{"id":611592,"date":"2023-12-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-10T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/10\/were-in-talks-with-the-imf-for-a-bigger-package\/"},"modified":"2023-12-10T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-12-10T00:00:00","slug":"were-in-talks-with-the-imf-for-a-bigger-package","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/12\/10\/were-in-talks-with-the-imf-for-a-bigger-package\/","title":{"rendered":"We\u2019re in talks with the IMF for a bigger package"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"> <strong>A top-up from the IMF is looking more and more likely: <\/strong>The IMF has given its clearest indication yet that it could agree to increasing the size of Egypt\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/cd3e36a4-25a3-4129-9e86-f88ce45ca113\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">USD 3 bn loan program<\/a>, with a spokesperson last week confirming that the subject is being discussed and that additional funds will be \u201ccritical\u201d in light of the war in Gaza. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>What they said: <\/strong>\u201cIt is clear that additional financing will be critical to ensure the success in the implementation of the policy package for Egypt,\u201d IMF Communications Director Julie Kozack <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2023\/12\/07\/tr120723-transcript-of-imf-press-briefing\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">told reporters<\/a> at a press conference on Thursday, noting the potential impact of the conflict on Egypt\u2019s economy, particularly its tourism sector.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Amount TBD: <\/strong>The \u201cexact size of the financing is part of the ongoing discussions\u201d between the IMF and Egyptian authorities, Kozacksaid. Unconfirmed media reports in October had suggested that local authorities were negotiating for <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/cd3e36a4-25a3-4129-9e86-f88ce45ca113\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">an additional USD 2 bn<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>But the usually well-sourced nighttime talkshow host Lamees El Hadidi says we could get up to 4x<\/strong> what the fund had originally pledged. El Hadidi said unnamed sources told her authorities are in talks with the Fund over potentially raising the value of the loan to USD 10-12 bn (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=a-9WmKg7wZk\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">watch, runtime: 5:13<\/a>). (We have more in Lat Night\u2019s Talk Shows, below). <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The head of the IMF recently hinted at a top-up: <\/strong>IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said last month that the Fund is \u201cseriously considering\u201d <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/2e3b6af2-e413-454a-ad16-4b0f5e9184cb\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">increasing the program<\/a> in light of the war.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Also from the presser:<\/strong> The two sides have made \u201cimportant progress\u201d in the discussions over a flexible exchange rate, tighter fiscal and monetary policies, and lower inflation, Kozack said.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The IMF has postponed two reviews this year<\/strong> after authorities failed to meet several conditions of the facility, including a commitment to implement a fully flexible exchange rate.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Georgieva indicated <\/strong><strong>the float of the EGP<\/strong><strong> may not be in the cards for the <\/strong><strong>immediate future<\/strong>, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/404ad3aa-5e2b-4642-b79a-d7ea249afca2\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">telling Asharq Business<\/a> that the Fund is currently prioritizing getting inflation under control over exchange-rate reform.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>IT\u2019S NOT ONLY THE IMF WHO\u2019VE HAD A CHANGE OF HEART-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>The war in Gaza is likely to focus minds: <\/strong>The war means \u201cmore international partners will likely be willing to provide additional support,\u201d Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank chief economist Monica Malik told <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2023-12-07\/egypt-gets-more-leverage-amid-economic-crisis-devaluation-egp-usd-worries\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg<\/a>.\u201cNo one wants to see Egypt fail now, or economic conditions to worsen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Exhibit A: The EU. <\/strong>The EU has been rumored to be putting together a plan to mobilize as much as <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/enterprise.news\/egypt\/en\/news\/story\/9e025525-f961-4982-baca-d63fd8de7b85\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">EUR 10 bn of investment<\/a> alongside debt relief measures to help stabilize the economy and curb migration across the Mediterranean.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Nerves in the bond markets are easing following the war:<\/strong> The escalation of the conflict inGaza has the bond markets pricing in a lower likelihood of default on expectations that our international backers will ride to the rescue. Egypt\u2019s USD bonds are still trading well in distressed territory at around 15% but the spread with US treasuries has narrowed markedly during the conflict, falling 200 bps since the middle of October. <\/p>\n<p style=\"padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1.15;orphans:2;widows:2;text-align:left\"><strong>Bulge bracket sentiment on our debt is shifting:<\/strong>The hope of fresh assistance has had Goldman Sachs penciling in a lower likelihood of a debt crisis, and Morgan Stanley putting Egypt\u2019s 30-year notes on a list of \u201cnine bonds to buy.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An IMF spokesperson described the need for more financing as \u201ccritical\u201d due to the war in Gaza<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":611593,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[104,72,2234,272,182,1368],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-611592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-foreign-exchange","tag-imf","tag-inflation","tag-kristalina-georgieva","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"df8e1343-11a4-48a5-980f-ca9f9eb5ebc8","order":"0","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/572.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"IMF confirms talks with Egypt for additional financing","related_issue":[611587],"teaser":"An IMF spokesperson described the need for more financing as \u201ccritical\u201d due to the war in Gaza","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2023\/12\/.31bd6a8d-3d01-496a-9f21-6b8f701dd7fd.mp3"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - 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The government has been in talks with the IMF\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2022\/5\/185.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":615819,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/02\/25\/egypt-imf-make-excellent-progress-on-first-second-loan-reviews\/","url_meta":{"origin":611592,"position":1},"title":"Egypt, IMF make \u201cexcellent progress\u201d on first, second loan reviews","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"25 February 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The IMF and Egyptian authorities have agreed on the main elements of the program","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/12\/572.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":610311,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/11\/19\/imf-could-bump-up-our-usd-3-bn-loan-on-back-of-gaza-war\/","url_meta":{"origin":611592,"position":2},"title":"IMF could bump up our USD 3 bn loan on back of Gaza war","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"19 November 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Unconfirmed reports last month claimed that Egypt was looking to borrow another USD 2 bn from the Fund","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2023\/11\/949.JPG?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":613763,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/01\/21\/imf-officials-are-in-town-for-loan-discussions-plus-moodys-downgrades-our-credit-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":611592,"position":3},"title":"IMF officials are in town for loan discussions. PLUS: Moody\u2019s downgrades our credit outlook","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 January 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Currency weakness means that even IMF support may be \u201cinsufficient\u201d to stave off Egypt\u2019s growing debt burden, Moody\u2019s says","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/1\/1648.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":613330,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2024\/01\/14\/another-sign-were-edging-towards-a-larger-imf-package\/","url_meta":{"origin":611592,"position":4},"title":"Another sign were edging towards a larger IMF package","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"14 January 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"IMF head Kristalian Georgieva met with CBE boss Hassan Abdalla last week","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2024\/1\/747.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547846,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/07\/17\/imf-talks-were-productive-but-theres-no-new-help-just-yet\/","url_meta":{"origin":611592,"position":5},"title":"IMF talks were \u201cproductive,\u201d but there\u2019s no new help just yet","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 July 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cProductive discussions\u201d with the IMF \u2014 but no agreement yet: The IMF and Egyptian officials held \u201cproductive discussions\u201d on a fresh assistance programme during recent meetings in Cairo, the Fund and a government spokesperson said in separate statements this past Friday. 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