{"id":609562,"date":"2023-11-07T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-07T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/11\/07\/wall-street-heavyweights-warn-of-impacts-of-war-on-struggling-global-economy\/"},"modified":"2023-11-07T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-11-07T00:00:00","slug":"wall-street-heavyweights-warn-of-impacts-of-war-on-struggling-global-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/11\/07\/wall-street-heavyweights-warn-of-impacts-of-war-on-struggling-global-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Wall Street heavyweights warn of impacts of war on struggling global economy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, friends. <\/strong>For the second time in as many weeks, we bring you a case for cautious optimism about the impact of Israel\u2019s war on our tourism industry. This morning\u2019s issue is also heavy on transport news after day two of TransMEA.<\/p>\n

Before we dive in:<\/p>\n

You don\u2019t need to be a finance bro to read The Fund, a takedown of Bridgewater\u2019s Ray <\/strong>Dalio. <\/strong>Indeed, the New York Times<\/a> suggests you\u2019ll get plenty out of the book even if you\u2019re just hate-reading it because you\u2019ve had a bad boss or two in life. <\/p>\n

The quick take: <\/strong>Dalio \u201cpresided over a professional hellscape.\u201d<\/p>\n

Why the book matters: <\/strong>An icon in the hedge fund world, Dalio was famous for his reliance on Bridgewater\u2019s \u201c\u2018investment engine,\u2019 a collection of hundreds of \u2018signals,\u2019 or quantitative indicators that a market was due to rise or fall. Bridgewater rarely revealed any details of these signals, citing competitive pressure, but if they pointed to trouble ahead or even to uncertainty, Bridgewater said it would buy or sell assets accordingly \u2014 even if Mr. Dalio\u2019s own gut might have told him otherwise.\u201d<\/p>\n

The claim: <\/strong>That Bridgewater was a actually a one-man show \u2014 and the only \u201cinvestment engine\u201d was Dalio\u2019s brain, not the team he built. (Also: That he may not have been a super-nice guy in the office.)<\/p>\n

Why this matters: <\/strong>Dalio, the author of the much-talked-about (but rarely truly read?) Principles<\/a>, has been positioning himself as an oracle in recent years, opining on everything from how to deliver world peace to why capitalism really needs to change<\/a> even amid a succession fight<\/a> at Bridgewater, one of the best-known hedge funds in the industry. <\/p>\n

Decide for yourself: <\/strong>You can read an excerpt of The Fund<\/a> or pick up a copy on Kindle here<\/a>. <\/p>\n

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PSA- Want to fly to London for less than you\u2019d pay a car service to drive you to <\/strong>Gouna? <\/strong>EasyJet is now running flights three times per week from Sphinx International in Cairo West to Luton<\/a> for (wait for it) GBP 37 to GBP 93. Return fares on the Luton-Cairo West route are running in the GBP 110 range when we checked this morning. Those figures don\u2019t include the usual EasyJet extras, but they mean the baseline for a filght is a price none of us have paid in 20 years.<\/p>\n

HAPPENING TODAY- <\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a> It\u2019s day three of <\/strong>TransMEA 2023<\/a><\/strong> at the Egypt International Exhibition Center<\/strong>:<\/strong> The four-day transport, logistics and infrastructure conference brings together thousands of industry leaders, experts and policymakers to discuss developments in the sector. We\u2019ve got full coverage of yesterday\u2019s events in this morning\u2019s news well below.<\/p>\n

HAPPENING THIS WEEK- <\/strong><\/p>\n

Maait in Istanbul for Turkish-Arab forum:<\/strong> Finance Minister Mohamed Maait will be in Turkey<\/a> on Wednesday to attend the Turkish-Arab Economic Forum.<\/p>\n

Inflation figures are out soon:<\/strong> Capmas and the Central Bank of Egypt will publish inflation data for October on Thursday, 9 November.<\/p>\n

