{"id":601868,"date":"2019-03-12T03:54:14","date_gmt":"2019-03-12T03:54:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/03\/12\/emerging-markets-banking-on-a-goldilocks-us-economy\/"},"modified":"2019-03-12T03:54:14","modified_gmt":"2019-03-12T03:54:14","slug":"emerging-markets-banking-on-a-goldilocks-us-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/03\/12\/emerging-markets-banking-on-a-goldilocks-us-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Emerging markets banking on a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 US economy"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Emerging markets banking on a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 US economy: <\/b>The good times will keep on rolling for emerging markets as long as the US economy remains in a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 state, former Mideast hand Robin Wigglesworth writes in the Financial Times<\/a>. A \u2018Goldilocks economy\u2019 refers to an economy that is neither booming or slowing down, but growing sustainably supported by low inflation. Both a US slowdown and an economic boom (precipitating further interest rate rises) would be negative for EM inflows. Continued investment therefore requires that the US economy walk a fine line between growth and decline, Wigglesworth says.<\/p>\n

Investor exuberance: <\/b>Ecuador\u2019s recent bond sale<\/a> is a sign of investors\u2019 current bullish attitude towards emerging markets. Ecuador, the country that routinely defaults on its debts and only in 2015 repaid its first bond in-full and on time, surprised analysts after it successfully auctioned USD 1 bn worth of 10-year bonds to international investors. Yes, the bonds carried an interest rate of 10.75% \u2014 the highest bond yield since 2011<\/a>. But the fact that appetite for highly risky assets exists indicates an exuberant approach to emerging markets on the part of investors.<\/p>\n

But selectiveness is a virtue when it comes to EM investments: <\/b>Investors should ignore the bulls and the bears and make calculated, selective EM investment choices, Mohamed El Erian<\/b>, markets sage and chief economic adviser at Allianz, writes in the FT<\/a>. \u201cThe best approach to EM assets is to be selective, including taking advantage of higher yields on shorter-dated bonds and loans in some of the weaker non-investment grade names that have the reserves to repay debt coming due soon,\u201d he writes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Emerging markets banking on a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 US economy: The good times will keep on rolling for emerging markets as long as the US economy remains in a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 state, former Mideast hand Robin Wigglesworth writes in the Financial Times. A \u2018Goldilocks economy\u2019 refers to an economy that is neither booming or slowing down, but growing […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":601869,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9272],"tags":[541,82,115,72,182,349,724,1510],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-601868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-macro-picture","tag-asset-management","tag-bonds","tag-emerging-markets","tag-enterpriseam","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-the-macro-picture","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"da517d1f-7170-424c-9bc7-ff9f0f442002","is_powered_by":true,"story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2019\/3\/1157.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[601845],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEmerging markets banking on a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 US economy - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/03\/12\/emerging-markets-banking-on-a-goldilocks-us-economy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Emerging markets banking on a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 US economy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Emerging markets banking on a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 US economy: The good times will keep on rolling for emerging markets as long as the US economy remains in a \u2018Goldilocks\u2019 state, former Mideast hand Robin Wigglesworth writes in the Financial Times. 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