{"id":605008,"date":"2018-12-19T04:17:38","date_gmt":"2018-12-19T04:17:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/19\/what-were-tracking-on-18-december-2018-2\/"},"modified":"2018-12-19T04:17:38","modified_gmt":"2018-12-19T04:17:38","slug":"what-were-tracking-on-18-december-2018-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/19\/what-were-tracking-on-18-december-2018-2\/","title":{"rendered":"What we\u2019re tracking on 18 December 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

Has the year-end news slowdown begun? <\/b>It\u2019s exactly one day early, but it feels as if news flow fell off a cliff yesterday. Not that we\u2019re complaining. If the pattern holds, you can expect a bounce a week from now ahead of the Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s next interest rate decision, due Thursday, 27 December.<\/p>\n

How slow is it? <\/b>Last night\u2019s talk shows included the breaking news that Fifi Abdo has declared she has not quit dancing and will perform twice on New Year\u2019s Eve. (We got up in the middle of the night for this?)<\/p>\n

<\/a> Speaking of rates: It\u2019s interest rate day in the United States<\/b> as the US Federal Reserve is expected to announce this evening (CLT) a quarter-point rate hike to take the fed funds rate range to 2.25-2.50%.<\/p>\n

What to watch out for: <\/b>Will the Fed cut language from its post-meeting statement suggesting it will continue with \u201cgradual\u201d rate increases into 2019? The US central bank was \u201cexpected to raise interest rates three more times next year, but economists now expect that will change to show two more hikes next year, with another possible in 2020,\u201d CNBC says<\/a>.<\/p>\n

What does it mean for us? <\/b>Not as much as for some emerging markets, but interest rate hikes in the US are generally bad news for EM, prompting \u201ccapital outflows \u2026 in favor of relatively higher-yielding U.S. assets,\u201d Reuters<\/a> reminds us. In parallel, the strengthening greenback then makes imports for EM more expensive.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile: Oil prices are now down almost 40% from their recent four-year high <\/b>after crude closed down again yesterday, the Wall Street Journal<\/a> reports. Oil tumbled more than 7% yesterday in heavy trade \u201cdue to fears of oversupply and deteriorating demand,\u201d Reuters<\/a> adds. There are few signs the outlook will improve, Bloomberg<\/a> warns.<\/p>\n

Against a messy backdrop for equities and commodities, bearish investors responsible for some USD 575 bn are pouring their cash into bonds, <\/b>according to a Bank of America survey, reports Bloomberg.<\/a> In the biggest ever one-month rotation, investors increased their allocation to bonds by 23 percentage points. 53% of survey respondents believe global expansion will slow over the next year, the gloomiest outlook on the global economy since 2008.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Keeping score among hedgies: <\/b>Equity funds are the biggest losers of the year, while relative value funds have (on the whole) squeezed out a win in what otherwise stands as an annus horribilis for the hedge fund world, Bloomberg reports in its annual roundup of winners and losers<\/a> from the US, Europe and Asia.<\/p>\n

Has socially responsible investing lost its soul? <\/b>\u201cAll too often, critics say, revenue-chasing triumphs over principles. Investors who think they\u2019re buying environmental, social, and governance funds\u2014ESG for short\u2014to promote a better world often wind up with costlier products that are, in almost every other respect, the same as any index fund. Criteria are so broad and disparate that companies as unlikely as Exxon Mobil Corp. and Philip Morris International Inc., the maker of Marlboro cigarettes, make the cut in some cases.\u201d Read on Bloomberg Businessweek<\/a>.<\/p>\n

New business idea for the NBFI set: <\/b>Financing online sellers<\/a> in e-commerce marketplaces.<\/p>\n

International news worthy of your time <\/b>this morning:<\/p>\n

Saudi Arabia\u2019s King Salman has extended bns in handouts to citizens for another year,<\/b> Bloomberg reports<\/a>. KSA will fund a SAR 40 bn package to cushion the impact of rising costs, prompting concern about whether the government is committed to trim its state wage and entitlements bill. The cost of living allowance was renewed until a study of the kingdom\u2019s \u201csocial protection system\u201d is completed by mid-2019. The story is getting wide play<\/a> in the global business press.<\/p>\n

The UK will prepare to leave the European Union in March without an agreement<\/b>, a spokesman for the British prime minister said yesterday<\/a>, adding that although it\u2019s more likely the UK will leave the bloc with an agreement, the country must prepare itself. Meanwhile, the jitters are spreading as Credit Suisse bankers have been advising wealthy clients to move their assets out of the UK<\/b>, the Financial Times reported<\/a>. Sterling-denominated assets have taken a hit since PM Theresa May abandoned a parliamentary vote on Brexit, taking with it the GBP and stocks.<\/p>\n

In miscellany today:<\/b><\/p>\n

FACT OF THE MORNING- Commodity traders now <\/b>control 10%<\/b><\/a> of the global LNG market<\/b>, bulling their way over the past 2-3 years into a market previously dominated by global oil majors and state-owned petroleum companies. You can thank Egypt, among other emerging market buyers, for helping develop viable spot markets and flexible-destination contracts.<\/p>\n