WATCH THIS SPACE-<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a>EnviroMin has an ambitious investment target for next year:<\/strong> The Environment Ministry is aiming to attract USD 600 mn in investment into six projects during 2024, Asharq Business<\/a> reported Environment Minister Yasmine Fouad as saying yesterday. No further details were provided.<\/p>\n

Remember: <\/strong>The ministry is trying to drum up investment for green projects and in September hosted a climate investment forum in partnership with the UN Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO).<\/p>\n

DATA POINT- <\/strong>We reuse a third of our water supplies according<\/a> to Water Minister Hani Sewilam, speaking during last week\u2019s Cairo Water Week. Every year, we use 80 bn cubic meters of water, even though we only get 60 bn cubic meters. We bridge the gap by recycling and reusing roughly a third of our water supply.<\/p>\n

<\/a> SIGN OF THE TIMES- Egypt wants to barter for Kenyan tea: <\/strong>The Madbouly government is resorting to bartering with Kenya to continue importing black tea in a bid to protect FX reserves, Kenyan Treasury Secretary Njuguna Ndung\u2019u said at a panel yesterday, according to Bloomberg<\/a>. \u201cWe\u2019ll get your tea and you also come and decide what you get from us,\u201d Egypt\u2019s ambassador to Kenya Wael Attiya is reported to have told the Kenyan government, according to the Kenyan official. This offer comes as the East African country is facing its own FX crunch, which pushed the KES<\/a> to record lows against the USD.<\/p>\n

FYI-<\/strong> Egypt is the second-biggest buyer of Kenyan tea in the world. Its imports were down 23% y-o-y during the first eight months of the year.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> HELP GAZA-<\/strong><\/p>\n

Want to support relief efforts in Gaza, but don\u2019t know how?<\/strong> We\u2019ve got you. More than 1 mn people in Gaza have been thrown from their homes and every human being there lacks access to food, water, and fuel amid the most intense bombardment any population has endured this century.<\/p>\n

The folks at Talabat are processing donations for a range of Gaza relief appeals <\/strong>by charities including the Egyptian Food Bank and Misr El Kheir. Pay in EGP using your credit card.<\/p>\n

Or check out <\/strong>our list of charities<\/a><\/strong> to which you can make direct donations<\/strong> via bank deposit and \/ or Fawry.<\/p>\n

THE BIG STORIES ABROAD-<\/strong><\/p>\n

The war in Gaza continues to dominate the front pages of the world\u2019s business press. <\/strong>We have the latest on the conflict in today\u2019s War Watch, below. <\/p>\n

Running a close second: The 2024 US election cycle. <\/strong>Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, is polling ahead of Joe Biden in five of six battleground states, according to the New York Times<\/a>. That\u2019s setting up what the WSJ<\/a> claims could be the \u201cclosest election in a generation\u201d \u2014 and has the Financial Times<\/a> suggestion on its front page that \u201cTrump leads in 2024 polls as fears over war and economy hurt Biden.\u201d Voters go to the polls in just under a year<\/strong>, casting their ballots on Tuesday, 5 November. <\/p>\n

You can now create your very own chatbot: <\/strong>ChatGPT parent company OpenAI is allowing its Plus and Enterprise users to create customized AI bots dubbed GPTs to take on specific tasks, the company said in a statement<\/a> yesterday. The company also unveiled<\/a> a more knowledgeable and cheaper AI model for developers called GPT-4 Turbo. (Reuters<\/a> | Bloomberg<\/a> | <\/strong>Financial Times<\/a> | New York Times<\/a> | Washington Post<\/a>) <\/p>\n

The fight is on: <\/strong>The announcements come a day after X owner Elon Musk launched his AI<\/a>chatbot Grok<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Google is on trial again:<\/strong> A jury in a San Francisco federal court yesterday kicked off a month-long trial against Google after Epic Games \u2014 the video game creator behind Fortnite \u2014 filed a lawsuit accusing the tech giant of violating federal antimonopoly law. Epic is accusing Google of monopolizing the Android app market by forcing developers to use its own payment system and charging excessive fees on Google Play. The lawsuit comes while Google is already engulfed in the biggest U.S. antitrust trial<\/a> in a quarter-century over its alleged monopolization of the online search and advertising markets. (Associated Press<\/a> | Washington Post<\/a> | New York Times<\/a>)<\/p>\n

