{"id":624310,"date":"2018-09-05T04:01:39","date_gmt":"2018-09-05T04:01:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/05\/what-were-tracking-on-05-september-2018\/"},"modified":"2018-09-05T04:01:39","modified_gmt":"2018-09-05T04:01:39","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-05-september-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/05\/what-were-tracking-on-05-september-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 05 September 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

** We\u2019re trying something new this morning: <\/strong>Longtime readers know that you can no longer tap or click the headline in our tl;dr above in the email edition and zip down to the story in question. This used to work in email (and still does in our web edition<\/a><\/u>) \u2014 then the nice people at Google and Apple phased out support for the only technical way to make that work in email.<\/p>\n

So, starting today, we\u2019re numbering our tl;dr stories in the body of the email.<\/strong> Today\u2019s number one story (managing public debt) is identified in tl;dr as \u201c1.\u201d and in the body of today\u2019s briefing as ** #1 <\/strong>in green. Similarly, the state privatization program kickoff story is ** #2<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Oh, and tl;dr?<\/strong> It stands for too long, didn\u2019t read.<\/p>\n

IMF thinks Egypt can withstand global macro stress:<\/strong> The impact of external macro forces including the Trump administration's still-brewing trade war, will not be as acute in nations with resilient economies including Egypt, said IMF Senior Resident Representative Reza Baqir on Tuesday. He implied that unlike other emerging markets, Egypt\u2019s economic growth is underpinned by the fundamentals and not an over reliance on debt, he added, according to Al Mal<\/a><\/u>. Baqir statements came during the opening day of the Euromoney conference, where discussion of Egypt\u2019s public debt featured heavily. We have more on the government\u2019s statements from the conference, which wraps up today, in Speed Round, below.<\/p>\n

Egypt and Uzbekistan will be discussing the creation of a joint horticultural and logistics hub in the Central Asian <\/strong>during a business forum taking place in Tashkent this morning, <\/strong>the Uzbek Foreign Trade Ministry said<\/a><\/u>. President Abdel Fattah El Sisi arrived in the former Soviet republic on Monday for a two-day visit that will include sit-downs with his Uzbek counterpart, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, as well as with a number of business leaders, an Ittihadiya statement said<\/a><\/u>. El Sisi is expected to ink cooperation agreements on tourism, education and pharma during the visit.<\/p>\n

Fear of emerging market contagion rising? <\/strong>South Africa is now officially back in recession. Indonesia\u2019s is currency heading the way of the TRY and ARS. Fitch is downgrading its growth outlook<\/a><\/u> on Turkey (warning of \u201csignificant and widespread downside risk). It\u2019s against that backdrop that both the FT<\/a><\/u> and Bloomberg (here<\/a><\/u> and here<\/a><\/u>) are declaring that the risk of an emerging market contagion are \u201ctoo big to ignore.\u201d The latest: MSCI\u2019s index of EM currencies \u201cdropped for a fifth time in six days [to its] lowest close in more than a year,\u201d dragged down by the ARS, TRY, ZAR, MXN and IDR. South Africa\u2019s economy had been contracting at a 2.6% annual pace during the 1Q2018, with its output falling at a 0.7% annualised rate in the second quarter, all contributing to its slide back into recession for the first time since 2009, according to the FT.<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the USD extended its run to a fourth day<\/strong> as US President Donald Trump threatened to step up the trade war with China with an announcement of tariffs on as much as USD 200 bn in additional Chinese products as soon as Thursday, Bloomberg reports<\/a><\/u>. \u201cThere\u2019s not much to make me think the USD should be going up, but there\u2019s plenty to make me nervous about other currencies,\u201d global strategist at Societe Generale Kit Juckes said. \u201cThe USD is very strong and lacking rate support, but other currencies are worse.\u201d<\/p>\n

The spotlight now turns on EM central banks, who \u201chave embarked on their first \u201csustained\u201d monetary tightening cycle since 2011,\u201d<\/strong> William Jackson, senior emerging market economist at Capital Economics, tells the FT<\/a><\/u>. Emerging markets, he added, \u201care now hitting some capacity constraints and seeing rising domestic inflation pressures. After a period of very low interest rates, central banks are responding by tightening conditions, similar to what is happening in the US and UK.\u201d The Central Bank of Egypt meets on Friday, 27 September to review interest rates. <\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a> ** #4 Food for thought #1- Welcome to Egypt\u2019s new Catch 22: <\/strong>Fund managers \u2014 carry trade types in particular \u2014 are pulling out of emerging markets, spooked by the risks about which we drone on every morning in this space. This suggests that the central bank is going to (at a minimum) leave interest rates on hold to keep hot money from fleeing Egypt \u2014 raising the cost of borrowing for the state. (And also making borrowing that much less attractive to the private sector.) Toss in the risk of a strengthening USD and depreciating local currency (as Turkey, South Africa and other major EM are seeing) and you start to get a sense of why Finance Minister Mohamed Maait is making management of the public debt his top fiscal priority, as we report in Speed Round, below.<\/p>\n

