{"id":607256,"date":"2023-10-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/01\/ebrd-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook-for-2024\/"},"modified":"2023-10-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-10-01T00:00:00","slug":"ebrd-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook-for-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/01\/ebrd-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook-for-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"EBRD cuts Egypt growth outlook for 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its Egyp <\/strong> t <\/strong> growth forecast for 2024 by 0.7 percentage points <\/strong> to 4.5%, it said in its latest Regional Economic Prospects report (pdf)<\/a>. The bank cites \u201cstructural constraints in non-resource sectors, high inflation and limited fiscal space\u201d as contributing factors to the country\u2019s economic slowdown. The EBRD\u2019s 2023 growth forecast for Egypt saw a slight 0.1 percentage-point increase to 4.3% in its last forecast<\/a> in May. <\/p>\n

The bad outweighs the good: <\/strong>The bank points to thedeceleration in construction and manufacturing activities and the contraction in natural gas output \u2014 which reached a three-year low during the first half of the year \u2014 as big obstacles to GDP growth. \u201cForeign exchange reserves stabilized, partly thanks to an IMF-supported program that improved access to finance, but the currency remains under pressure and a significant differential remains between the official and black-market exchange rates,\u201d the report said. <\/p>\n

It\u2019s not just the EBRD: <\/strong>Over the summer, the IMF revised its 2024 growth forecast<\/a> for Egypt to 4.1%, down from its 5.0% forecast a few months prior, citing the lack of exchange-rate flexibility and the FX crunch. Morgan Stanley also recently lowered its FY 2023-2024 growth forecast<\/a> to 4.2%, from 5.0%.<\/p>\n

Fiscal year growth forecast unchanged: <\/strong>The EBRD maintained its growth forecast for the current fiscal year at 4.8%, picking up from FY 2022-2023\u2019s growth of 4.1%. <\/p>\n

This is higher than government forecasts: <\/strong>Projections in the government\u2019s new budget see economic growth slowing to 4.1% in the current fiscal year<\/a>, from 4.2% the year prior.<\/p>\n

The slowdown dragged down the region\u2019s outlook: <\/strong>The SEMED region \u2014 which spans developing countries in the southern and eastern Mediterranean, emerging Europe, and central Asia \u2014 is now looking at 3.9% growth for 2024, down 0.5 percentage points from previous forecasts, triggered by the slowdown in Egypt and Morocco. The multilateral lender cut its growth for Morocco by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The bank cuts its Egypt growth forecast for 2024 by 0.7 percentage points<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":607257,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7206],"tags":[571,104,72,348],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-607256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-ebrd","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-gdp","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"a0bc5d8a-a535-4a8f-9a9f-567ba6f522b0","order":"0","is_powered_by":false,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2023\/9\/1667.jpg","photo_position":"above","homepage_title":"","full_issue_title":"EBRD cuts Egypt growth outlook for 2024","related_issue":[607247],"teaser":"The bank cuts its Egypt growth forecast for 2024 by 0.7 percentage points","voice_url":"https:\/\/s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com\/ent.news\/audio\/2023\/10\/.9e2c608a-edeb-416b-87c4-db581c1d839f.mp3"},"yoast_head":"\nEBRD cuts Egypt growth outlook for 2024 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2023\/10\/01\/ebrd-cuts-egypt-growth-outlook-for-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EBRD cuts Egypt growth outlook for 2024\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The bank cuts its Egypt growth forecast for 2024 by 0.7 percentage points\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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