{"id":623268,"date":"2018-10-25T04:15:24","date_gmt":"2018-10-25T04:15:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/25\/capital-economics-sees-egypt-growth-accelerating-and-likes-the-idea-of-letting-the-egp-slide-a-bit-through-2020\/"},"modified":"2018-10-25T04:15:24","modified_gmt":"2018-10-25T04:15:24","slug":"capital-economics-sees-egypt-growth-accelerating-and-likes-the-idea-of-letting-the-egp-slide-a-bit-through-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/25\/capital-economics-sees-egypt-growth-accelerating-and-likes-the-idea-of-letting-the-egp-slide-a-bit-through-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Capital Economics sees Egypt growth accelerating \u2014 and likes the idea of letting the EGP slide a bit through 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> ** #2 Capital Economics sees Egypt growth accelerating \u2014 and likes the idea of letting the EGP slide a bit through 2020.<\/strong> Capital Economics sees Egypt\u2019s GDP growth accelerating to 5.5-6% between 2018-2020, up from 5.0% last year, \u201cas inflation falls, interest rates are cut and the pace of austerity slows.\u201d Egypt has been the region\u2019s top performer this year and is seen maintaining its strong momentum well into 2019 and beyond, supported by the drive for reform and the resolve to consolidate fiscal policy and reduce debt levels, according to their latest report.<\/p>\n

A tiny bit of deval (like 10% through 2020) would be a good thing: <\/strong>Supporting this vision are expectations that pressure from the IMF will likely \u201cforce the authorities to loosen their grip on the currency,\u201d allowing the EGP to weaken slightly to around EGP 20 per greenback by 2020, which would help \u201cmaintain Egypt\u2019s external competitiveness and sustain robust export growth.\u201d That, coupled with tourism recovery and new income from natural gas resources, should in turn help plug the current account deficit and adjust the country\u2019s balance of payments.<\/p>\n

The outlook for inflation also seems promising<\/strong>, with levels seen cooling to around 10% by 2019 and 7.5% by 2020, down from a current 14%. \u201cThe central bank is likely to resume its easing cycle and we think that interest rates will be cut by 550bp by end-2019...looser monetary policy will boost credit growth and investment.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

** #2 Capital Economics sees Egypt growth accelerating \u2014 and likes the idea of letting the EGP slide a bit through 2020. Capital Economics sees Egypt\u2019s GDP growth accelerating to 5.5-6% between 2018-2020, up from 5.0% last year, \u201cas inflation falls, interest rates are cut and the pace of austerity slows.\u201d Egypt has been the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[1433,838,104,1419,72,348,182,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-623268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-capital-economics","tag-devaluation","tag-economy","tag-egp","tag-enterpriseam","tag-gdp","tag-inflation","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"39e1956a-1286-4f24-877b-958c5e7eb0a1","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"fc051e39-f732-46b9-928d-e358193de6e2","story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[623260],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nCapital Economics sees Egypt growth accelerating \u2014 and likes the idea of letting the EGP slide a bit through 2020 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/25\/capital-economics-sees-egypt-growth-accelerating-and-likes-the-idea-of-letting-the-egp-slide-a-bit-through-2020\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Capital Economics sees Egypt growth accelerating \u2014 and likes the idea of letting the EGP slide a bit through 2020\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"** #2 Capital Economics sees Egypt growth accelerating \u2014 and likes the idea of letting the EGP slide a bit through 2020. 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The economic forecasting company says in its latest MENA outlook that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "THE MACRO PICTURE"","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/3\/1307.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570311,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/26\/covid-19-could-cause-egypts-gdp-to-shrink-1-3-this-year-capital-economics\/","url_meta":{"origin":623268,"position":3},"title":"Covid-19 could cause Egypt\u2019s GDP to shrink 1.3% this year -Capital Economics","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Covid-19 could cause Egypt\u2019s GDP to shrink 1.3% this year, before bouncing back in 2021, says Capital Economics: Egypt could see its economy contract 1.3% in 2020 on the back of the covid-19 outbreak, said Jason Tuvey, senior EM economist at Capital Economics. The London-based research consultancy firm initially expected\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573916,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/08\/24\/pressure-on-the-egp-is-easing-now-that-the-worst-of-the-balance-of-payments-crunch-is-over-capital-economics\/","url_meta":{"origin":623268,"position":4},"title":"Pressure on the EGP is easing now that the worst of the balance of payments crunch is over \u2013Capital Economics","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 August 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Pressure on the EGP is easing now that the worst of the balance of payments crunch is over, Capital Economics says in a new report. Winds at Egypt\u2019s back include the lifting of the worst covid-related restrictions, signs of a recovery in the tourism sector (even with Egypt still not\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":599783,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/10\/world-bank-sees-egypt-growth-accelerating-0-2-faster-this-year\/","url_meta":{"origin":623268,"position":5},"title":"World Bank sees Egypt growth accelerating 0.2% faster this year","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"10 January 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"World Bank sees Egypt growth accelerating 0.2% faster this year: The World Bank sees Egypt\u2019s economic growth accelerating 0.2% faster in 2019 than originally anticipated in 2018, according to its Global Economic Prospects 2019: Darkening Skies report, which it released yesterday. 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