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\n Get Enterprise<\/b> daily
\n <\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

Subscribe here<\/a>\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

MARKET WATCH-<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a> Geopolitical uncertainty stokes concern of a global recession among Wall Street <\/strong>players<\/strong>:<\/strong> \u201cRising fear\u201d stemming from Israel\u2019s war on Gaza and the war in Ukraine could push an already-struggling world economy \u201calmost to a whole new future,\u201d said Larry Fink, CEO of world\u2019s biggest asset manager BlackRock, in an interview<\/a> with the Sunday Times. The impact on energy markets, food prices, international trade, and diplomacy was \u201cquite scary and unpredictable,\u201d echoed Jamie Dimon, chair of the biggest US bank JP Morgan. <\/p>\n

Safe-haven assets love volatility: <\/strong>Gold prices are close to reaching record highs as investors look to more stable investments in the current climate, said Tom Palmer, head of the world\u2019s largest gold mining company Newmont Gold, in an interview<\/a> with the Financial Times. Gold broke the USD 2k \/ oz threshold last week, according to Bloomberg<\/a>, nearly reaching its all-time high of USD 2072 recorded during August 2020 on the back of economic shutdowns from covid.<\/p>\n

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-<\/strong><\/p>\n

Check out our full calendar on the web<\/a><\/strong> for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

*** It\u2019s Going Green day \u2014 your weekly briefing of all things green in Egypt:<\/strong> Enterprise\u2019s green economy vertical focuses each Tuesday on the business of renewable energy and sustainable practices in Egypt, everything from solar and wind energy through to water, waste management, sustainable building practices and how you can make your business greener, whatever the sector.<\/p>\n

In today\u2019s issue: <\/strong>How startup accelerators are supporting our green startup ecosystem<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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For the second time in as many weeks, we bring you a case for cautious optimism about the impact of Israel\u2019s war on our tourism industry. This morning\u2019s issue is also heavy on transport news after day two of TransMEA. 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Enjoy the lull while it lasts \u2014 we\u2019re looking at a hectic fall, folks, between the abyss that is a packed legislative season for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":642114,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/08\/07\/breakfast-the-cold-war-and-mbs-makes-a-new-friend-our-tbr-for-7-august-2017\/","url_meta":{"origin":609562,"position":1},"title":"Breakfast, the cold war and MbS makes a new friend \u2014 our TBR for 7 August 2017","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"7 August 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"New additions to our TBR pile this morning: Saudi Crown Prince and U.A.E. 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(Wall Street Journal)U.S. troops train in Eastern Europe to echoes of the Cold War: \u201cThe United\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2017\/8\/410.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":563188,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/22\/this-morning-gerd-diplomacy-cib-psa-world-tour-finals-starts-today-elections-in-ethiopia\/","url_meta":{"origin":609562,"position":2},"title":"THIS MORNING: GERD diplomacy; CIB PSA World Tour Finals starts today; elections in Ethiopia.","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, everyone, and welcome to a typical \u201c2021\u201d news day led by stories on covid vaccines as well as M&A in healthcare and non-bank financial services. Not \u201c2021 enough\u201d for you? We also have talk about Ethiopia and GERD, rail accidents, privatization and the global commodities boom. Does it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":610891,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/11\/28\/nuca-closes-another-egp-15-bn-securitized-bond-issuance\/","url_meta":{"origin":609562,"position":3},"title":"NUCA closes another EGP 15 bn securitized bond issuance","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 November 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Good afternoon friends, and happy hump day. We can see the weekend over the horizon at this midway point of this busy news week. 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