{"id":604958,"date":"2018-12-18T04:16:25","date_gmt":"2018-12-18T04:16:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/18\/egypt-paving-the-way-for-a-weaker-egp-with-simplified-fx-policy-capital-economics\/"},"modified":"2018-12-18T04:16:25","modified_gmt":"2018-12-18T04:16:25","slug":"egypt-paving-the-way-for-a-weaker-egp-with-simplified-fx-policy-capital-economics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/18\/egypt-paving-the-way-for-a-weaker-egp-with-simplified-fx-policy-capital-economics\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt \u201cpaving the way\u201d for a weaker EGP with simplified FX policy -Capital Economics"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Egypt \u201cpaving the way\u201d for a weaker EGP with simplified FX policy, says Capital Economics:<\/b> The EGP will likely weaken by end-2019 as policymakers work to \u201csimplify the country\u2019s exchange rate setup,\u201d Capital Economics said in a research note out yesterday. Recent moves by the Finance Ministry and CBE including scrapping the discounted customs exchange rate for non-essential imports and terminating central bank\u2019s parallel FX repatriation mechanism \u201care steps in the right direction, [but] highlight that FX policy is still complex,\u201d the research house writes.<\/p>\n

Expect the EGP to slide \u201cmodestly\u201d against the greenback by the end of next year: <\/b>The moves come as there has been mounting speculation that the CBE was pushing state-owned banks to prop up the EGP \u2014 which Capital Economics was the first to flag<\/a>, with Reuters following suit last month<\/a>. This policy, Capital Economics notes, will not be sustainable for much longer and \u201cthe next step is likely a reduction of backdoor FX intervention\u201d that will ultimately result in the EGP falling \u201cmodestly\u201d to EGP 19 against the greenback by the end of next year.<\/p>\n

Where do we stand on interest rates?<\/b> Capital Economics sees the CBE resuming its monetary easing cycle in early 2019, by which time it expects headline inflation to fall further. The CBE has kept interest rates on hold since May to help contain inflation and slow down outflows of hot money from Egypt amid the emerging markets sell-off.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Egypt \u201cpaving the way\u201d for a weaker EGP with simplified FX policy, says Capital Economics: The EGP will likely weaken by end-2019 as policymakers work to \u201csimplify the country\u2019s exchange rate setup,\u201d Capital Economics said in a research note out yesterday. Recent moves by the Finance Ministry and CBE including scrapping the discounted customs exchange […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[1433,1419,72,349,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-604958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-capital-economics","tag-egp","tag-enterpriseam","tag-interest-rates","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"212ad108-6dcd-4385-9508-72e65b4568c3","order":"0","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[604951],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt \u201cpaving the way\u201d for a weaker EGP with simplified FX policy -Capital Economics - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/18\/egypt-paving-the-way-for-a-weaker-egp-with-simplified-fx-policy-capital-economics\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt \u201cpaving the way\u201d for a weaker EGP with simplified FX policy -Capital Economics\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Egypt \u201cpaving the way\u201d for a weaker EGP with simplified FX policy, says Capital Economics: The EGP will likely weaken by end-2019 as policymakers work to \u201csimplify the country\u2019s exchange rate setup,\u201d Capital Economics said in a research note out yesterday. 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Winds at Egypt\u2019s back include the lifting of the worst covid-related restrictions, signs of a recovery in the tourism sector (even with Egypt still not\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":604559,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2018\/12\/06\/state-owned-banks-wont-be-able-to-prop-up-the-egp-for-much-longer-than-a-few-more-months-at-most-capital-economics\/","url_meta":{"origin":604958,"position":5},"title":"State-owned banks won\u2019t be able to prop up the EGP for much longer than \u201ca few more months at most\u201d -Capital Economics","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"6 December 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"State-owned banks won\u2019t be able to prop up the EGP for much longer than \u201ca few more months at most,\u201d Capital Economics said in a research notethat suggests the Central Bank of Egypt had been leaning on state banks to mobilize their FX liquidity and thereby avoid agitating the IMF\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2018\/12\/1907.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/604958","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=604958"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/604958\/revisions"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issue\/604951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=604958"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=604958"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=604958"},{"taxonomy":"brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/brand?post=604958"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=604958"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}