{"id":609108,"date":"2023-10-31T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-31T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/31\/eu-could-offer-egypt-wheat-fertilizer-shipments-in-return-for-stemming-migration-ft\/"},"modified":"2023-10-31T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-10-31T00:00:00","slug":"eu-could-offer-egypt-wheat-fertilizer-shipments-in-return-for-stemming-migration-ft","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/31\/eu-could-offer-egypt-wheat-fertilizer-shipments-in-return-for-stemming-migration-ft\/","title":{"rendered":"EU could offer Egypt wheat, fertilizer shipments in return for stemming migration -FT"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good morning, folks:<\/strong> We have another packed issue for you this morning, so let\u2019s jump into it.<\/p>\n

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<\/a> PSA #1-<\/strong> Registration for the expat car-for-FX initiative officially kicked off <\/strong>yesterday <\/strong>after a bill to relaunch the scheme was signed into law earlier in the day, the Immigration Ministry said in a statement<\/a>. Expats can sign up via the government app on Google Play<\/a> and the App Store<\/a>.<\/p>\n

PSA #2- We\u2019ve got a few more foggy mornings ahead: <\/strong>The nation-wide heavy fog that takes over the streets during the early hours of the morning will continue until Sunday, according to the Egyptian Meteorological Authority<\/a>. The EMA also forecasts light to moderate rain in various parts of the country in the coming days. <\/p>\n

<\/a>It\u2019s interest rate week: <\/strong>The Central Bank of Egypt is expected to leave interest rates unchanged when it meets on Thursday, according to a majority of the analysts we spoke to for our customary poll. Analysts participating in a Reuters poll<\/a> shared the same outlook, with the median forecast being that the CBE will leave rates on hold as the government tries to stabilize the market ahead of the December presidential election and the ongoing crisis in Gaza. This echoes Standard Chartered<\/a> \u2019s stance, which sees no interest rate changes or devaluations before the end of the year.<\/p>\n

<\/a> Before that:<\/strong> The Federal Reserve is kicking off its two-day policy meeting today. The market is pricing in a 99.5% chance<\/a> that the Fed keeps rates on hold as inflation tempers and the war in Gaza triggers fresh uncertainty for the global economy.<\/p>\n

^^ Check out the poll in the news well, below. <\/p>\n

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WATCH THIS SPACE-<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a> Our upcoming aid package from the EU could mean more <\/strong>grain <\/strong>shipments: <\/strong>Egypt could be getting more Ukrainian grain or fertilizers as part of a wider support package from the EU to help Egypt mitigate a potential uptick in migration to Europe resulting from the ongoing war on Gaza, the Financial Times<\/a> wrote. The move is part of a wider agreement<\/a> in the works that would also cover border management and economic support from the bloc.<\/p>\n

The big question: Does any of this relate to Israel\u2019s plan to displace Palestinians into <\/strong>Egypt? <\/strong>Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netayahu is pushing EU countries to support plans to forcibly displace Gaza\u2019s 2.3 mn citizens into Egypt. Egyptian officials have vehemently rejected<\/a> any such idea and, according to the FT, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz believes them. Still, the idea has received a positive response among some of the bloc\u2019s member states, who are talking about raising pressure on Cairo to accept refugees. <\/p>\n

^^ We have more in this morning\u2019s War Watch, below. <\/p>\n

THE BIG STORIES ABROAD- <\/strong><\/p>\n

The war in Gaza continues to dominate global attention this morning<\/strong>, with Reuters<\/a>, the Associated Press<\/a>, the Financial Times<\/a> and the Washington Post<\/a> all covering Israel\u2019s ongoing ground offensive in the besieged territory. The fog of war is in full effect, with few details being reported about the fighting between the IDF and Hamas, though unconfirmed reports earlier yesterday suggested that the IDF was attempting to surround Gaza City.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile:<\/strong> The New York Times<\/a> leads with a piece on the Biden administration\u2019s discursive shift which has seen officials tone down the hawkish rhetoric and emphasize the protection of civilians (but do nothing to prevent the Israelis from killing them). Turns out displays of indifference to war crimes<\/a> and attempts to discredit the Palestinian death count<\/a> don\u2019t play too well to, well, most of the world. <\/p>\n

ALSO- Apple unveils new line of MacBooks. <\/strong>Alongside the war on Gaza and its implications on global markets (which we dive into in the news well, below), the business press is focused on a new line of Apple products hitting the market soon. In a presentation yesterday, Apple unveiled new M3 chips, MacBook Pros, and a new iMac model that will hit the market between next week and late November. (CNBC<\/a> | Bloomberg<\/a> | Reuters<\/a> | Wall Street Journal<\/a>) <\/p>\n

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The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n

Subscribe here<\/a>\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

MARKET WATCH-<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/a> Escalation in Gaza could shake up the global economy: <\/strong>\u201cThe higher the risk of escalation [in Gaza], the higher the risk of contagion to the rest of the world in terms of economics and finance,\u201d Allianz Chief Economist Mohamed El Erian said, according to CNBC<\/a>. El Erian pointed to the already fragile global economy struggling with stagnating growth, high inflation, and the broader fragmentation of markets, adding that the war \u201camplifies all of the challenges.\u201d<\/p>\n

One sector is already feeling the heat of the war: <\/strong>European gas prices have risen some 40% since the war on Gaza broke out on 7 October, Euronews<\/a> reported. Gas prices in the region have been reacting drastically to war developments, with benchmark Dutch TTF rallying almost 7% in early trading, before cooling off, in response to the news of Israel halting all gas exports to Egypt<\/a>, pushing the country\u2019s gas imports to zero from a previous 800 mn cubic feet of gas per day. Last year Egypt and Israel inked a gas export agreement<\/a> with the EU, under which Israel agreed to send more gas to Egypt\u2019s LNG facilities before exporting it on tankers to European shores. The agreement came amid European efforts to phase out the continent\u2019s reliance on Russian gas. <\/p>\n

