{"id":624805,"date":"2018-09-19T04:12:30","date_gmt":"2018-09-19T04:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/"},"modified":"2018-09-19T04:12:30","modified_gmt":"2018-09-19T04:12:30","slug":"egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt is susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> **#2 Egypt is among three net-importers in the Mideast that are susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF:<\/strong> Egypt, Tunisia and Lebanon are the three Middle East countries most at risk of contagion from the unfolding emerging markets selloff, according to a report from the Institute of International Finance (IIF) (pdf)<\/a>. Data suggests that the three net-importers of oil and gas have been among the hardest hit regionally. \u201cNon-resident capital inflows to MENA oil importers are expected to decline to USD 54 bn this year, from USD 67 bn in 2017, as global monetary tightening, higher oil prices and external imbalances put MENA oil importers at risk,\u201d says the report. Higher oil prices, USD pegs, and large public foreign assets will largely shield oil exporters from EM contagion.<\/p>\n

For Egypt, inflows by the end of FY2017-18 declined to USD 35 bn from USD 43.6 bn in FY2016-17.<\/strong> Egypt\u2019s sovereign debt market saw USD 6.2 bn in outflows between April and July, the report notes. Furthermore, \u201ca jump in yields on EGP-denominated treasury bills is pushing borrowing costs higher.\u201d The report also notes that Egypt has recently called off three treasury bond auctions.<\/p>\n

By that logic, shouldn\u2019t Zohr save us? <\/strong>While the report sees a correlation between being a net-importer of oil and EM contagion, there is very little analysis on how this will play out once full production on Zohr and other concessions commences by late this year or early next year. Egypt is gearing to become a net-exporter of gas in 2019 and primary export hub of the East Mediterranean basin to Europe.<\/p>\n

Overall, The IIF sees foreign capital inflows to MENA rising to USD 182 bn in 2018<\/strong>, equivalent to 6% of the region\u2019s GDP. This downward revision from its March report primarily came on the back of the Aramco IPO not coming through. The report also concludes that the direct spillover effect from Turkey has been limited due to relatively low trade and financial connections to the region.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

**#2 Egypt is among three net-importers in the Mideast that are susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF: Egypt, Tunisia and Lebanon are the three Middle East countries most at risk of contagion from the unfolding emerging markets selloff, according to a report from the Institute of International Finance (IIF) (pdf). Data suggests that the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":624806,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-624805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"147a1e37-069d-47fa-8f0b-021cedce1500","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"ed15099c-d4ab-43dd-877e-c644e1d90520","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/1567.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[624797],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt is susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt is susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"**#2 Egypt is among three net-importers in the Mideast that are susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF: Egypt, Tunisia and Lebanon are the three Middle East countries most at risk of contagion from the unfolding emerging markets selloff, according to a report from the Institute of International Finance (IIF) (pdf). Data suggests that the […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-09-19T04:12:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/1567.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Egypt is susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-19T04:12:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/\"},\"wordCount\":334,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/1567.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/\",\"name\":\"Egypt is susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF - 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This growth will largely be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/10\/428.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":625792,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/08\/15\/is-egypts-attraction-to-carry-traders-making-it-especially-at-risk-from-fallout-from-the-turkey-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":624805,"position":1},"title":"Is Egypt\u2019s attraction to carry traders making it especially at risk from fallout from the Turkey crisis?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 August 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Is Egypt\u2019s attraction to carry traders making it especially at risk from fallout from the Turkey crisis? The Institute of International Finance (IIF) sees Egypt as one of the emerging markets that will be impacted the most from the Turkish crisis contagion. In a report out on Tuesday (pdf), the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":602678,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/04\/03\/iif-expects-egypt-to-see-usd-12-15-bn-of-net-foreign-inflows-in-fy2018-19-says-economy-will-grow-5-5-this-year\/","url_meta":{"origin":624805,"position":2},"title":"IIF expects Egypt to see USD 12-15 bn of net foreign inflows in FY2018-19, says economy will grow 5.5% this year","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 April 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt will see net capital inflows of between USD 12 and USD 15 bn by the end of the current fiscal year, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) said in a research note (paywall). Inflows will remain positive through to the end of June as foreign investment into government treasuries\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/4\/1972.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":646160,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/06\/07\/capital-inflows-to-em-to-increase-in-2017-egypt-to-get-usd-32-bn-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":624805,"position":3},"title":"Capital inflows to EM to increase in 2017, Egypt to get USD 32 bn -IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 June 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Capital inflows to EM to increase in 2017, Egypt to get USD 32 bn -IIF. Non-resident capital inflows to emerging markets are projected to increase by USD 252 bn to USD 970 bn in 2017, according to a report by the Institute of International Finance (IIF). The IIF expects resident\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":652247,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/01\/04\/2016-was-the-worst-year-for-portfolio-flows-to-emerging-markets-since-the-global-financial-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":624805,"position":4},"title":"2016 was the worst year for portfolio flows to emerging markets since the global financial crisis","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 January 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"2016 was the worst year for portfolio flows to emerging markets since the global financial crisis trough of 2008, according to figures released yesterday by the Institute of International Finance (pdf). A \u201cdismal\u201d reading in December \u201ccuts total net non-resident EM portfolio inflows for 2016 to just USD 28 bn\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2017\/1\/1240.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570418,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/31\/iif-downgrades-egypts-2020-growth-forecast-to-2-7\/","url_meta":{"origin":624805,"position":5},"title":"IIF downgrades Egypt\u2019s 2020 growth forecast to 2.7%","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"31 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"IIF downgrades Egypt\u2019s 2020 growth forecast to 2.7%: The Institute of International Finance (IIF) has revised downward its projection for Egypt\u2019s GDP growth this year to 2.7% from 5.4% due to headwinds caused by the covid-19 outbreak.Behind the dip: Lower economic growth will come on the back of a drop\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/353.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624805"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624805\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/624797"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/624806"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624805"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=624805"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=624805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}