{"id":624367,"date":"2018-09-06T03:50:34","date_gmt":"2018-09-06T03:50:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/"},"modified":"2018-09-06T03:50:34","modified_gmt":"2018-09-06T03:50:34","slug":"egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"EGP could lose up to 10% of its value against the USD by 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-01\"><\/a> <strong>**#1 Is the central bank propping-up the EGP amid the ongoing emerging markets selloff? <\/strong>Capital Economics suggests in a report out yesterday that the central bank has \u201cintervened to support the EGP in recent months.\u201d The report points as evidence to the stability of the EGP throughout the emerging markets sell-off when compared to other currencies. The assessment comes despite past pledges by Governor Tarek Amer that the CBE is out of the business of managing the currency.<\/p>\n<p><strong>How much longer can it continue?<\/strong> While Egypt\u2019s rising FX reserves and improving external position may allow the CBE more time to prop up the currency, the sting of the sell-off in EM assets may force it to abandon the policy. Egyptian assets have been strained as \u201cforeign investors have been net sellers of Egyptian stocks over the past few months and also reduced their holdings of Egyptian government bonds, which has contributed to a fresh rise in bond yields.\u201d Furthermore, the IMF is also likely to push the government to stop intervening in the currency market to keep it attractive to foreign investors, the report says.<\/p>\n<p>But let\u2019s keep this all in perspective: <strong>Capital Economics sees the EGP losing up to 10% of its value against the USD by 2020<\/strong>. The pound is seen as easing to 19-20 per greenback by then.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Once again, this is why we don\u2019t see the central bank cutting interest rates soon. <\/strong>The CBE\u2019s monetary policy committee meets at month\u2019s end to decide on interest rates. We\u2019ve previously championed rate cuts to kickstart private-sector borrowing, but now believe the MPC will leave rates on hold to ensure Egypt remains attractive to the carry trade in an environment in which other markets are taking. FX stability is on the keys to anyone looking at a carry trade, so\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**#1 Is the central bank propping-up the EGP amid the ongoing emerging markets selloff? Capital Economics suggests in a report out yesterday that the central bank has \u201cintervened to support the EGP in recent months.\u201d The report points as evidence to the stability of the EGP throughout the emerging markets sell-off when compared to other [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[72,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-624367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-enterpriseam","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"7768b586-b40f-4f99-b296-84315aaee3dc","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[624362],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EGP could lose up to 10% of its value against the USD by 2020 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EGP could lose up to 10% of its value against the USD by 2020\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"**#1 Is the central bank propping-up the EGP amid the ongoing emerging markets selloff? Capital Economics suggests in a report out yesterday that the central bank has \u201cintervened to support the EGP in recent months.\u201d The report points as evidence to the stability of the EGP throughout the emerging markets sell-off when compared to other [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-09-06T03:50:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"EGP could lose up to 10% of its value against the USD by 2020\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-06T03:50:34+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/\"},\"wordCount\":316,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"SPEED ROUND\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Speed Round\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/06\/egp-could-lose-up-to-10-of-its-value-against-the-usd-by-2020\/\",\"name\":\"EGP could lose up to 10% of its value against the USD by 2020 - 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Reuters also has the story. Egyptian banks\u2019 net foreign assets (NFAs) dropped 45% m-o-m\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/2.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571359,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/10\/foreign-reserves-fall-for-second-consecutive-month-in-april\/","url_meta":{"origin":624367,"position":1},"title":"Foreign reserves fall for second consecutive month in April","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreign reserves fell in April for the second consecutive month as the central bank honored repatriation requests from foreign investors, theCentral Bank of Egypt said in a statement (pdf). Reserves slipped by another USD 3.1 bn during the month to USD 37 bn, having fallen from a peak of USD\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/5\/90.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":624415,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/09\/foreign-investors-exited-some-egp-29-9-bn-worth-of-egyptian-treasuries-in-june-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":624367,"position":2},"title":"Foreign investors exited some EGP 29.9 bn worth of Egyptian treasuries in June 2018","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 September 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"**#2 Foreign investors exited some EGP 29.9 bn worth of Egyptian treasuries in June as the Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse deepened, according to central bank data (pdf). Foreign holdings of treasuries stood at EGP 269.1 bn at the end of FY2017-18, down EGP 29.9 bn from the previous month. International\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":569651,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/03\/egyptian-stocks-hold-steady-following-sundays-rout\/","url_meta":{"origin":624367,"position":3},"title":"Egyptian stocks hold steady following Sunday\u2019s rout","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"3 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egyptian stocks hold steady following Sunday\u2019s rout: Egyptian equities stabilized yesterday as global markets rebounded from last week\u2019s sell-off on hopes that central banks around the world will launch coordinated stimulus to mitigate against the economic fallout of the covid-19 virus. The EGX30 closed 0.55% in the green, led by\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/3\/36.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":569103,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/13\/cbe-to-ease-off-rate-cuts-this-year-in-a-bid-to-support-strong-carry-trade-efg-hermes\/","url_meta":{"origin":624367,"position":4},"title":"CBE to ease off rate cuts this year in a bid to support strong carry trade -EFG Hermes","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 February 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CBE to ease off rate cuts this year in a bid to support strong carry trade -EFG Hermes: The Central Bank of Egypt is likely to slow its easing cycle this year as it looks to maintain the strength of the carry trade and support the EGP, according to a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/2\/181.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595537,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/30\/egp-egx-rally-after-cbe-rate-cut\/","url_meta":{"origin":624367,"position":5},"title":"EGP, EGX rally after CBE rate cut","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"30 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The EGP flexed its muscles against the USD yesterday, rallying on the first market day after the central bank cut key interest rates by another 100 bps in last week\u2019s MPC meeting (watch, runtime: 02:22). The EGP strengthened to 16.31 against the greenback on Sunday compared to 16.38 on Thursday.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Enterprise+: Last Night\u2019s Talk Shows&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Enterprise+: Last Night\u2019s Talk Shows","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/enterprise-last-nights-talk-shows\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624367\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/624362"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624367"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=624367"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=624367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}