{"id":621549,"date":"2018-11-12T04:35:11","date_gmt":"2018-11-12T04:35:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/12\/egypts-central-bank-to-hold-key-rates-on-thursday\/"},"modified":"2018-11-12T04:35:11","modified_gmt":"2018-11-12T04:35:11","slug":"egypts-central-bank-to-hold-key-rates-on-thursday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/12\/egypts-central-bank-to-hold-key-rates-on-thursday\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt\u2019s central bank to hold key rates on Thursday"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> EXCLUSIVE- Enterprise poll of economists sees CBE leaving interest rates on hold: <\/strong>The central bank is expected to leave its key interest rates on hold when its monetary policy committee meets on Thursday, an Enterprise poll of economists and research houses found. Survey participants expect the CBE will leave its overnight deposit rate and overnight lending at 16.75% and 17.75%, respectively, at the 15 November meeting, 10 economists said.<\/p>\n

Look beyond inflation: It\u2019s all about stemming outflows of hot money. <\/strong>Say what you want about higher-than-expected inflation in October: The economists we surveyed see the central bank moving to ease pressure on the EGP by giving hot-money investors more incentive to stay in Egypt. All 10 analysts polled say stemming the tide of outflows in a turbulent period for emerging markets would drive policy this Thursday: EM turbulence and a strong USD will keep interest rates on hold, said Ahmed Shams El Din, head of research at EFG Hermes. Multiples Group\u2019s Omar El-Shenety takes it one step further, saying that protecting the EGP and the exchange rate is now among the CBE\u2019s top policy priorities.<\/p>\n

Just to keep it in perspective<\/strong>, foreign holdings in Egypt\u2019s treasuries fell to USD 13.1 bn by the end of September, from a high of USD 21.5 bn in March, said Pharos Holding head of research Radwa El Swaify. Egypt has basically lost USD 8.4 bn in outflows between April and September, she noted.<\/p>\n

Spike in inflation should not be cause for concern: <\/strong>Most of the analysts with whom we spoke underplayed the spike in annual headline inflation, which rose to 17.5% in October<\/a>, up from 16% the previous month on the back of hikes in vegetable prices and school fees, state statistics agency CAPMAS said over the weekend. Despite headline inflation being well above the CBE\u2019s announced target of 13% (+\/-3%) by 4Q2018, \u201cthe elevated headline inflation readings over the past few months, including October\u2019s, come against a largely benign underlying inflation position,\u201d EFG Hermes said in a research note on Sunday. \u201cWe don\u2019t see the rise in annual headline inflation as alarming, as it is driven by seasonal factors that will subside,\u201d said lead economist at Beltone Financial Alia Mamdouh.<\/p>\n

Annual core inflation rose to 8.86% in October<\/strong> from 8.55% in September, the CBE said on Sunday<\/a>.<\/p>\n

How much longer will we live with high interest rates?<\/strong> Beltone\u2019s Mamdouh sees corridor rates remaining on hold until 1H2019. Pharos\u2019 El Swaify expects the CBE will keep interest rates on hold until 3Q2019, to ensure that the emerging market turbulence has settled and that the impact of the subsidy cuts widely expected in July 2019 has passed. Capital Economics\u2019 Jason Tuvey wouldn\u2019t be drawn into the guessing game, declining to specify a timeframe, but pointing out that rates will have to come down in the longer term.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EXCLUSIVE- Enterprise poll of economists sees CBE leaving interest rates on hold: The central bank is expected to leave its key interest rates on hold when its monetary policy committee meets on Thursday, an Enterprise poll of economists and research houses found. Survey participants expect the CBE will leave its overnight deposit rate and overnight […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[271,72,182,349,724,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-621549","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a15c2e1a-a0ba-4774-adfd-bc946bc3f9e7","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[621540],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt\u2019s central bank to hold key rates on Thursday - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/12\/egypts-central-bank-to-hold-key-rates-on-thursday\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt\u2019s central bank to hold key rates on Thursday\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EXCLUSIVE- Enterprise poll of economists sees CBE leaving interest rates on hold: The central bank is expected to leave its key interest rates on hold when its monetary policy committee meets on Thursday, an Enterprise poll of economists and research houses found. 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Citing a recent drop in inflation, the economists and analysts\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":621735,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/11\/18\/central-bank-of-egypt-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":621549,"position":1},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt leaves interest rates unchanged","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"18 November 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The central bank of Egypt (CBE) kept key interest rates on hold on Thursday, citing higher-than-expected headline inflation rates in September and October. The bank\u2019s monetary policy committee left the overnight deposit and lending rates at 16.75% and 17.75%, respectively, and also left on hold its main operation and discount\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":642633,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/08\/20\/cbe-leaves-interest-rates-on-hold-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":621549,"position":2},"title":"CBE leaves interest rates on hold","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"20 August 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The central bank\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee left interest rates on Thursday. The overnight deposit rate was held steady at 18.75% while the overnight lending rate was kept the same at 19.75%. Annual urban headline inflation rate increased to 33% in July on account of numerous subsidy cuts and a slight\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":633426,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/07\/15\/cbe-to-hold-rates-steady-on-thursday-poll\/","url_meta":{"origin":621549,"position":3},"title":"CBE to hold rates steady on Thursday -Poll","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"15 July 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"All 13 of the analysts and economists we surveyed see the MPC holding rates steady","rel":"","context":"In "POLL"","block_context":{"text":"POLL","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/poll\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/7\/1086.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596723,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/07\/enterprise-poll-cbe-to-leave-key-interest-rates-on-hold-this-thursday\/","url_meta":{"origin":621549,"position":4},"title":"Enterprise poll: CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt will leave key interest rates on hold when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets this Thursday, according to all nine economists polled by Enterprise. Respondents cited the inflationary effects of last weekend\u2019s fuel subsidy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":598209,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/05\/19\/enterprise-poll-central-bank-of-egypt-to-maintain-rates-despite-drop-in-april-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":621549,"position":5},"title":"Enterprise poll: Central Bank of Egypt to maintain rates despite drop in April inflation","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 May 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SURVEY- CBE to leave key interest rates on hold this Thursday: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will likely leave key interest rates on hold when its Monetary Policy Committee meets this Thursday, according to all 12 economists polled by Enterprise. Respondents cited the likely impact on inflation of upcoming\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/1115.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621549","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=621549"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621549\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/621540"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=621549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=621549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=621549"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=621549"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=621549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}