{"id":616404,"date":"2024-03-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-05T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/03\/05\/results-of-efg-hermes-researchs-annual-one-on-one-live-poll-are-out\/"},"modified":"2024-03-05T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-03-05T00:00:00","slug":"results-of-efg-hermes-researchs-annual-one-on-one-live-poll-are-out","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/03\/05\/results-of-efg-hermes-researchs-annual-one-on-one-live-poll-are-out\/","title":{"rendered":"Results of EFG Hermes Research\u2019s annual One-on-One live poll are out"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>EFG Hermes Research's annual One-on-One Live Poll gauged the audience\u2019s outlook for<\/strong><strong>the year<\/strong> in what is the only live poll we know of in frontier emerging markets. Over 400 attendees were given ten questions and tasked with anonymously responding to each one within ten seconds. Below is a roundup of the key takeaways from the poll. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Egypt came in second as the best MENA market for expected USD performance in 2024<\/strong>, receiving 25% of the votes counted. Leading the pack was Saudi Arabia with 44%, while Dubai came in third with 12% and Abu Dhabi in fourth with 8%. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>FX issues have been keeping 28% of respondents awake at night<\/strong>, while 25% were lucky enough to report that they sleep well at night. For the rest of the group, 14% pointed to falling shares for their sleepless nights, 9% blamed rising labor costs, and 8% said supply chain issues.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Nearly half of respondents (44%) see the US Federal Reserve cutting rates by 50 bps<\/strong> \u2014 over two separate 25 bps cuts \u2014 during the year. While, 26% think it could cut interest rates by up to 75 bps in three separate moves. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Oil prices will average around USD 80 per barrel this year according to 47% of respondents<\/strong>, which is in line with what most pundits \u2014 including <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/uae\/en\/news\/story\/01ea743b-3b7a-4c4e-a0a1-7bc4cadb7f23\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Fitch Ratings<\/a> and the US Energy Information Administration (IEA) \u2014 have forecast. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>A 62% majority said they plan to invest more in their business this year than<\/strong><strong> they did last year<\/strong>, while 19% plan to keep expenditure at the same level and another 19% plan to cut back. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Respondents were evenly split on which sectors will perform best in the MENA region<\/strong><strong> this year<\/strong>, with 27% voting for real estate and an equal amount voting for healthcare. In third place was banks with 24% of the vote.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Other interesting takeaways: <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Most (44%) think the US\u2019 S&P 500 will outperform the MSCI EM index<\/strong> in USD terms, in a reversal of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/104cba3e-5ab0-4084-9a7e-4531c75a63bc\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">last year\u2019s forecast<\/a> ; <\/li>\n<li><strong>A majority (63%) of respondents see small and mid-cap stocks in Saudi Arabia outperforming large caps<\/strong> in line with recent trends; <\/li>\n<li><strong>Most (34%) majority of respondents would choose the \u201cmagnificent 7\u201d stocks<\/strong> \u2014 Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Apple, Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla \u2014 to buy and hold for one year, while 33% would go for Saudi stocks. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Just over half of respondents (51%) also see Dubai real estate prices ending the year higher<\/strong>, after they notched a record increase last year on the back of an <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/uae\/en\/news\/story\/c7859e91-1b27-4af2-9988-e59791032e2c\/Could%20we%20see%20Dubai%20real%20estate%20prices%20cool%20down%20in%202024\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">influx of foreign wealth<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/uae\/en\/news\/story\/93f934ee-0231-47f6-aba4-f34a0cf0f7d6\/more-growth-incoming\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">strong population growth<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/3\/346.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Tap or click here (pdf)<\/a><\/strong><strong> to see the full poll results.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\">\n<p class=\"tag-border-left\">OTHER NEWS FROM THE ONE ON ONE<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>EFG Hermes is cooking up a<\/strong><strong>USD 300 mn Gulf-focused education fund:<\/strong> EFG Hermes plans to launch a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.alborsaanews.com\/2024\/03\/04\/1772000\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">fund to invest USD 300 mn in education<\/a> in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain. The company is eyeing a number of potential projects \u2014 including setting up, acquiring, and managing schools as well as edtech initiatives \u2014 with a view to complete these projects in 5-7 years.<\/li>\n<li><strong>EFG Hermes will advise 8-9 IPOs in the Gulf this year:<\/strong>The firm is <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCArabia\/status\/1764557366786211892?s=20\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">currently<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCArabia\/status\/1764557366786211892?s=20\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">working on 5-6 IPOs<\/a> for companies looking to list in the UAE and Saudi Arabia in the first half of this year and expects to get three other IPOs off the ground in Oman and Saudi Arabia in the second half of the year.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ras El Hekma agreement is a turning point<\/strong>, said UN Special Envoy on Financing the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development Mahmoud Mohieldin, who <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AsharqbEGY\/status\/1764606799250854006?s=20\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">hailed<\/a> the transaction as the beginning of a pattern of Egypt attracting investments as opposed to borrowing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Most respondents are bullish about investments this year<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":616405,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7303],"tags":[102,104,84,72,349,125,91,388],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-616404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-capital-markets","tag-capital-markets","tag-economy","tag-efg-hermes","tag-enterpriseam","tag-interest-rates","tag-investment-watch","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-us-federal-reserve","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"c50a7461-d895-4682-ac59-cedbf547df24","order":"0","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/3\/318.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Results of EFG Hermes Research\u2019s annual One-on-One live poll are out","related_issue":[616399],"teaser":"Most respondents are bullish about investments this year","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/3\/.94ee2147-fe25-4dc5-99ed-06f24372c75c.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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