{"id":622587,"date":"2018-10-08T04:03:43","date_gmt":"2018-10-08T04:03:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/"},"modified":"2018-10-08T04:03:43","modified_gmt":"2018-10-08T04:03:43","slug":"growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/","title":{"rendered":"Growth momentum in advanced economies conceals \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Growth momentum in most advanced economies has been strong enough to conceal the \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs<\/strong> and propel global growth figures, Chris Giles <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bf8f2c00-c8b3-11e8-ba8f-ee390057b8c9\">writes for the Financial Times<\/a>. Most countries seem to have relatively healthy growth indicators, but a closer look tells us that EMs are lagging behind amid a drop in investor confidence. \u201cWith the US economy notable strong, pushing unemployment to its lowest level in almost 50 years, and other advanced economies still growing faster than long-term sustainable rates, the short-term concern in the global economy is centered in emerging economies. These have hit a rough patch \u2026 suffering from outflows of money, depreciations of their currency and therefore an increase in the burden of foreign currency denominated debt.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>What oil production cuts? <\/strong>Russia and Saudi Arabia have added around 1 mn bbl\/d of crude since June, with pledges for greater room for further production. Saudi production jumped around 700k bbl\/d to 10.7 mn bbl\/day as of October, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al Falih said at Russian Energy Week. \u201cI anticipate that November will be slightly higher,\u201d he said, potentially breaking the production record set in November 2016, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-10-03\/saudis-and-russia-open-the-oil-taps-while-the-market-just-shrugs?srnd=premium-middle-east\">according to Bloomberg<\/a>. Russia, which already broke its post-Soviet production record last month, could add another 300k bbl\/d of supply within a \u201cfew months,\u201d according to Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>So why is oil still trading north of USD 80? <\/strong>Despite the production increases, brent crude was up to USD 85.20\/bbl on Thursday. If you ask Russian President Vladimir Putin, the fault lies squarely with Donald Trump, whose push to end the Iran nuclear agreement and sanctions against Venezuela is behind the price rise: \u201cDonald, if you want to find the culprit for the rise in prices, you need to look in the mirror,\u201d said Putin. The ramp-up in production in Saudi, Bloomberg suggests, is enough to mitigate lower supply from Iran and Venezuela, but not to completely replace it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also worth a moment of your time this morning:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Saudi Aramco\u2019s IPO is back on <\/strong>and will take place by 2021, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-10-05\/saudi-crown-prince-vows-aramco-ipo-by-2021-keeps-to-2-trillion\">told Bloomberg<\/a> in an interview.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Schroders and Lloyds said yesterday they are mulling a wealth management \u201calliance\u201d <\/strong>that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-lloyds-schroders-deals\/schroders-plc-and-lloyds-banking-group-in-talks-over-wealth-management-alliance-idUSKCN1MH0Z8?il=0\">Reuters says<\/a> would be \u201camong the biggest wealth management tie- ups in recent years and would come amid widespread consolidation in the broader industry sector.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Did China hack Apple and Amazon with a chip the size of a grain of rice? <\/strong>That\u2019s the contention in an epically reported piece by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2018-10-04\/the-big-hack-how-china-used-a-tiny-chip-to-infiltrate-america-s-top-companies\">Bloomberg Businessweek<\/a> that\u2019s being <a href=\"https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/tech-policy\/2018\/10\/bloomberg-stands-by-chinese-chip-story-as-apple-amazon-ratchet-up-denials\/\">vehemently denied<\/a> by both companies. The US Department of Homeland Security is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-10-07\/dhs-backs-u-s-tech-companies-denying-china-hacked-their-systems\">looking into<\/a> the allegations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A dissident Saudi journalist disappeared on a visit to his country\u2019s consulate <\/strong>in Istanbul. Turkey claims Jamal Kashoggi, a longtime regime figure now writing from self-imposed exile, was executed inside the consulate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/10\/07\/world\/middleeast\/turkey-jamal-khashoggi-saudi-arabia.html\">by a Saudi hit squad<\/a>. KSA denies the charges.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The head of Interpol disappeared on a visit to China.<\/strong> Turns out Meng Hongwei, the international police organziation\u2019s president, is in the clink and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-france-interpol-missing-president\/interpol-says-chinas-meng-resigns-as-president-of-organization-idUSKCN1MH0XN\">under investigation<\/a> on corruption charges. He has since resigned his post.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Nobel Prize in the economic sciences <\/strong>will be announced today. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nobelprize.org\">2018 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel<\/a> will be made public in a live-streamed ceremony late this morning. The prize caps an award season that saw Iraqi human rights activist Nadia Murad and Congolese surgeon Denis Mukwege jointly win <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-45759221\">this year\u2019s peace prize<\/a> on Friday for their campaigns to end [redacted] violence in war.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"content-anchor\" id=\"tldr-story-08\"><\/a> <strong>PSA #1- <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/Fitness\/comments\/9kk9fs\/for_those_of_you_40_what_objectives_do_you_shoot\/\"><strong>The fitness goals of the olds<\/strong><\/a><strong>. <\/strong>Reddit, hardly known for its large over-40 crowd, featured an epic thread over the long weekend on how the olds among us are aiming to stay fit into their dotage. An inspiring must-read for anyone looking to get serious about health and fitness with the approach (or passage) of that 40th birthday.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PSA #2: <\/strong>Google will show off new hardware tomorrow at its fall launch event. We\u2019re iSheep, but we like the Pixel lineup very much. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theverge.com\/2018\/10\/5\/17936388\/google-event-2018-preview-pixel-3\">The Verge<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tomsguide.com\/us\/google-pixel-3-event-preview,news-28239.html\">Tom\u2019s Guide<\/a> have the rundown on what you can expect. Also for non-Apple folk: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theverge.com\/tech\/2018\/10\/3\/17929946\/microsoft-surface-pro-6-apple-ipad-pro-tablet-spec-comparison-storage-battery\">The new Surface Pro 6 tablet<\/a> looks particularly nice.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PSA #3- <\/strong>We\u2019re heading into fall in the nation\u2019s capital. Expect pleasant daytime highs of 29-31\u00b0C this week and next, with overnight lows of 19-22\u00b0C.