Food for thought #2- Is the fall IPO window narrowing? <\/strong>Emerging consensus among members of the community with whom we\u2019ve spoken in recent days is that issuers with equity offerings set to close in September and early October can probably expect to execute. But the choppiness we\u2019re seeing in emerging markets leaves the outlook cloudy for anyone looking to close an IPO or public market stake sale after Halloween. Keep this in mind as you read our coverage this morning in Speed Round, below, of which state companies are looking to top equity markets this fall and winter.<\/p>\n

That didn\u2019t take long:<\/strong> Amazon has caught up with Apple and became the second company to hit a market cap of USD 1 tn, according to Bloomberg<\/a><\/u>. The story is front page news across the western press, from the Wall Street Journal<\/a><\/u> to the New York Times<\/a><\/u>. Refreshingly, the NYT is bucking the trend, writing that it is too early to declare that Amazon is killing physical retail. <\/strong>Read Hard Lessons (Thanks, Amazon) Breathe New Life Into Retail Stores<\/a><\/u>.<\/p>\n

Welcome to Crazytown:<\/strong> Watergate reporter and Washington Post associate editor Bob Woodward\u2019s latest book is out next week, but the New York Times has already obtained a copy. Titled Fear, it\u2019s apparently a bombshell for The Donald, claiming that his defense secretary likened his understanding of issues to that of a fifth or sixth grader, that he\u2019s called his attorney general \u201cmentally retarded\u201d and a \u201ctraitor,\u201d and that staff have hidden papers from him to ensure he can\u2019t make rash decisions, among other anecdotes. The Times writes that the \u201chighly anticipated book \u2026 depicts the Trump White House as a byzantine, treacherous, often out-of-control operation \u2014 \u2018crazytown,\u2019 in the words of the chief of staff, John F. Kelly \u2014 hostage to the whims of an impulsive, ill-informed and undisciplined president.\u201d Read the Times preview here<\/a><\/u> or pre-order the book on Amazon<\/a><\/u>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

** We\u2019re trying something new this morning: Longtime readers know that you can no longer tap or click the headline in our tl;dr above in the email edition and zip down to the story in question. This used to work in email (and still does in our web edition) \u2014 then the nice people at […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-624310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"dd499f9b-740b-4150-ad2c-672a3c8e8f27","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[624308],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 05 September 2018 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/05\/what-were-tracking-on-05-september-2018\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 05 September 2018\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"** We\u2019re trying something new this morning: Longtime readers know that you can no longer tap or click the headline in our tl;dr above in the email edition and zip down to the story in question. 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They should also check the folder to which bad email is directed and (on Gmail) the non-inbox tabs to which unsolicited email goes. We\u2019re working to resolve some\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":625011,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/09\/25\/mo-salah-takes-home-fifas-goal-of-the-year-award-for-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":624310,"position":1},"title":"Mo Salah takes home FIFA\u2019s \u201cgoal of the year\u201d award for 2018","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"25 September 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Mo Salah gets goal of the year, loses best player to Modric: Mohamed Salah claimed the FIFA Puskas Award for \u201cgoal of the year\u201d at yesterday\u2019s Best FIFA Football Awards ceremony. Salah took home the gong for his far-post finesse shot against Everton last season (watch, runtime: 0:52). He was\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/9\/186.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":604764,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/12\/what-were-tracking-on-12-december-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":624310,"position":2},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 12 December 2018","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 December 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"** If you\u2019re reading this and a friend or colleague isn\u2019t, tell them to head to www.enterprise.press to read this morning\u2019s edition. They should also check the folder to which bad email is directed and (on Gmail) the non-inbox tabs to which unsolicited email goes. We\u2019re working to resolve some\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":571735,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/05\/21\/571735\/","url_meta":{"origin":624310,"position":3},"title":"CORRECTION- We incorrectly wrote in\u2026","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 May 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"CORRECTION- We incorrectly wrote in yesterday\u2019s tl;dr that the Health Ministry had reported 710 new cases of covid-19. There were actually 720 new infections confirmed on Tuesday; the figure was correct in the body of the story. We have since amended the error on our website.","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":552988,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/13\/this-evening-egypt-backs-un-resolution-calling-on-moscow-to-undo-ukraine-annexations-us-core-inflation-continues-to-accelerate-despite-fed-tightening\/","url_meta":{"origin":624310,"position":4},"title":"THIS EVENING: Egypt backs UN resolution calling on Moscow to undo Ukraine annexations + US core inflation continues to accelerate despite Fed tightening","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Happy THURSDAY, wonderful people. The slide into the weekend is much calmer than we had anticipated, as the news cycle takes a bit of a breather this afternoon.CORRECTION- In this morning\u2019s edition of EnterpriseAM, we incorrectly wrote in the TL;DR that Trella raised a USD 20 mn round. It was\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":561177,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/29\/what-were-tracking-on-29-march-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":624310,"position":5},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 29 March 2021","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"29 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, nice people. Mondays are typically the slowest news days of the week, but not so today \u2014 we have plenty going on.IT\u2019S A BIG DAY FOR: Our covid-19 vaccine rollout. Yesterday, we reported that it seems unlikely we\u2019re going to be getting anytime soon the 5 mn of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624310","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624310"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624310\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/624308"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624310"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=624310"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=624310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}