-sachs-did-not-even-come-close-to-accurately-predicting-the-world-cups-outcomes\/","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs \u201cdid not even come close\u201d to accurately predicting the World Cup\u2019s outcomes"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Goldman Sachs\u2019 <\/strong>sophisticated statistical model<\/strong><\/a> to predict the outcomes of the World Cup \u201cdid not even come close\u201d to hitting the mark<\/strong>, Leonid Bershidsky writes for Bloomberg<\/a>. Just to give some perspective: The model thought that Egypt had a 34.4% chance of making it out of the group stage, and that Croatia\u2019s chance of making it to the final match was no higher than 2.1%.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe failure to accurately predict the outcome of soccer games is a good opportunity to laugh at the hubris of elite bankers<\/strong>, who use similar complex models for investment decisions.\u201d The investment bank continued to update the model as new outcomes continued to emerge, but the model continued to crank out predictions that were completely off, which goes to show that real life and a game like soccer are \u201cinfinitely more complex\u201d than any model based on past data and statistics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Goldman Sachs\u2019 sophisticated statistical model to predict the outcomes of the World Cup \u201cdid not even come close\u201d to hitting the mark, Leonid Bershidsky writes for Bloomberg. Just to give some perspective: The model thought that Egypt had a 34.4% chance of making it out of the group stage, and that Croatia\u2019s chance of making […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":626910,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9003],"tags":[72,2397],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-626909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-worth-reading","tag-enterpriseam","tag-worth-reading","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"c7fa74d3-93a1-4f9a-b79e-8e8c4e69902e","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/7\/28.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[626884],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nGoldman Sachs \u201cdid not even come close\u201d to accurately predicting the World Cup\u2019s outcomes - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/goldman-sachs-did-not-even-come-close-to-accurately-predicting-the-world-cups-outcomes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Goldman Sachs \u201cdid not even come close\u201d to accurately predicting the World Cup\u2019s outcomes\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Goldman Sachs\u2019 sophisticated statistical model to predict the outcomes of the World Cup \u201cdid not even come close\u201d to hitting the mark, Leonid Bershidsky writes for Bloomberg. 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This will also be key\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/11\/2419.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":633170,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/28\/quantum-computing-could-be-a-usd-29-bn-industry-by-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":626909,"position":2},"title":"Quantum computing could be a USD 29 bn industry by 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 February 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cQuantum computing isn\u2019t just your classical computer on steroids. It is a completely different computing model,\u201d says Goldman Sachs lead analyst on semiconductors, Toshiya Hari. Quantum computers are now on Goldman Sachs Research\u2019s \u201cOutsiders\u201d list of emerging ecosystems to watch. 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Millennials are poised to reshape the economy; their unique experiences will change the ways we buy and sell,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":632496,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/02\/12\/startup-pitch-advice-from-the-goldman-sachs-annual-private-internet-company-conference\/","url_meta":{"origin":626909,"position":4},"title":"Startup pitch advice from the Goldman Sachs\u2019 annual Private Internet Company Conference","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 February 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Practice with the least important pitches first: Successful entrepreneurs must convince prospective investors, employees, and customers to take a chance on their business. Five founders and CEOs gave advice at Goldman Sachs\u2019 annual Private Internet Company Conference on crafting a successful pitch. Make sure you strike the right balance between\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "ON YOUR WAY OUT"","block_context":{"text":"ON YOUR WAY OUT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/on-your-way-out\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/2\/792.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":614958,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/02\/11\/goldman-sachs-calls-for-egypt-to-build-liquidity-buffers-and-curb-fx-demand-before-devaluation\/","url_meta":{"origin":626909,"position":5},"title":"Goldman Sachs calls for Egypt to build liquidity buffers and curb FX demand before devaluation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 February 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt\u2019s policy objectives are unlikely to be achieved without further policy tightening and sufficient FX liquidity buffers ahead of a devaluation, the bank said","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/2\/786.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626909","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=626909"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626909\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/626884"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/626910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=626909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=626909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=626909"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=626909"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=626909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}