Oil prices are also at risk: <\/strong>The World Bank sees oil prices soaring as high as USD 140-157 a barrel if the war escalates to cause \u201clarge disruptions,\u201d which would shrink global oil supply by 6-8 mn bbl \/ day, it said in a press release<\/a>. The Bank sees prices jumping to USD 109-121 a barrel in the case of a \u201cmedium disruption\u201d and to USD 93-102 a barrel in the case of \u201csmall disruptions.\u201d Prices have so far risen 6% since the start of the conflict in Gaza. The World Bank\u2019s current forecast puts prices at USD 90 a barrel in 4Q 2023 and at USD 81 a barrel in 2024.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, in Egypt:<\/strong> US asset manager VanEck\u2019s Egypt Index rose 19% last week, marking its best weekly performance since June 2012, before falling 3% during trading yesterday, Reuters<\/a> wrote. The VanEck Egypt Exchange-Traded Fund saw the highest amount of inflows in seven months on Thursday, with net inflows of USD 1.2 mn. \u201cEgypt (stock market) is up more because of local investors looking for a hedge for high inflation, rather than a revisit by foreign investors, who remain concerned about devaluation,\u201d Tellimer\u2019s Hasnain Malik told Reuters. The EGX30 surged to a record highyesterday to settle at 23.4k points for the first time ever.<\/p>\n

Investor fears seem to have calmed down <\/strong>with the S&P 500 rising 1.2% yesterday, marking its biggest one-day gains since August after it slipped into correction<\/a> last week. The tech-dominated Nasdaq Composite also rose 1.2%, while the Euro Stoxx gained 0.4% following two weeks of losses.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The move is part of the wider counter-migration agreement the EU is trying to negotiate with Egypt in response to the Gaza conflict<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":609109,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[317,168,6825,72,7192,74,563],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-609108","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-commodities","tag-diplomacy","tag-egypt-eu-relations","tag-enterpriseam","tag-eu","tag-what-were-tracking-today","tag-wheat","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"4afbe190-4766-4430-bb88-f2cf280cc4c5","order":"0","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"4","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/10\/1496.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"EU could offer Egypt wheat, fertilizer shipments in return for stemming migration -FT","related_issue":[609106],"teaser":"The move is part of the wider counter-migration agreement the EU is trying to negotiate with Egypt in response to the Gaza conflict","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2023\/10\/.b5b9d532-19df-4be7-88af-08e154047d9e.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEU could offer Egypt wheat, fertilizer shipments in return for stemming migration -FT - 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It\u2019s shaping up to be an interesting news day as we race towards the end of a rather busy news week.THE BIG STORY TODAY A step closer to our first waste-to-hydrogen plant? The Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone) has signed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT"","block_context":{"text":"WHAT WE\u2019RE TRACKING TONIGHT","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-tonight\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":543918,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/02\/24\/this-morning-did-war-just-break-out-in-ukraine\/","url_meta":{"origin":609108,"position":1},"title":"THIS MORNING: Did war just break out in Ukraine?","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"24 February 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends, and welcome to THURSDAY. It\u2019s a nail-biter of a finish to the week on a morning that we\u2019d otherwise consider a \u201cslow news day\u201d \u2014 were it not for the incessant beat of war drums in the air. With the US now claiming that Russia will invade\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":543859,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/02\/22\/this-morning-did-war-just-break-out-in-ukraine-there-are-103-mn-of-us-now\/","url_meta":{"origin":609108,"position":2},"title":"THIS MORNING: Did war just break out in Ukraine? + there are 103 mn of us now","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 February 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"A raft of good business news here at home on this fine morning \u2014 2022.02.22 for those of you keeping track \u2014 is overshadowed by news that Russia has ordered troops into Ukraine. After months of saber rattling, Russian President Vladimir Putin last night ordered troops into Ukraine\u2019s two separatist\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":600205,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/01\/22\/what-were-tracking-this-week-and-beyond-10\/","url_meta":{"origin":609108,"position":3},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking this week and beyond","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"22 January 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"FinMin to select adviser on eurobond issuance on Thursday: The Finance Ministry will select this Thursday the investment banks that will advise on its upcoming USD 4-7 bn eurobond issuance, set to take place sometime in 1Q2019, local news reports. Egypt will be hosting the Banking Technology North Africa Week\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Up Next"","block_context":{"text":"Up Next","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/up-next\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547027,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/06\/new-eu-funding-for-food-security-headed-to-silos-agri-smes\/","url_meta":{"origin":609108,"position":4},"title":"New EU funding for food security headed to silos + agri-SMEs","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"EU funding to bolster wheat storage capacity, small farmers: The EUR 100 mn in food security funding announced by the EU in April will go towards upgrading Egypt\u2019s wheat storage capacity and supporting SMEs in the agricultural sector, EU Commissioner for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Oliv\u00e9r V\u00e1rhelyi said on social media\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Also on our Radar"","block_context":{"text":"Also on our Radar","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/also-on-our-radar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":547159,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2022\/06\/12\/this-morning-the-heatwaves-gonna-break-a-big-week-for-our-energy-ambitions\/","url_meta":{"origin":609108,"position":5},"title":"THIS MORNING: The heatwave\u2019s gonna break + a big week for our energy ambitions","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"12 June 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and get ready for what should be an interesting week ahead. We hope you spent a restful weekend by the beach (and the AC) as some international schools have begun their summer breaks.Summer should give us a slight break today after a sweltering weekend, as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/609108","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=609108"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/609108\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/609106"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/609109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=609108"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=609108"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=609108"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=609108"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=609108"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}