{"id":615288,"date":"2024-02-15T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-15T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/02\/15\/us-recession-worries-recede\/"},"modified":"2024-02-15T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-02-15T00:00:00","slug":"us-recession-worries-recede","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/02\/15\/us-recession-worries-recede\/","title":{"rendered":"US recession worries recede"},"content":{"rendered":"

Analysts, fund managers no longer expect a US recession this year: <\/strong>Only a quarter of analysts and forecasters think the US is, already in, or will fall into a recession in 2024, according to an National Association for Business Economics survey (pdf)<\/a>. The survey found that 22% of those surveyed see a recession happening in 2025, while 36% see this happening in 2026 or later.<\/p>\n

But inflation forecasts aren\u2019t as rosy: <\/strong>Two thirds believe it is likely or very likely that the US will end the year with inflation still above 2.5% \u2014 20% above the Fed\u2019s target for the year.<\/p>\n

Analysts are losing sleep over China\u2019s economy, Israel\u2019s war on Gaza, and the US<\/strong> elections: <\/strong>A commanding 97% of those surveyed thought there was a moderate to high probability that instability in the Middle East could adversely impact the economy by disrupting global supply chains and pushing Brent crude above USD 90 a barrel. Similarly concerning to analysts and forecasters was instability around the US elections, which 85% saw having a moderate to high probability of having a negative effect on the economy. China\u2019s stagnant economy also had 90% of respondents worrying about its effect on the US economy.<\/p>\n

ALSO WORTH NOTING- <\/strong>Bezos sells more Amazon shares:<\/strong> Multi b\u2019naire Jeff Bezos has offloaded USD 4 bn worth of his shares in online shopping giant Amazon since Friday as part of a plan to sell 50 mn shares throughout the year \u2014 currently worth USD 8.4 bn. (BBC<\/a>)<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/a> <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

EGX30 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

28,875<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+1.0% (YTD: +16.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD (CBE)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 30.83<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 30.96<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

USD at CIB<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Buy 30.85<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sell 30.95<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Interest rates CBE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

21.25% deposit<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

22.25% lending<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Tadawul<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12,439<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.3% (YTD: +3.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

ADX<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

9,395<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.5% (YTD: -1.9%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

DFM<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,223<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.1% (YTD: +4.0%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

S&P 500<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,974<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +4.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

FTSE 100<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,568<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.8% (YTD: -2.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Euro Stoxx 50<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,709<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+0.4% (YTD: +4.2%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Brent crude<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 81.60<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-1.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Natural gas <\/strong>(Nymex)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 1.61<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-4.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

Gold<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 2,004<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

<\/use><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n

BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

USD 51,737<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+4.6% (YTD: +22.1%)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

THE CLOSING BELL-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The EGX30 rose 1.0% at yesterday\u2019s close<\/strong> on turnover of EGP 5.3 bn (41.1% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is up 16.0% YTD.<\/p>\n

In the green: <\/strong>Qalaa Holdings (+15.0%), Juhayna (+5.7%), and Eipico (+5.2%).<\/p>\n

In the red: <\/strong>Talaat Moustafa Group (-2.5%), Alexandria Containers and Cargo Handling (-0.9%), and Edita (-0.3%)<\/p>\n

Asian markets are comfortably in the green in early trading this morning<\/strong> as they start clawing back yesterday\u2019s losses. Europe is looking to open in the green, while US stock futures were essentially flat at dispatch time this morning as Wall Street looks to build on yesterday\u2019s modest rebound. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Analysts, fund managers no longer expect a US recession this year: Only a quarter of analysts and forecasters think the US is, already in, or will fall into a recession in 2024, according to an National Association for Business Economics survey (pdf). The survey found that 22% of those surveyed see a recession happening in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":615289,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7210],"tags":[318,72,119,670,122,117],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-615288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planet-finance","tag-amazon","tag-enterpriseam","tag-financial-markets","tag-jeff-bezos","tag-planet-finance","tag-us","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a2385abc-9504-4216-934d-c109d07c6431","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/2\/1349.JPG","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"US recession worries recede","related_issue":[615270],"teaser":"","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/2\/.f8413cd3-99f9-4c69-869b-d368a2f8acb2.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nUS recession worries recede - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/02\/15\/us-recession-worries-recede\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US recession worries recede\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Analysts, fund managers no longer expect a US recession this year: Only a quarter of analysts and forecasters think the US is, already in, or will fall into a recession in 2024, according to an National Association for Business Economics survey (pdf). 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FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/10\/777.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":578844,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/16\/eu-sanctions-to-redraw-global-diesel-markets-us-still-headed-for-recession-despite-slower-inflation-wsj-poll\/","url_meta":{"origin":615288,"position":1},"title":"EU sanctions to redraw global diesel markets + US still headed for recession despite slower inflation -WSJ poll","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 January 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"New European sanctions are about to hit Russian oil products \u2014 but expect major re-routing rather than major re-pricing on diesel: After banning shipments on seaborne Russian crude in December, the EU a will ratchet up the pressure on Moscow from 5 February with a ban on refined Russian fuel\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/254.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":579051,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/01\/23\/everyones-an-optimist-all-of-a-sudden\/","url_meta":{"origin":615288,"position":2},"title":"Everyone\u2019s an optimist all of a sudden","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"23 January 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Planet Finance is feeling upbeat and we hardly know how to react. The financial press is continuing to ride a wave of optimism out of the tail-end of the World Economic Forum in Davos. As we reported in yesterday\u2019s EnterprisePM, market-watchers and economists no longer seem so sure there will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/1\/393.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":587093,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/05\/22\/investors-are-betting-on-em-assets-amid-us-recession-fears\/","url_meta":{"origin":615288,"position":3},"title":"Investors are betting on EM assets amid US recession fears","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 May 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"49% of investors expect EM assets to outperform developed markets in the event of US recession","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/5\/1178.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547536,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/26\/the-imf-says-the-us-wll-narrowly-avoid-recession-us-stocks-had-a-good-week-for-once\/","url_meta":{"origin":615288,"position":4},"title":"The IMF says the US wll \u201cnarrowly avoid\u201d recession + US stocks had a good week for once","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Not predicting a recession in the US this year or next: The IMF, which said in a statement Friday that it expects the US to \u201cnarrowly avoid\u201d going into recession before 2023, as curbs to inflation help protect real income and sustain growth over the medium term. Economists and analysts\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":550449,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/10\/27\/coming-recession-could-be-short-and-shallow-say-economists\/","url_meta":{"origin":615288,"position":5},"title":"Coming recession could be short and shallow, say economists","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"27 October 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The global economy could be heading into a recession \u2014 but it might not be so bad: Economists polled by Reuters see the global economy growing at just a 2.3% clip next year as a recession becomes more certain amid spiraling inflation and volatility in global markets. Only six out\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "PLANET FINANCE"","block_context":{"text":"PLANET FINANCE","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/planet-finance\/\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/615288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=615288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/615288\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/615270"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/615289"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=615288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=615288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=615288"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=615288"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=615288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}