Buy yourself a reusable water bottle: <\/b>Evian is pledging to make all of its plastic bottles from recycled plastic by 2025 as the industry comes under consumer pressure over its wasteful use of disposable plastic. (WSJ<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Getting hate on our twitter this week: <\/b>The world\u2019s most successful people start their day at 4am.<\/a> Inc. magazine is amazing. Its website? A clickbait hellhole.<\/p>\n

Worthy of hate on our twitter. Except that we snickered a couple of times. In a moderately good way:<\/b> The 12 office workers you love to hate<\/a>, by Emma Jacobs and Andrew Hill in the FT.<\/p>\n

Worthy of love on your morning commute:<\/b> The FT\u2019s roundup of its Best of the Big Read for 2018<\/a>.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

For the geeks among our people: <\/b>Apple computers used to be built in the U.S. It was a mess. (NYT<\/a>)<\/p>\n

<\/a> For the uber-geeks among our people: <\/b>This dude built a Spotify player. For his 1989-1991 vintage Macintosh SE\/30<\/a>. It was enough to drive us down alleys on the interwebs including Low End Mac<\/a>, r\/vintagecomputing<\/a> and Ebay<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Has the year-end news slowdown begun? It\u2019s exactly one day early, but it feels as if news flow fell off a cliff yesterday. Not that we\u2019re complaining. If the pattern holds, you can expect a bounce a week from now ahead of the Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s next interest rate decision, due Thursday, 27 December. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7204],"tags":[2393,9115,115,72,7229,261,349,91,128,112,388,74],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-605008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-what-were-tracking-today","tag-brexit","tag-credit-suisse","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-esg","tag-hedge-funds","tag-interest-rates","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-opec","tag-uk","tag-us-federal-reserve","tag-what-were-tracking-today","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"5bc1c21b-d74e-4870-a0ad-34b262907dbc","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[605006],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nWhat we\u2019re tracking on 18 December 2018 - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/19\/what-were-tracking-on-18-december-2018-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What we\u2019re tracking on 18 December 2018\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Has the year-end news slowdown begun? It\u2019s exactly one day early, but it feels as if news flow fell off a cliff yesterday. Not that we\u2019re complaining. If the pattern holds, you can expect a bounce a week from now ahead of the Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s next interest rate decision, due Thursday, 27 December. 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Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve boss Jay Powell gave markets a shot in the arm when he suggested yesterday that US interest rates are \u201cjust below \u2026 neutral\u201d levels. Analysts have interpreted his remarks (transcript here) as a sign that the Fed may\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/11\/Jerome-Powell-web.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":563081,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2021\/06\/17\/this-morning-its-interest-rate-day-here-at-home-export-risk-guarantee-outfit-coming-in-2-months\/","url_meta":{"origin":605008,"position":1},"title":"THIS MORNING: It\u2019s interest rate day here at home + export risk guarantee outfit coming in 2 months","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 June 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends, and a very happy THURSDAY to you all. The big news today is that it\u2019s interest rate day as the Central Bank of Egypt\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee meets to review rates. There\u2019s a firm consensus among analysts and economists we surveyed last week that policymakers will leave\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":604858,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-december-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":605008,"position":2},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 16 December 2018","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 December 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The end-of-year news slowdown is not upon us. It just feels that way after an unusually quiet weekend here and abroad. We figure the news cycle has at least a week to go before things quiet down, and there\u2019s always the central bank\u2019s 27 December interest rate decision to which\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/12\/2724.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":597442,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/28\/what-were-tracking-on-28-july-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":605008,"position":3},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 28 July 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"28 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, everyone, and welcome to an unusually quiet Sunday morning. We\u2019re not entirely sure if we should chalk that up to half the country bridging the 23 July vacation for a mega-long-weekend or if it\u2019s just a regular summertime fluke. In all cases, we\u2019re not ones to complain. Defense\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":650090,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2017\/03\/16\/what-were-tracking-on-16-march-2017\/","url_meta":{"origin":605008,"position":4},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 16 March 2017","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"16 March 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Good morning, friends, and happy Thursday from Enterprise Global Headquarters, where we\u2019re enjoying a reasonably quiet news day and looking forward to a relaxing weekend with family and friends.The US Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates \u2014 and emerging markets have, in effect,said \u201cSo what?\u201d The US Fed hiked rates\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":595115,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/09\/17\/what-were-tracking-on-17-september-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":605008,"position":5},"title":"What we\u2019re tracking on 17 September 2019","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"17 September 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Saudi Arabia and the ramifications of last week\u2019s attack on Aramco facilities have been dominating the headlines in the foreign press, thanks to renewed accusations that Iran had a hand in the attacks.Global stock markets also saw a dip as a result, with airline stocks and those of other fuel-intensive\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "What We're Tracking Today"","block_context":{"text":"What We're Tracking Today","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/what-were-tracking-today\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/605008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=605008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/605008\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/605006"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=605008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=605008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=605008"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=605008"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=605008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}