{"id":624534,"date":"2018-09-12T04:02:35","date_gmt":"2018-09-12T04:02:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/"},"modified":"2018-09-12T04:02:35","modified_gmt":"2018-09-12T04:02:35","slug":"is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a> <strong>**#1 Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis? <\/strong>Egypt is one of seven countries that face the risk of a foreign currency crisis, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-09-10\/seven-em-countries-at-risk-of-exchange-rate-crisis-nomura-says\">Bloomberg says<\/a>, citing recent research from the by Japan\u2019s Nomura Holdings. Argentina, Turkey, South Africa, Ukraine, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan are also on the list of risk-prone countries identified using the early warning model known as Damocles, which \u201cexamines a variety of factors including foreign-exchange reserves, debt levels, interest rates and import cover.\u201d The report urges investors to \u201cdifferentiate between economies across emerging markets,\u201d identifying those with a lower risk profile and recognizing the entry opportunities they currently present, as volatility from the EM sell-off subsides over the coming few months. Lowest on the risk spectrum are Russia, Indonesia, Brazil, Peru, Philippines, and Thailand. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bcfa7bf0-b4a1-11e8-bbc3-ccd7de085ffe\">The FT also has the story<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Analysts see promising signs that the EM Zombie Apocalypse could wind down over the coming months, <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-09-10\/emerging-market-rout-takes-aim-at-india-amid-widening-deficit\">they tell Bloomberg separately<\/a>. Nomura\u2019s report came as a drop of 1.3% in the INR against the USD this week raised fresh concerns about whether emerging markets can sustain more hits, especially those with wider account deficits, high inflation, and a high level of foreign ownership of domestic debt. One view, however, sees the EM sell-off waning off in a few months, with a good indication of that being that most current account deficit levels are lower than they used to be and that inflation levels are largely \u201ctame.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**#1 Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis? Egypt is one of seven countries that face the risk of a foreign currency crisis, Bloomberg says, citing recent research from the by Japan\u2019s Nomura Holdings. Argentina, Turkey, South Africa, Ukraine, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan are also on the list of risk-prone countries identified using [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":624535,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-624534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"c91d8fec-9804-490e-95a5-2c15bc75f652","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/558.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[624525],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis? - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"**#1 Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis? Egypt is one of seven countries that face the risk of a foreign currency crisis, Bloomberg says, citing recent research from the by Japan\u2019s Nomura Holdings. Argentina, Turkey, South Africa, Ukraine, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan are also on the list of risk-prone countries identified using [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-09-12T04:02:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/558.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis?\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-12T04:02:35+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/\"},\"wordCount\":249,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/558.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/12\/is-egypt-at-risk-of-another-full-blown-fx-crisis\/\",\"name\":\"Is Egypt at risk of another \u201cfull-blown\u201d FX crisis? 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The Institute of International Finance (IIF) sees Egypt as one of the emerging markets that will be impacted the most from the Turkish crisis contagion. In a report out on Tuesday (pdf), the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":564979,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/10\/fitch-gives-long-term-fx-debt-outlook-a-%f0%9f%91%8d\/","url_meta":{"origin":624534,"position":1},"title":"Fitch gives long-term FX debt outlook a ?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Fitch Ratings affirmed Egypt\u2019s long-term FX issuer default rating at \u2018B+\u2019 with a \u2018stable\u2019 outlook. The outlook is supported by the country\u2019s track record of fiscal and economic reforms, which authorities continued to enact, and a large economy, \u201cwhich has demonstrated stability and resilience through the global health crisis,\u201d the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;SPEED ROUND: MACRO&quot;","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: MACRO","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-macro\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/3\/440.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":624805,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/19\/egypt-is-susceptible-to-em-crisis-contagion-says-iif\/","url_meta":{"origin":624534,"position":2},"title":"Egypt is susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 September 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"**#2 Egypt is among three net-importers in the Mideast that are susceptible to EM crisis contagion, says IIF: Egypt, Tunisia and Lebanon are the three Middle East countries most at risk of contagion from the unfolding emerging markets selloff, according to a report from the Institute of International Finance (IIF)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/1567.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":575951,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/11\/04\/egypt-adds-usd-800-mn-to-foreign-reserves-in-october\/","url_meta":{"origin":624534,"position":3},"title":"Egypt adds USD 800 mn to foreign reserves in October","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"4 November 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt adds USD 800 mn to foreign reserves in October: Egypt\u2019s foreign reserves grew for the fifth consecutive month in October, climbing to USD 39.22 bn from USD 38.43 bn in September, according to central bank figures released yesterday. Reserves fell by some USD 10 bn between March and May\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":572966,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/15\/egyptian-banks-fx-liquidity-still-vulnerable-as-recovery-from-covid-19-sell-off-will-take-longer-than-2018-em-zombie-apocalypse-fitch\/","url_meta":{"origin":624534,"position":4},"title":"Egyptian banks\u2019 FX liquidity \u201cstill vulnerable\u201d as recovery from covid-19 sell-off will take longer than 2018 EM Zombie Apocalypse -Fitch","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egyptian banks\u2019 FX liquidity \u201cstill vulnerable\u201d \u2014 it\u2019s going to take longer to recover from the covid-19 sell-off than from the 2018 EM Zombie Apocalypse -Fitch: The capital outflows Egypt sustained over the past several months as a result of the fallout from the covid-19 pandemic was \u201cmore severe\u201d and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/7\/112.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":574381,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/09\/08\/fx-reserves-rise-slightly-in-august\/","url_meta":{"origin":624534,"position":5},"title":"FX reserves rise slightly in August","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"8 September 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"FX reserves rise slightly in August: Foreign reserves rose in August for the third month running, coming in at USD 38.37 bn from USD 38.31 in July, according to central bankfigures released yesterday. The country has added a little over USD 2 bn to its stockpiles over the past three\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624534","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624534"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624534\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/624525"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/624535"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624534"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=624534"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=624534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}