{"id":613338,"date":"2024-01-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-01-14T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/01\/14\/inflation-eases-for-a-third-consecutive-month-to-seven-month-low\/"},"modified":"2024-01-14T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-01-14T00:00:00","slug":"inflation-eases-for-a-third-consecutive-month-to-seven-month-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/01\/14\/inflation-eases-for-a-third-consecutive-month-to-seven-month-low\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation eases for a third consecutive month to seven-month low"},"content":{"rendered":"

Inflation cooled for the third consecutive month in December, <\/strong>reaching its lowestlevel in seven months as increases in food prices continued to decelerate. Figures published last week by state statistics agency Capmas showed that annual inflation in urban areas slowed 0.9 percentage points to 33.7% in December from 34.6% in November<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Monthly inflation, on the other hand, inched up<\/strong> to 1.4% in December from 1.3% a month earlier.<\/p>\n

Core inflation dips:<\/strong> Annual core inflation \u2014 which excludes volatile items such as food and fuel \u2014 fell to 34.2% in December from 35.9% the month prior, according to central<\/a>bank<\/a>figures<\/a>. Meanwhile, monthly core inflation rose to 1.3% from 1% in November.<\/p>\n

A decline in food price growth drove the trend once again: <\/strong>Food and beverage price growth \u2014 the largest component of the basket of goods and services \u2014 slowed to 60.5% y-o-y in December from 64.5% in November.<\/p>\n

SOUND SMART:<\/strong>A favorable base effect is also at work because the rapid rise in inflation at the end of 2022 and first half of 2023 will help temper annual figures over the coming months (all else being equal). The key question: Whether this outweighs the inflationary impact if the EGP loses further ground against the greenback should we move to a floating FX regime now that President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi has secured a third term in office.<\/p>\n

Just shy of analyst predictions:<\/strong> The numbers were slightly higher than the median 33.4%prediction put forward by analysts polled by Reuters<\/a>. Inflation has been cooling from a historic high of 38% in September<\/a>, although analysts have cautioned that inflation may pick up again in the wake of recent government price hikes<\/a> and a widely anticipated currency devaluation.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve got ambitious inflation targets lined up for FY 2024-2025: <\/strong>The government is hoping<\/a>to see<\/a> annual headline inflation fall to an average of 15% in the upcoming fiscal year, a significant drop from the 38% estimated for the current year. The central bank\u2019s average inflation target<\/a> is 7% (\u00b12%) by 4Q 2024.<\/p>\n

The international press had the story:<\/strong>Bloomberg<\/a> | Reuters<\/a> | The National<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inflation slowed to 33.7% in December driven by falling core inflation<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":613339,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[330,271,104,72,564,182],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-613338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-capmas","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-food","tag-inflation","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"815af663-93e6-46f2-916b-91cb17e65ab1","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2024\/1\/742.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Egypt\u2019s annual headline inflation eased for a third consecutive month to seven-month low","related_issue":[613325],"teaser":"Inflation slowed to 33.7% in December driven by falling core inflation","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2024\/1\/.43e1a5de-f027-472d-b9e6-da9096bf0716.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nInflation eases for a third consecutive month to seven-month low - 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Urban headline inflation dropped for the second consecutive month to 4.3% from 5.4% in December 2020, and closing in on a 3.7% record low reading last September, figures from state statistics agency Capmas (pdf) and the central\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY"","block_context":{"text":"SPEED ROUND: ECONOMY","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2021\/2\/429.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570695,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/04\/12\/egypts-inflation-dips-slightly-in-march-to-5-1\/","url_meta":{"origin":613338,"position":2},"title":"Egypt\u2019s inflation dips slightly in March to 5.1%","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 April 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation dips slightly in March to 5.1%: Annual urban inflation cooled to 5.1% in March from 5.3% in February, according to Capmas data out on Thursday. Price growth increased 0.6% on a monthly basis compared to 0.8% during the same month last year, and zero in February. This is the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567047,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/01\/12\/egypt-inflation-nearly-doubles-to-7-1-in-december\/","url_meta":{"origin":613338,"position":3},"title":"Egypt inflation nearly doubles to 7.1% in December","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 January 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation nearly doubles m-o-m to 7.1% in December: Annual urban inflation jumped to 7.1% in December, up from 3.6% in November, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) calculated in its monthly CPI release (pdf) which is based on Capmas data (pdf). The increase is in line with expectations on the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/565.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":569013,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/02\/11\/annual-inflation-rises-marginally-to-7-2-in-january\/","url_meta":{"origin":613338,"position":4},"title":"Annual inflation rises marginally to 7.2% in January","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 February 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual urban inflation rose (ever so slightly) for the third consecutive month in January, inching up to 7.2% from 7.1% in December, according to Capmas figures released yesterday. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.7% in January, after falling 0.2% in December. Food prices \u2014 which comprise around a third\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/2\/143.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":591610,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/12\/11\/inflation-rises-for-the-first-time-in-six-months-in-november\/","url_meta":{"origin":613338,"position":5},"title":"Inflation rises for the first time in six months in November","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"11 December 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation rises for the first time in six months in November: Annual urban inflation rose slightly to 3.6% in November from 3.1% in October, ending a six-month spell of disinflation, according to official data published yesterday by Capmas (pdf). Prices fell 0.3% on a monthly basis compared to 1% growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/12\/1406.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613338","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=613338"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613338\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/613325"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/613339"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=613338"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=613338"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=613338"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=613338"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=613338"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}