{"id":626886,"date":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","date_gmt":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/what-were-tracking-on-15-july-2018\/"},"modified":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","modified_gmt":"2018-07-15T03:59:09","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-15-july-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/what-were-tracking-on-15-july-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 15 July 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse has put the squeeze on Egypt<\/strong>, with outflows from debt instruments in the USD 4-5 bn range, according to a Reuters report. But we\u2019re not about to become walker-bait<\/strong>, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told us in conversation this weekend (admittedly, he didn\u2019t use those exact words). Maait acknowledged that global headwinds in EM have hit Egypt and suggested the government will focus less on tapping the bond market this year and instead line-up longer term facilities.<\/p>\n

Notably not freaked out is the IMF<\/strong>, which released on Thursday its third review of Egypt\u2019s economic reform program. Among the highlights of the report is its assessment that Egypt is reasonably well positioned to handle external stress such as the EM Zombie Apocalypse and higher oil prices.<\/p>\n

Still, you\u2019ll want to keep an eye on the global debt market<\/strong>, suggests the FT\u2019s Jonathan Wheatley<\/a>, who notes debt is piling up globally \u2014 and that comparatively under-leveraged EM had been slapping it on faster than are developed markets. \u201cThe big issue this [increase in debt] raises is the importance of emerging markets growing sustainably [to reduce the burden of debt],\u201d he quotes Mohamed El Erian as saying.<\/p>\n

EM have already seen two of the three stages of a crisis this year<\/strong>, El Erian notes: \u201cFirst, the reversal of flows; second, the contagion between currencies seen in the Argentina peso, Turkish lira and others. \u2018In the third,\u2019 he said, \u2018either the strong names reassert with their fundamentals while the weak names succumb to their fragilities, which is what is happening now; or, you get one bad outcome leading to another.\u2019 As to which of those outcomes will predominate, he said, the jury is still out.\u201d<\/p>\n

We have chapter and verse in Speed Round, below.<\/p>\n

EXCLUSIVE- The first wave of the privatization program will include stake sales by five companies<\/strong>, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told Enterprise. The announcement of program timeline will take place either this week or next, said Maait, who noted that the timeline announcement was delayed as some ministries were not ready. The Madbouly Cabinet would likely then sign off on the program at the meeting following the announcement, he added.<\/p>\n

<\/a> It\u2019s going to be a wild ride in the House today <\/strong>as our fearless representatives try to push through as much legislation as possible and thus earn themselves their summer recess. Some in the local press had expected the House to go into recess today<\/a>, but with 43 meetings and hearings still scheduled and a pile of bills on the agenda (see Speed Round, below), we think we\u2019re looking at recess later in the week.<\/p>\n

The centerpiece: MPs will begin today debate in plenary session of the Madbouly cabinet\u2019s policy program<\/strong>, which emphasizes continuity with his predecessor\u2019s agenda on key points including economic policy, shoring up the social safety net, the rollout of a universal health insurance program, improvements to education, and the war on terror. You can catch our recap of the program here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Don\u2019t expect a final vote on the program before Tuesday<\/strong>, Deputy House Speaker Soliman Wahdan said on CBC\u2019s Hona Al Asema last night. He lauded the \u201cambitious\u201d program despite its lack of a detailed time frame for social protection measures and economic reforms and noted that the House is widely expected to give the incoming cabinet its vote of confidence (watch, runtime: 7:04<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Also on the House\u2019s docket: The three bills that comprise the Press and Media Act, part two<\/strong> are due to be discussed today, sources tell Ahram Online<\/a>. The Council of State (Maglis El Dawla) had said in its review of the law<\/a> that some of its core articles are unconstitutional and infringe on press freedoms \u2014 and called for 33 of its 55 articles to be amended. The Public Contracts Act will also be discussed in committee this week, <\/strong>according to Al Shorouk<\/a>, and could have a first reading in the House as a whole.<\/p>\n

You now have an extra month to settle your real estate taxes: <\/strong>Maait signed off yesterday on extending the deadline for the payment of real estate taxes to 15 August, from 15 July, according to a statement picked up by Al Masry Al Youm<\/a>. The minister said the deadline would not be pushed a second time.<\/p>\n