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Growth momentum in most advanced economies has been strong enough to conceal the \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs and propel global growth figures, Chris Giles writes for the Financial Times. Most countries seem to have relatively healthy growth indicators, but a closer look tells us that EMs are lagging behind amid a drop in investor confidence. \u201cWith [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":622588,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[72,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-622587","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-enterpriseam","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a122231c-2d7e-444b-8032-b68ccad11e33","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"d1ced3b5-cd16-4dba-b4f9-edf1fa14bccd","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2018\/10\/2336.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[622584],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Growth momentum in advanced economies conceals \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Growth momentum in advanced economies conceals \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Growth momentum in most advanced economies has been strong enough to conceal the \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs and propel global growth figures, Chris Giles writes for the Financial Times. Most countries seem to have relatively healthy growth indicators, but a closer look tells us that EMs are lagging behind amid a drop in investor confidence. \u201cWith [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EnterpriseAM Egypt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-10-08T04:03:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/10\/2336.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"enterpriseam admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"enterpriseam admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#\/schema\/person\/ca597032db7e4db868359c123cec256d\"},\"headline\":\"Growth momentum in advanced economies conceals \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-10-08T04:03:43+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/\"},\"wordCount\":732,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/10\/2336.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"EnterpriseAM\",\"What We're Tracking Today\"],\"articleSection\":[\"What We're Tracking Today\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/10\/08\/growth-momentum-in-advanced-economies-conceals-fragility-of-ems\/\",\"name\":\"Growth momentum in advanced economies conceals \u201cfragility\u201d of EMs - 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Although EM exports heading to other developing countries did leap from\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/2\/57.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":579278,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/02\/01\/imf-trims-egypt-growth-forecast\/","url_meta":{"origin":622587,"position":1},"title":"IMF trims Egypt growth forecast","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"1 February 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF has cut its economic growth forecast for Egypt, saying it sees GDP growing 4.0% this year, a 0.4 percentage point trim from its previous forecast in October, according to its updated World Economic Outlook released yesterday (here and here, pdf). That\u2019s in line with forecasts from the Madbouly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/2\/3.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":565117,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/03\/21\/recovery-may-not-trickle-down-to-ems-imf\/","url_meta":{"origin":622587,"position":2},"title":"Recovery may not trickle down to EMs -IMF","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 March 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF may update its next World Economic Outlook to reflect signs of a stronger global economic recovery than the 5.5% GDP growth it forecast in January, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Geoffrey Okamoto said in a speech to the China Development Forum, according to Reuters. Okamoto appears to be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;SPEED ROUND: MACRO&quot;","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: MACRO","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-macro\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":544327,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/02\/27\/the-case-for-investing-in-em-economies-has-rarely-been-weaker-argues-the-ft\/","url_meta":{"origin":622587,"position":3},"title":"The case for investing in EM economies has \u201crarely been weaker,\u201d argues the FT","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 February 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"With EM economies facing slowing growth, soaring debt, and imminent US interest rate hikes, the case for investing in them has \u201crarely been weaker,\u201d argues Jonathan Wheatley in the Financial Times. Amid the ongoing covid-19 pandemic, many EM economies have accrued high levels of debt, which they relied on to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Macro picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Macro picture","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/explainers\/macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/2\/560.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":565515,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/04\/13\/future-em-growth-will-be-driven-by-tech-adoption-not-exports\/","url_meta":{"origin":622587,"position":4},"title":"Future EM growth will be driven by tech adoption, not exports","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"13 April 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Tech adoption will be the biggest driver of future EM growth in a deglobalizing world: As more economies move towards sourcing products locally \u2014 a trend that has accelerated with trade protectionism, followed by the interruption of global supply chains during by covid-19 \u2014 global growth is at risk of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;THE MACRO PICTURE&quot;","block_context":{"text":"THE MACRO PICTURE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/the-macro-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/4\/408.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":542966,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/01\/26\/egypt-bucks-the-trend-as-imf-downgrades-global-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":622587,"position":5},"title":"Egypt bucks the trend as IMF downgrades global growth","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 January 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF downgraded its projection for global growth in 2022 to 4.4% in its World Economic Outlook update, down 0.5 percentage points from its last outlook report in October. The lender sees growth slowing to 3.8% in 2023, noting that, although this forecast is 0.2 percentage points higher than its\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/1\/340.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622587","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=622587"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/622587\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/622584"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/622588"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=622587"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=622587"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=622587"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=622587"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=622587"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}