{"id":612490,"date":"2023-12-24T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-24T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/24\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-for-third-consecutive-meeting\/"},"modified":"2023-12-24T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-12-24T00:00:00","slug":"cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-for-third-consecutive-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/24\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-for-third-consecutive-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"CBE holds interest rates steady for third consecutive meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) left interest rates unchanged <\/strong>at its last policy meeting of the year on Thursday. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cited a slowdown in global growth, easing inflation at home, and a decline in energy prices, it said in a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/1501.pdf\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">statement (pdf)<\/a>. This comes as pundits <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/52af37f1-7aa4-4f93-a3d6-cf65ea23456d\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">anticipate a float or devaluation<\/a> now that President Abdel Fattah El Sisi has secured his third term in office.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>As they currently stand:<\/strong> The overnight deposit rate stands at 19.25%, the overnight lending rate at 20.25%, and the main operation and disc. rates at 19.75%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Further slowdown in growth ahead: <\/strong>The CBE sees growth further decelerating in the fiscal year 2023-2024 before gradually picking up due to the \u201cnegative spillovers emanating from geopolitical tensions in the region, especially on the services sector.\u201d Growth slowed to 2.9% in 2Q 2023 from 3.9% in the previous quarter, while annual growth decelerated to 3.8% in FY 2022-2023 from 6.7% the year prior, the statement reads.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>And inflation has eased:<\/strong> Annual headline inflation eased for the second consecutive month in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/a23e2e09-f05f-4f4d-b2cd-867786df738c\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">November to 34.6%<\/a> \u2014 down from <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/c463d2d9-390f-4e0c-b240-5dbf10bf591a\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">35.8% in October<\/a> \u2014 hitting its lowest level in six months on the back of slowing food price increases and a favorable base effect. Inflation is expected to further decline to 34.4% in December, securities banking and macro analyst Heba Monir told us last week.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The CBE\u2019s move was expected:<\/strong> Seven of the nine analysts we <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/03f435f2-4022-4bfc-933a-8d47b02a1802\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">surveyed<\/a> last week predicted that the MPC would hold rates steady thanks to the slowdown in inflation and the US Federal Reserve\u2019s decision to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/e85e6761-fae3-4acd-9327-e62118539734\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">leave rates unchanged<\/a> earlier this month. The other two saw the bank hiking rates between 50-300 bps to contain inflation. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Third time in a row:<\/strong> The central bank held interest rates steady during its past two meetings in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/3ab746c7-b281-466c-9e94-67a3a6a729c4\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">November<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/dd8f3352-c9f5-427e-a7f8-6e36242c1043\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">September<\/a>. Rates have risen 1.1k bps since March 2022, with the bank last hiking rates in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/7294f380-2b22-4086-a174-42fc034b474b\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">August<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Keeping its powder dry:<\/strong> Analysts expect the central bank to go for a fourth devaluation since March 2022 sometime in the coming weeks \u2014 a move that is traditionally accompanied by a substantial rate hike. Flexibility in our FX regime is a key condition of our USD 3 bn IMF loan and will be key if we do want to unlock a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/df8e1343-11a4-48a5-980f-ca9f9eb5ebc8\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">larger package<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The story got ink in the foreign press:<\/strong><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-12-21\/egypt-holds-interest-rates-with-eye-on-extra-imf-help-currency\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a> | <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/rates-bonds\/egypts-central-bank-keeps-interest-rates-unchanged-statement-2023-12-21\/\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The central bank expects a further decline in growth during the current fiscal year followed by a gradual recovery<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":612491,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[271,104,72,349,724],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-612490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-central-bank-of-egypt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"7665fdfe-0f8e-4796-a855-aac59a3aa1ef","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/1521.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"Central Bank of Egypt holds interest rates steady ahead of widely expected devaluation of the EGP","related_issue":[612483],"teaser":"The central bank expects a further decline in growth during the current fiscal year followed by a gradual recovery","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2023\/12\/.9cb34704-7e73-49a5-9d14-ce549478f240.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CBE holds interest rates steady for third consecutive meeting - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/24\/cbe-holds-interest-rates-steady-for-third-consecutive-meeting\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" 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maintain a tight monetary stance until a significant and sustained decline in inflation is achieved\u201d","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/10\/828.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":620711,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/05\/26\/cbe-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged-in-line-with-expectations\/","url_meta":{"origin":612490,"position":1},"title":"CBE leaves interest rates unchanged in line with expectations","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 May 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The MPC cited a slowdown in growth rates and cooling inflation","rel":"","context":"In 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The overnight deposit rate was held steady at 18.75% while the overnight lending rate was kept the same at 19.75%. Annual urban headline inflation rate increased to 33% in July on account of numerous subsidy cuts and a slight\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Speed Round&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":609398,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/11\/05\/central-bank-of-egypt-holds-interest-rates-steady-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":612490,"position":3},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt holds interest rates steady","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"5 November 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"This was the last policy meeting before the presidential election in December, after which the CBE is expected to devalue the currency for a fourth time","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/9\/1388.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":633768,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/07\/21\/egypts-central-bank-keeps-interest-rates-steady-as-inflation-continues-to-cool\/","url_meta":{"origin":612490,"position":4},"title":"Egypt's central bank keeps interest rates steady as inflation continues to cool","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 July 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The MPC noted cooling inflationary pressures as part of its decision","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/7\/1526.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":606898,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/09\/24\/central-bank-of-egypt-holds-interest-rates-steady\/","url_meta":{"origin":612490,"position":5},"title":"Central Bank of Egypt holds interest rates steady","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 September 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The central bank will continue to assess the impact of previous rate hikes, it said following Thursday's meeting","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/9\/1388.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/612490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=612490"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/612490\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/612483"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/612491"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=612490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=612490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=612490"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=612490"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=612490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}