Further afield this morning: Donald Trump says he plans to <\/strong>run again<\/strong> in 2020<\/a> because there\u2019s no Democrat out there who can unseat him. Trump\u2019s remarks came as he heads off to a meeting in Finland with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Saudi and the UAE are throwing South Africa a lifeline<\/strong> as the Emirates pledged USD 10 bn worth of investment<\/a>, largely in tourism and mining, matching Saudi Arabia\u2019s offer made earlier in the week.<\/p>\n

<\/a> Croatia and France face off at 5pm CLT today in the World Cup final. <\/strong>We don\u2019t know who to cheer, frankly, but will probably settle on Croatia \u2014 we love the underdog.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse has put the squeeze on Egypt, with outflows from debt instruments in the USD 4-5 bn range, according to a Reuters report. But we\u2019re not about to become walker-bait, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told us in conversation this weekend (admittedly, he didn\u2019t use those exact words). Maait acknowledged that global […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-626886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"38a30b2e-4e45-43b5-863b-3fbfeea36ae8","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[626884],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 15 July 2018 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/07\/15\/what-were-tracking-on-15-july-2018\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 15 July 2018\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse has put the squeeze on Egypt, with outflows from debt instruments in the USD 4-5 bn range, according to a Reuters report. 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Nobel Prize-winning economist and columnist Paul Krugman got in on the party\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/5\/631.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572966,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/15\/egyptian-banks-fx-liquidity-still-vulnerable-as-recovery-from-covid-19-sell-off-will-take-longer-than-2018-em-zombie-apocalypse-fitch\/","url_meta":{"origin":626886,"position":1},"title":"Egyptian banks\u2019 FX liquidity \u201cstill vulnerable\u201d as recovery from covid-19 sell-off will take longer than 2018 EM Zombie Apocalypse -Fitch","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egyptian banks\u2019 FX liquidity \u201cstill vulnerable\u201d \u2014 it\u2019s going to take longer to recover from the covid-19 sell-off than from the 2018 EM Zombie Apocalypse -Fitch: The capital outflows Egypt sustained over the past several months as a result of the fallout from the covid-19 pandemic was \u201cmore severe\u201d and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/7\/112.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":629193,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/05\/24\/mark-mobius-is-as-usual-the-voice-of-reason-on-em-zombie-apocalypse\/","url_meta":{"origin":626886,"position":2},"title":"Mark Mobius is (as usual) the voice of reason on EM zombie apocalypse","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 May 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"As usual, Mark Mobius is the voice of reason. The iconic, 81-year-old EM investor, who left Franklin Templeton earlier this year to set top Mobius capital Partners, told Bloomberg yesterday that, \u201cWe still could have some downside in the emerging markets, but selectively, you have some good opportunities. 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The plunge that emerging market assets witnessed this year could have bottomed out in June, with the rally witnessed in July looking likely to be a sustained rebound, according to an analysis by Goldman\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/7\/81.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":621445,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/08\/egypt-is-the-fourth-most-vulnerable-to-the-em-zombie-apocalypse\/","url_meta":{"origin":626886,"position":4},"title":"Egypt is the fourth most vulnerable to the EM Zombie Apocalypse","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 November 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt is one of the countries most vulnerable should the EM Zombie Apocalypse bite again,according to study by Bloomberg Economics. Turkey was the most vulnerable, followed by Argentina and South Africa. Thailand and Saudi Arabia are the least vulnerable of the 20 nations included in the study. What\u2019s the methodology?\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1959.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":622463,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/02\/fund-managers-have-turned-negative-on-egyptian-equities-amid-em-zombie-apocalypse\/","url_meta":{"origin":626886,"position":5},"title":"Fund managers \u201chave turned negative\u201d on Egyptian equities amid EM Zombie Apocalypse","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"2 October 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Fund managers \u201chave turned negative\u201d on Egyptian equities amid the Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse, a monthly poll of leading fund managers shows, according to Reuters. Of the 13 managers polled, 15% said they expect to curb their exposure to Mideast equities within the next three months, while around 8% said\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=626886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/626886\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/626884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=626886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=626886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=626886"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=626886"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=626886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}