{"id":601440,"date":"2019-02-28T03:38:47","date_gmt":"2019-02-28T03:38:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/28\/egypt-economic-growth-to-beat-expectations-capital-economics\/"},"modified":"2019-02-28T03:38:47","modified_gmt":"2019-02-28T03:38:47","slug":"egypt-economic-growth-to-beat-expectations-capital-economics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/28\/egypt-economic-growth-to-beat-expectations-capital-economics\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt economic growth to beat expectations- Capital Economics"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/a> Egypt\u2019s economic growth will beat expectations<\/b> as sovereign bond yields fall and the government\u2019s austerity program draws to a close, according to a report by Capital Economics. The country\u2019s debt-to-GDP ratio has also begun to fall back as the primary budget balance enters a surplus for the first time in almost 20 years. The report predicts that the debt ratio will fall to around 75% by 2024, thanks to the cuts made to the public wage bill. \u201cThis underpins our view that GDP growth will be stronger than most expect<\/b> in the next few years,\u201d the report states.<\/p>\n

But risks still remain: <\/b>Egypt\u2019s large foreign currency debt (around 30% of GDP in FY2017\/18) means that the government\u2019s financial position is exposed to fluctuations in the exchange rate. Rapid increases in global commodity prices would also spell trouble for the subsidy bill, with the report estimating that a 10% rise in oil prices would increase spending on fuel subsidies by around 0.4% of GDP.<\/p>\n

And there is still more to be done<\/b>: While the report praises the government\u2019s success in restoring stability to the economy, it raises concerns that it is taking its foot off the gas a little too early and urges it to do more. \u201cIn the coming years, the focus will shift to the bolder efforts that are needed to lift Egypt\u2019s potential growth rate, but we are increasingly concerned that these will fall short,\u201d the report says.<\/p>\n

IIF joins the chorus calling for deeper reforms: <\/b>Achieving sustained economic prosperity will require that the state and military-affiliated companies shrink their role in the economy, according to a report by the Institute of International Finance (IIF). State influence on critical economic sectors, control over land use and privileged status for infrastructure projects has resulted in \u201cdeep-rooted structural distortions\u201d in the economy which hold it back from competing with more successful emerging markets.<\/p>\n

So what does IIF want Egypt to do?<\/b> Noting that fundamental changes to the economic system could be politically and economically destabilizing, the IIF says the government should first maintain its current fiscal and exchange rate reforms \u2014 then kickstart the privatization program.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Egypt\u2019s economic growth will beat expectations as sovereign bond yields fall and the government\u2019s austerity program draws to a close, according to a report by Capital Economics. The country\u2019s debt-to-GDP ratio has also begun to fall back as the primary budget balance enters a surplus for the first time in almost 20 years. The report […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":601441,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_primary_brand":0,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8572],"tags":[1433,7106,104,72,348,3075,2380],"brand":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"class_list":["post-601440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-speed-round","tag-capital-economics","tag-debt","tag-economy","tag-enterpriseam","tag-gdp","tag-institute-of-international-finance","tag-speed-round","wpautop","entry"],"acf":{"mongo_id":"090b3ebf-c94f-43e2-a623-0e3f5d8ea478","is_powered_by":true,"section_story_id":"803908be-aa5d-4066-8579-0c2b64a7854d","story_type":"1","photo_url":"https:\/\/ent.news\/2020\/10\/276.jpg","photo_position":"above","related_issue":[601432],"teaser":"","voice_url":""},"yoast_head":"\nEgypt economic growth to beat expectations- Capital Economics - EnterpriseAM Egypt<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/02\/28\/egypt-economic-growth-to-beat-expectations-capital-economics\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egypt economic growth to beat expectations- Capital Economics\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Egypt\u2019s economic growth will beat expectations as sovereign bond yields fall and the government\u2019s austerity program draws to a close, according to a report by Capital Economics. 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GDP will grow\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/660.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":570311,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/03\/26\/covid-19-could-cause-egypts-gdp-to-shrink-1-3-this-year-capital-economics\/","url_meta":{"origin":601440,"position":2},"title":"Covid-19 could cause Egypt\u2019s GDP to shrink 1.3% this year -Capital Economics","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 March 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Covid-19 could cause Egypt\u2019s GDP to shrink 1.3% this year, before bouncing back in 2021, says Capital Economics: Egypt could see its economy contract 1.3% in 2020 on the back of the covid-19 outbreak, said Jason Tuvey, senior EM economist at Capital Economics. The London-based research consultancy firm initially expected\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/internal\/536550.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":567376,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/01\/21\/egypt-to-beat-debt-to-gdp-target-this-year-maait\/","url_meta":{"origin":601440,"position":3},"title":"Egypt to beat debt-to-GDP target this year -Maait","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"21 January 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Egypt to beat debt-to-GDP target this year + all you need to know about FinMin\u2019s epic presser: The Finance Ministry expects to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio to 83% by the end of the current fiscal year, easily beating the 89% target included in the FY 2019-2020 budget, Finance Minister Mohamed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2020\/1\/658.jpg?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":596827,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2019\/07\/09\/economic-growth-to-remain-stable-over-the-coming-two-years-nbk\/","url_meta":{"origin":601440,"position":4},"title":"Economic growth to remain stable over the coming two years -NBK","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"9 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Economic growth to remain stable over the coming two years -NBK: Egypt\u2019s economic growth is set to remain stable over the coming two years, with GDP expanding at a 5.2% clip during the current fiscal year and 5.0% in FY2020-2021, the National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) forecasts in a new\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Speed Round"","block_context":{"text":"Speed Round","link":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/category\/speed-round\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ent.news\/2019\/7\/1388.png?fit=%2C&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":573214,"url":"https:\/\/enterpriseam.com\/egypt\/2020\/07\/26\/egypt-records-3-8-economic-growth-for-fy2019-2020\/","url_meta":{"origin":601440,"position":5},"title":"Egypt records 3.8% economic growth for FY2019-2020","author":"enterpriseam admin","date":"26 July 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The economy grew 3.8% in the state fiscal year that ended on 30 June, despite fallout from the covid-19 pandemic, according to preliminary figures published by Ittihadiya on Saturday. 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